Independent Insight Provider

Stewart Paterson

Taurus Advisors LLP

Macroeconomics

Having broken convincingly through 100, the DXY (trade weighted dollar index) has pulled back in the past few days to test its break. The Italian referendum, as expected, produced a bad outcome for believers in the single European currency but as it turns out it was so widely expected that it triggered short covering in the Euro. I would highlight a few data points in the next few days that may add to dollar strength, cement the break-out in the DXY and lead to an acceleration in the up-trend in…

Having broken convincingly through 100, the DXY (trade weighted dollar index) has pulled back in the past few days to test its break. The Italian referendum, as expected, produced a bad outcome for believers in the single European currency but as it turns out it was so widely expected that it triggered short covering in the Euro. I would highlight a few data points in the next few days that may add to dollar strength, cement the break-out in the DXY and lead to an acceleration in the up-trend in…

Money Matters: Short-Term Dollar Catalysts.

Making sense of the Global Market, Euromonitor International Ltd.

Yu Mitsuhashi

Making sense of the Global Market

Euromonitor International Ltd.

We are a global market research company focused on industries, countries, economies and consumers worldwide. Our cross-country comparable research helps your organisation identify opportunities and develop growth strategies in countries and regions across the globe. With offices around the world, 1,200 analysts in 100 countries and market research on every key trend and driver, we give you powerful access to the real story behind consumer change.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The global banking system is constructed around the accrual of interest. Credit cards, loans, and other financial products rely on interest rates and lending as one of their central features. In the Islamic world, however, where the very concept of interest is forbidden under Sharia – Islamic law – consumers looking to reconcile their banking needs with their faith are increasingly turning toward Islamic banking systems.

The global banking system is constructed around the accrual of interest. Credit cards, loans, and other financial products rely on interest rates and lending as one of their central features. In the Islamic world, however, where the very concept of interest is forbidden under Sharia – Islamic law – consumers looking to reconcile their banking needs with their faith are increasingly turning toward Islamic banking systems.

Consumer Finance in an Interest-Free World – An Overview of Islamic Banking

Over the past five years or so, since the RMB moved into over-valuation territory, there has been a consistent and inverse relationship between the RMB and US bond yields. RMB strength has been associated with rising US bond yields while RMB weakness has been associated with falling bond yields. The rationale should be apparent but as RMB weakness is associated with the potential for Chinese exporters to lower their USD prices (and incidentally reduce Asian corporate earnings outside of China)…

 Over the past five years or so, since the RMB moved into over-valuation territory, there has been a consistent and inverse relationship between the RMB and US bond yields. RMB strength has been associated with rising US bond yields while RMB weakness has been associated with falling bond yields. The rationale should be apparent but as RMB weakness is associated with the potential for Chinese exporters to lower their USD prices (and incidentally reduce Asian corporate earnings outside of China)…

Money Matters: US Bond Yields & USD/RMB - A Paradigm Shift?

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

§  As many as 9 STI Stocks have traded more than double their three month daily average volume in trading sessions for the early week of 21 November.§  Biggest volume surges were generated by Genting Singapore PLC which traded almost 5x its average volume on Monday, and StarHub which traded 4x its average volume on Monday – then 3x its average volume on Tuesday.§  The 9 Stocks, which represent five Sectors have together averaged a 1.5% gain in the November MTD, bringing their 2016 YTD average…

§  As many as 9 STI Stocks have traded more than double their three month daily average volume in trading sessions for the early week of 21 November.§  Biggest volume surges were generated by Genting Singapore PLC which traded almost 5x its average volume on Monday, and StarHub which traded 4x its average volume on Monday – then 3x its average volume on Tuesday.§  The 9 Stocks, which represent five Sectors have together averaged a 1.5% gain in the November MTD, bringing their 2016 YTD average…

Nine STI Stocks See Volume Surge in Early Week

Friday saw the release of the Monthly Chinese monetary aggregates. M2 rose 11.6% year-over-year. Although this is one the lowest percentage growth rates in the past 20 years, the money stock is now so huge that the incremental growth remains outsized relative to both GDP and (form an FX point of view ) the equivalent growth in the USA. <figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/016/341/original/China-M2-growth-YoY-Last-Price_chartbuilder.png?1479113085" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="16341"></figure>Over the past 12 months China's money stock has risen from RMB136tr to RMB152tr (USD22.3tr at current fx rates) a growth of RMB16tr (USD2.35tr) in an economy that…

Friday saw the release of the Monthly Chinese monetary aggregates. M2 rose 11.6% year-over-year. Although this is one the lowest percentage growth rates in the past 20 years, the money stock is now so huge that the incremental growth remains outsized relative to both GDP and (form an FX point of view ) the equivalent growth in the USA. Over the past 12 months China's money stock has risen from RMB136tr to RMB152tr (USD22.3tr at current fx rates) a growth of RMB16tr (USD2.35tr) in an economy that…

Money Matters: Chinese Monetary Aggregates Point to Accelerating RMB Weakness.

Indonesia

PT Bank Central Asia Tbk provides banking and related services.  The Bank also provides custodianship, trusteeship, and management of pension funds of financial institutions.  Through its subsidiaries, the Bank also provides leasing and consumer financing services.

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Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ)

Money Matters: Short-Term Dollar Catalysts.

Having broken convincingly through 100, the DXY (trade weighted dollar index) has pulled back in the past few days to test its break. The Italian...

Stewart Paterson

Consumer Finance in an Interest-Free World – An Overview of Islamic Banking

The global banking system is constructed around the accrual of interest. Credit cards, loans, and other financial products rely on interest rates...

Euromonitor International Ltd.

Money Matters: US Bond Yields & USD/RMB - A Paradigm Shift?

Over the past five years or so, since the RMB moved into over-valuation territory, there has been a consistent and inverse relationship between...

Stewart Paterson

Nine STI Stocks See Volume Surge in Early Week

§ As many as 9 STI Stocks have traded more than double their three month daily average volume in trading sessions for the early week of 21...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Money Matters: Chinese Monetary Aggregates Point to Accelerating RMB Weakness.

Friday saw the release of the Monthly Chinese monetary aggregates. M2 rose 11.6% year-over-year. Although this is one the lowest percentage growth...

Stewart Paterson

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