CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Two stock remains, 12 stocks added into portfolio</li>
<li>Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 168% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 82%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology
Portfolio changes: Two stock remains, 12 stocks added into portfolio
Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 168% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 82%


<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Seven stocks remain, seven new join the fray</li>
<li>Ince inception, it has gained 112% versus the SET 100 Index’s return of 24%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Portfolio changes: Seven stocks remain, seven new join the fray
Ince inception, it has gained 112% versus the SET 100 Index’s return of 24%


The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 46

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>We expect economic growth in 2H24E to accelerate beyond the 1.9% YoY expansion seen in 1H24E, serving as a key driver in achieving the revised 2024E GDP growth forecast of 2.55% YoY (up from 2.5% previously).</li><li>This acceleration will also create positive sentiment for stocks benefiting from a top-down approach, particularly those related to government spending, tourism, and the banking sector.</li><li>Government spending is expected to rise thanks to accelerated budget disbursements, while the tourism sector should see strong gains, with tourist arrivals projected to hit 36.5mn by yearend (compared to 20.6mn for 7M24). </li></ul>

We expect economic growth in 2H24E to accelerate beyond the 1.9% YoY expansion seen in 1H24E, serving as a key driver in achieving the revised 2024E GDP growth forecast of 2.55% YoY (up from 2.5% previously).This acceleration will also create positive sentiment for stocks benefiting from a top-down approach, particularly those related to government spending, tourism, and the banking sector.Government spending is expected to rise thanks to accelerated budget disbursements, while the tourism sector should see strong gains, with tourist arrivals projected to hit 36.5mn by yearend (compared to 20.6mn for 7M24). 

Economic Update: 2Q24 GDP Growth - August 20, 2024

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Couple of weeks from the start of the review period for the December rebalance of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">SET 50 Index</a>, we see four potential index changes.</li>
<li>There are a few stocks that are close to the inclusion zone and there could be a reordering among the non-constituents as stock prices move around.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes since the start of the year with most of the outperformance coming over the last 6 weeks.</li>
</ul>


Couple of weeks from the start of the review period for the December rebalance of SET 50 Index, we see four potential index changes.
There are a few stocks that are close to the inclusion zone and there could be a reordering among the non-constituents as stock prices move around.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes since the start of the year with most of the outperformance coming over the last 6 weeks.


SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Four Changes & A Few Close Names

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Four stock remains, 10 stocks added into portfolio</li>
<li>Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 187% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 78%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology
Portfolio changes: Four stock remains, 10 stocks added into portfolio
Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 187% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 78%


Thailand

Bangkok Airways Company Limited offers air transportation services. The Company operates flights and airports to various resort destinations in Thailand, Myanmar, Laos, Cambodia, Vietnam, Malaysia, Singapore, China, and Japan.

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Bangkok Airways (BA TB)

The Stocks to Own in Asia – Vol. 46

We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology. Portfolio changes: Two stock remains, 12 stocks added.

A. Stotz Investment Research

The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 46

We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Seven stocks remain, seven new...

A. Stotz Investment Research

Economic Update: 2Q24 GDP Growth - August 20, 2024

We expect economic growth in 2H24E to accelerate beyond the 1.9% YoY expansion seen in 1H24E, serving as a key driver in achieving the revised...

Krungthai XSpring

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Four Changes & A Few Close Names

There are 4 potential changes for the SET50 in Dec. There are some other stocks that could make the cut. The adds have outperformed the deletes....

Brian Freitas

The Stocks to Own in Asia – Vol. 45

We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology. Portfolio changes: Four stock remains, 10 stocks added.

A. Stotz Investment Research

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