SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Singapore’s Energy Sector was the strongest of Singapore’s stock Sectors in October, with a 10.4% market capitalisation weighted total return on oil and coal price swings. This followed on from Energy also being the strongest of the Sectors back in September.</li><li>The 10 largest capitalised stocks of Singapore’s Energy Sector averaged a 12.5% total return in October, consisting of seven advancing stocks and three declining stocks. CAO, the largest capitalised stock of Singapore’s Energy Sector is scheduled to report 3Q16 results Wednesday.</li><li>Two of the 10 largest capitalised Energy stocks, Geo Energy Resources and KrisEnergy also ranked amongst the 10 actively traded stocks that saw the biggest increase in their October traded volume, compared to respective three month average volumes. Geo Energy Resources was the fifth biggest volume leader while KrisEnergy was the sixth biggest volume leader.</li></ul>

Singapore’s Energy Sector was the strongest of Singapore’s stock Sectors in October, with a 10.4% market capitalisation weighted total return on oil and coal price swings. This followed on from Energy also being the strongest of the Sectors back in September.The 10 largest capitalised stocks of Singapore’s Energy Sector averaged a 12.5% total return in October, consisting of seven advancing stocks and three declining stocks. CAO, the largest capitalised stock of Singapore’s Energy Sector is scheduled to report 3Q16 results Wednesday.Two of the 10 largest capitalised Energy stocks, Geo Energy Resources and KrisEnergy also ranked amongst the 10 actively traded stocks that saw the biggest increase in their October traded volume, compared to respective three month average volumes. Geo Energy Resources was the fifth biggest volume leader while KrisEnergy was the sixth biggest volume leader.

Energy the Strongest Sector in October on Oil & Coal Price Swings

SGX lists four Upstream Coal Plays: Geo Energy Resources, Resources Prima Group, BlackGold Natural Resources and Golden Energy &amp; Resources.Geo Energy Resources has been the strongest performer among the four upstream plays in the 2016 year to date with a 37.9% gain. On 12 August,  Geo Energy Group reported that for the six months ending 30 June 2016, company revenue was US$33 million compared to US$10 million for the same period a year ago.

SGX lists four Upstream Coal Plays: Geo Energy Resources, Resources Prima Group, BlackGold Natural Resources and Golden Energy &amp; Resources.Geo Energy Resources has been the strongest performer among the four upstream plays in the 2016 year to date with a 37.9% gain. On 12 August,  Geo Energy Group reported that for the six months ending 30 June 2016, company revenue was US$33 million compared to US$10 million for the same period a year ago.

Geo Energy Resources Led Upstream Coal Plays in 2016 YTD

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

Chartonics flash  4 October 2016<div>Bullish energy theme for Q4</div>Oil is building energy for a rise out of noted bullish triangle patterns on the back of initial breakouts above RSI resistance levels. The July low in Brent missed our ideal 40.20 buy zone by a margin but does appear to have satisfied the corrective cycle that was followed by a rather mild pullback from early August that essentially formed the current triangle. Triangle patterns are formed when two cycles face off, in this case, the…

Chartonics flash  4 October 2016Bullish energy theme for Q4Oil is building energy for a rise out of noted bullish triangle patterns on the back of initial breakouts above RSI resistance levels. The July low in Brent missed our ideal 40.20 buy zone by a margin but does appear to have satisfied the corrective cycle that was followed by a rather mild pullback from early August that essentially formed the current triangle. Triangle patterns are formed when two cycles face off, in this case, the…

Asean-focused. Ex-Head of Thai Research

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

In this review, we predict that Thai equities will rally in October and early November before another major correction in December with the Fed rate hike. In the short term, we expect Thai banks to do well, as they and Asian counterparts (eg. Singapore's DBS) benefit in terms of relative growth if the US banks are hampered by the regulator's decision to increase capital requirements of the largest banks. We also see two companies run by Thailand's second richest tycoon Charoen Sirivadhanabhakdi, namely BJC and Thai Beverage, outperforming companies run by the larger CP Group, primarily due to corporate action and a market's tilt towards consumers and retailing sectors. Needless to say, we will be tactically overweight on banks, retailers, and consumers over the next two months.We also discuss: 1) the overall upgrade of Thailand's growth expectations on the back of stronger domestic consumption; and 2) highight the government's five strategic sectors, named 'The 5 S-Curves'.

In this review, we predict that Thai equities will rally in October and early November before another major correction in December with the Fed rate hike. In the short term, we expect Thai banks to do well, as they and Asian counterparts (eg. Singapore's DBS) benefit in terms of relative growth if the US banks are hampered by the regulator's decision to increase capital requirements of the largest banks. We also see two companies run by Thailand's second richest tycoon Charoen Sirivadhanabhakdi, namely BJC and Thai Beverage, outperforming companies run by the larger CP Group, primarily due to corporate action and a market's tilt towards consumers and retailing sectors. Needless to say, we will be tactically overweight on banks, retailers, and consumers over the next two months.We also discuss: 1) the overall upgrade of Thailand's growth expectations on the back of stronger domestic consumption; and 2) highight the government's five strategic sectors, named 'The 5 S-Curves'.

American Capital Requirement Increase: Charoen and Thai Banks to Lead October Rally

Equity Bottom-Up

In this new two-part series, we examine how low oil prices and the resulting boon to consumption affects the Thai economy and markets and some interesting Buy ideas from them. In the first part, we think PTT, Thailand's flagship oil &amp; gas stock, still has some upside to go thanks in part to the hotels they plan to build and the potential IPO of PTT Retail.Upside in Thai energy is rather limited due to their strong price performance this year, and we are fairly bearish since we believe Iran will raise capacity in the longer run and hurt global energy prices. In general, we are less impressed with other stocks in the sector. Even BAFS, which has a great business model and monopoly on fuel aviation, seems expensive right now. We also took a look at PTT's many subsidiaries and honestly, we weren't that impressed. Maybe, Thai Oil comes a close second.

In this new two-part series, we examine how low oil prices and the resulting boon to consumption affects the Thai economy and markets and some interesting Buy ideas from them. In the first part, we think PTT, Thailand's flagship oil &amp; gas stock, still has some upside to go thanks in part to the hotels they plan to build and the potential IPO of PTT Retail.Upside in Thai energy is rather limited due to their strong price performance this year, and we are fairly bearish since we believe Iran will raise capacity in the longer run and hurt global energy prices. In general, we are less impressed with other stocks in the sector. Even BAFS, which has a great business model and monopoly on fuel aviation, seems expensive right now. We also took a look at PTT's many subsidiaries and honestly, we weren't that impressed. Maybe, Thai Oil comes a close second.

The New Abnormal (Part I): Low Energy Prices...Dude, Where's My Exit?

Thailand

Bangchak Corporation Public Company Limited operates as an energy company. The Company offers petroleum exploration and production, biomass, crude oil, and solar energy. Bangchak markets its products in Thailand.

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Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB)

Energy the Strongest Sector in October on Oil & Coal Price Swings

Singapore’s Energy Sector was the strongest of Singapore’s stock Sectors in October, with a 10.4% market capitalisation weighted total return on...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geo Energy Resources Led Upstream Coal Plays in 2016 YTD

SGX lists four Upstream Coal Plays: Geo Energy Resources, Resources Prima Group, BlackGold Natural Resources and Golden Energy & Resources.Geo...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Bullish Energy

Chartonics flash 4 October 2016Bullish energy theme for Q4Oil is building energy for a rise out of noted bullish triangle patterns on the back of...

Thomas Schroeder

American Capital Requirement Increase: Charoen and Thai Banks to Lead October Rally

In this review, we predict that Thai equities will rally in October and early November before another major correction in December with the Fed...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

The New Abnormal (Part I): Low Energy Prices...Dude, Where's My Exit?

In this new two-part series, we examine how low oil prices and the resulting boon to consumption affects the Thai economy and markets and some...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

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