Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We expect 5 changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-100-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36051:1" rel="noopener">Nifty 100 Index (NSE100 INDEX)</a> at the March rebalance. The review period ends on 31 January and the announcement should be late February.</li>
<li>The largest impact of passive trading will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/page-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4940:1" rel="noopener">Page Industries (PAG IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/biocon-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:398:1" rel="noopener">Biocon Ltd (BIOS IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mphasis-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7672:1" rel="noopener">Mphasis Ltd (MPHL IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/abb-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8703:1" rel="noopener">ABB India Ltd (ABB IN)</a>. </li>
<li>There are quite a few overlaps with the AMFI reclassification of stocks and there could be buying and selling from active fund managers over the next few weeks.</li>
</ul>


We expect 5 changes to the Nifty 100 Index (NSE100 INDEX) at the March rebalance. The review period ends on 31 January and the announcement should be late February.
The largest impact of passive trading will be on Page Industries (PAG IN), Biocon Ltd (BIOS IN), Mphasis Ltd (MPHL IN) and ABB India Ltd (ABB IN). 
There are quite a few overlaps with the AMFI reclassification of stocks and there could be buying and selling from active fund managers over the next few weeks.


NIFTY100 Index Rebalance Preview: Active Trading Before Passive Trading Kicks In

<ul>
<li>Near the end of the review period, we see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 from LargeCap to MidCap, 8 from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa.</li>
<li>One spin-off should be added to the MidCap segment, while a bunch of recent listings will be added to the SmallCap segment.</li>
<li>Stock migrating upwards have outperformed stocks migrating downwards and we expect there could be some mean reversion from the middle of January.</li>
</ul>


Near the end of the review period, we see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 from LargeCap to MidCap, 8 from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa.
One spin-off should be added to the MidCap segment, while a bunch of recent listings will be added to the SmallCap segment.
Stock migrating upwards have outperformed stocks migrating downwards and we expect there could be some mean reversion from the middle of January.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2022): A Bunch of Migrations

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Bandhan Bank (BANDHAN) has been taking it on the chin as the bank continuously cleanses its balance sheet with EEB stress pool moderating to INR95b (17.6% of EEB loans) in 2QFY23 from a peak of INR195b (36.1% of EEB loans) in 2QFY22, while its restructured book has dissolved completely.</li><li>-SMA book though remains elevated, has moderated to 13.1% from a peak of 37.1% in 1QFY22.</li><li>We note that slippages in 2QFY23 formed ~78% of the SMA book in 1QFY23 and thus we expect slippages to remain elevated over 3QFY23/4QFY23.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bandhan Bank (BANDHAN) has been taking it on the chin as the bank continuously cleanses its balance sheet with EEB stress pool moderating to INR95b (17.6% of EEB loans) in 2QFY23 from a peak of INR195b (36.1% of EEB loans) in 2QFY22, while its restructured book has dissolved completely.-SMA book though remains elevated, has moderated to 13.1% from a peak of 37.1% in 1QFY22.We note that slippages in 2QFY23 formed ~78% of the SMA book in 1QFY23 and thus we expect slippages to remain elevated over 3QFY23/4QFY23.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bandhan Bank (BANDHAN) - Darkest Before Dawn

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Emkay Global Financial Services Limited

Emkay

Emkay Global Financial Services Limited

Emkay Global Financial Services Ltd. is a leader in the financial services sector, actively creating wealth for our clients for over two decades. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Bandhan Bank has embarked on the journey to transform itself into a true universal bank, led by geographic diversification (incrementally in Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Gujarat, Karnataka, Andhra, and Telangana, among others) as well as asset portfolio (non-MFI portfolio).</li><li>The bank remains determined to grow its non-MFI book (including affordable housing, prime housing, micro/larger LAP, gold, cards, VF, PL, and commercial banking loan pool) at a faster pace and, thus, reduce the share of the otherwise volatile group MFI portfolio to 28% by FY25E from 40% currently.</li><li>However, we believe this structural portfolio shift towards secured and low-yielding assets should have a bearing on margins in the long run but, at the same time, reduce asset-quality volatility.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bandhan Bank has embarked on the journey to transform itself into a true universal bank, led by geographic diversification (incrementally in Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Gujarat, Karnataka, Andhra, and Telangana, among others) as well as asset portfolio (non-MFI portfolio).The bank remains determined to grow its non-MFI book (including affordable housing, prime housing, micro/larger LAP, gold, cards, VF, PL, and commercial banking loan pool) at a faster pace and, thus, reduce the share of the otherwise volatile group MFI portfolio to 28% by FY25E from 40% currently.However, we believe this structural portfolio shift towards secured and low-yielding assets should have a bearing on margins in the long run but, at the same time, reduce asset-quality volatility.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bandhan Bank - Transforming into a True Universal Bank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Bandhan Bank (BANDHAN) hosted an Analyst Day to articulate its medium-term strategic priorities around portfolio diversification and strengthening of its customer franchise</li><li>While the bank’s focus on building borrower discipline in its flagship business and accelerated investments in portfolio diversification and distribution could gradually yield constructive outcomes, near-term return ratios are likely to remain soft from continued provisions and elevated opex</li><li>The management guided for major stress flowing into the 90dpd bucket, resulting in sustained one-off provisioning requirement during H2FY23</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bandhan Bank (BANDHAN) hosted an Analyst Day to articulate its medium-term strategic priorities around portfolio diversification and strengthening of its customer franchiseWhile the bank’s focus on building borrower discipline in its flagship business and accelerated investments in portfolio diversification and distribution could gradually yield constructive outcomes, near-term return ratios are likely to remain soft from continued provisions and elevated opexThe management guided for major stress flowing into the 90dpd bucket, resulting in sustained one-off provisioning requirement during H2FY23Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bandhan Bank (Update): Hard pivot ahead to offset volatile core franchise. Maintain ADD

India

Punjab & Sind Bank is a commercial bank. The Bank offers its customers a wide range of banking products and services.

PNB Housing Finance Ltd. (PNBHFL) provides lending services. The Company offers housing loans to individuals and corporate bodies for construction, purchase, repair, and upgradation of houses, as well as loans for commercial space, loan against property, and loan for purchase of residential plots. PNBHFL serves customers in India.

Federal Bank Limited operates branches and regional offices throughout India. The Bank offers a wide range of financial services, including merchant banking, international banking and foreign exchange, leasing facilities, money markets and agricultural advances. The Bank also provides lending for hi-tech agricultural and government sponsored schemes.

Bank of Maharashtra Ltd. provides a full range of banking services throughout India. The Group's activities include retail banking, commercial and personal banking, investment management, treasury & NRI services, cash management and assorted ATM facilities. Bank of Maharashtra also sponsors regional rural banks jointly with the Central Government and State Government.

Karur Vysya Bank Ltd. provides a full range of commercial banking services for retail and institutional customers. The Bank offers mutual funds, insurance, personal loan, fixed deposits, internet banking, gold and silver, lockers, credit cards, and agricultural finance. Karur Vysya Bank serves customers throughout India.

RBL Bank Limited operates as a commercial bank. The Company offers banking products and services such as savings accounts, fixed deposits, personal and business loans, debit and credit cards, insurance, investment management, and mobile banking. RBL Bank serves customers throughout India.

AU Small Finance Bank Limited operates as a commercial bank. The Bank offers financial products and services such as savings and current accounts, term deposits, debit cards, insurance, government banking, retail loans, and microfinance lending. AU Small Finance Bank serves customers in India.

AU Small Finance Bank Limited (AUBANK IN)

Ujjivan Small Finance Bank Limited operates as a bank. The Company offers various types of financial services such as saving account, deposits, loans, and insurance solutions. Ujjivan Small Finance Bank serves customers in India.

Ujjivan Small Finance Bank  (UJJIVANS IN)

The Jammu & Kashmir Bank Limited provides banking services, including CD's, educational loans, housing loans and car loans.  The Bank also provides insurance services through a joint venture with MetLife India Insurance Company. The Group has about 475 branches throughout India.

City Union Bank Ltd. is a full service bank. The Bank offers a wide range of banking and financial services across India, including both domestic and International banking services.

Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation provides banking services. The Bank checking accounts, lending, credit cards, online and mobile banking, and wealth and treasury management services. Atlantic Union Bankshares serves customers in the United States.

International Bancshares Corporation, through its bank subsidiaries, provides commercial and retail banking services through offices in south and southeast Texas.  The Bank accepts deposits from the general public and uses those funds to make a variety of loans.

Fulton Financial Corporation is a multi-bank holding company. The Banks offer a full range of general retail and commercial banking services, including deposits, loans, equipment leasing and financing, and credit cards. Fulton operates in Pennsylvania, Maryland, Delaware, and New Jersey.

The Bank of East Asia, Limited and its subsidiaries provide general banking, related financial, business corporate, and investor services.

Huishang Bank Corporation Limited is a commercial bank. The Bank provides banking services including loans, money market operations, treasury business, investment and trading services, and valet transactions.

Taichung Commercial Bank conducts commercial banking and trust business.  The Bank accepts deposits, offers loans, as well as  invests in bonds and stocks. Taichung Commercial Banks provides bills and notes discounting, draft endorsement, domestic remittance, guarantee, and securities underwriting and brokerage services.

The Bank of Kyoto, Ltd. is a regional bank in Kyoto.  The Bank provides banking services including deposits, savings, loans, foreign exchange transactions, and securities investments.  The Bank of Kyoto also provides financial services such as letter of credit, leasing, loans, and credit cards.

Hong Leong Financial Group Berhad is a banking and financial services holding company. The Company provides a range of services including commercial and consumer banking, investment banking, and insurance broking. Through its subsidiaries, Hong Leong Financial underwrites life/general insurance, provides funds management, corporate advisory, and stock and share broking services.

Ameris Bancorp is a multi-bank holding company. The Banks provide a broad range of retail and commercial banking services to its customers, including checking and savings deposits, commercial and consumer loans, trust services, discount brokerage services, and electronic funds transfer services. Ameris Bancorp operates in Georgia, Florida, and Alabama.

United Community Banks, Inc. is a multi-bank holding company with locations throughout north Georgia and western North Carolina.  The Banks are community oriented and offer retail and corporate banking services including checking, savings, and time deposit accounts, secured and unsecured loans, wire transfers, trust services, and rental of safe deposit boxes.

Bandhan Bank Limited operates as a commercial bank. The Bank provides accounts checking, savings deposits, money market, mortgage, and term loans services, as well as card facilities and Internet banking services. Bandhan Bank serves customers in India.

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Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)

NIFTY100 Index Rebalance Preview: Active Trading Before Passive Trading Kicks In

There should be 5 changes to the NIFTY100 in March. Quite a few names overlap with the potential AMFI reclassification of stocks which will result...

Brian Freitas

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2022): A Bunch of Migrations

Near the end of the review period, we see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 from LargeCap to MidCap, 8 from SmallCap to MidCap and vice...

Brian Freitas

Bandhan Bank (BANDHAN) - Darkest Before Dawn

Bandhan Bank (BANDHAN) has been taking it on the chin as the bank continuously cleanses its balance sheet with EEB stress pool moderating to INR95b

Motilal Oswal

Bandhan Bank - Transforming into a True Universal Bank

The bank remains determined to grow its non-MFI book (including affordable housing, prime housing, micro/larger LAP, gold, cards, VF, PL, and...

Emkay

Bandhan Bank (Update): Hard pivot ahead to offset volatile core franchise. Maintain ADD

Bandhan Bank (BANDHAN) hosted an Analyst Day to articulate its medium-term strategic priorities around portfolio diversification and strengthening...

HDFC Securities

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