Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for nearly 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for nearly 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Long Range Strategy (LRS) to drive sustainable growth – As a part of the long-range strategy rolled out by Bajaj Finance (BAF), the company aspires to be a leading payments and financial services company in the country and look to dominate with 100 Mn consumer franchise commanding a market share of 3% of payments GMV and ~3-4%/4-5% of total credit/retail credit.</li><li>Focus remains on margin protection – The competitive intensity has remained elevated, especially in the mortgage segment and BAF continues to prioritize protecting margins.</li><li>The company is gradually passing on the impact of higher interest rates to customers (~50-70bps in the fixed loan products and entirely in the variable loans) across businesses.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Long Range Strategy (LRS) to drive sustainable growth – As a part of the long-range strategy rolled out by Bajaj Finance (BAF), the company aspires to be a leading payments and financial services company in the country and look to dominate with 100 Mn consumer franchise commanding a market share of 3% of payments GMV and ~3-4%/4-5% of total credit/retail credit.Focus remains on margin protection – The competitive intensity has remained elevated, especially in the mortgage segment and BAF continues to prioritize protecting margins.The company is gradually passing on the impact of higher interest rates to customers (~50-70bps in the fixed loan products and entirely in the variable loans) across businesses.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bajaj Finance Ltd. - Focus on Margin Protection Unabated

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Bajaj Finance: Bajaj Finance (BAF) delivered a strong operating performance, with steady NIMs in a rising interest rate and strong AUM growth (+27% YoY) environment</li><li>The healthy AUM growth comes despite elevated competitive intensity in select segments such as home loans, B2B finance, etc</li><li>Asset quality improved further, with GS-II/GS-III at 1.3%/1.1% (FY22: 2%/1.6%) and normalised credit costs.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bajaj Finance: Bajaj Finance (BAF) delivered a strong operating performance, with steady NIMs in a rising interest rate and strong AUM growth (+27% YoY) environmentThe healthy AUM growth comes despite elevated competitive intensity in select segments such as home loans, B2B finance, etcAsset quality improved further, with GS-II/GS-III at 1.3%/1.1% (FY22: 2%/1.6%) and normalised credit costs.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India, Yellowstone Equity

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India

Creating Wealth through Alpha and Compounding

Yellowstone Equity

Providing unbiased and independent research on Indian equities to global institutions and individual investors


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Regulatory Disclosure: 
Note that Ankit Agrawal (Proprietor of Yellowstone Equity) is a SEBI registered Research Analyst (Registration No.: INH000007216). Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing.

Research Analyst Contact Details:
Address: A-412, Shilp Aaron, Sindhu Bhavan Road, Ahmedabad, Gujarat - 380059
Email: services@yellowstoneequity.com
Mobile: +91-7575817289

Compliance/Grievance Officer:
Name: Ankit Agrawal
Email: services@yellowstoneequity.com
Mobile: +91-7575817289
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<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8950:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN)</a> reported key performance metrics for Q3FY23. AUM growth came in weak with incremental AUM addition at just 12,500cr vs 14,700cr YoY. </li>
<li>QoQ, the AUM growth looks decent at 5.5%+, however, given that the Q3FY23 was a festive season quarter, QoQ comparison is not as relevant.</li>
<li>However, BAF did a good job on customer acquisition. It acquired 3.1mm new customers (highest ever quarterly increase) vs 2.56mm YoY, a growth of 21%+.</li>
</ul>



Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN) reported key performance metrics for Q3FY23. AUM growth came in weak with incremental AUM addition at just 12,500cr vs 14,700cr YoY. 
QoQ, the AUM growth looks decent at 5.5%+, however, given that the Q3FY23 was a festive season quarter, QoQ comparison is not as relevant.
However, BAF did a good job on customer acquisition. It acquired 3.1mm new customers (highest ever quarterly increase) vs 2.56mm YoY, a growth of 21%+.


<ul><li>Axis Top Picks basket outperformed the benchmark by a significant margin as it delivered an impressive return of 11% in 2022 as against 4.3% posted by Nifty 50 during the year.</li><li>The basket, however, declined by 1.8% in Dec’22 on account of the volatile equity market but it still managed to beat the 3.5% de-growth reported by the benchmark Nifty 50 on an MoM basis.</li><li>Furthermore, the basket has delivered an astounding return of 149% since its inception (May'20), which stands significantly higher than the 95% returns delivered by NIFTY 50 over the same period.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Top Picks basket outperformed the benchmark by a significant margin as it delivered an impressive return of 11% in 2022 as against 4.3% posted by Nifty 50 during the year.The basket, however, declined by 1.8% in Dec’22 on account of the volatile equity market but it still managed to beat the 3.5% de-growth reported by the benchmark Nifty 50 on an MoM basis.Furthermore, the basket has delivered an astounding return of 149% since its inception (May'20), which stands significantly higher than the 95% returns delivered by NIFTY 50 over the same period.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Top Picks - Near-Term Volatile, Continue ‘Buy On Dips’ Strategy for Equities

India

Shriram Finance Limited provides consumer finance services. The Company offers automobile, commercial vehicle, business, and gold loan services. Shriram Finance serves customers in India.

Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company Limited operates as a financial services provider. The Company offers vehicle finance, home equity loans, investment advisory, stock broking, and other financial services to customers.

Cholamandalam Investment and Finance (CIFC IN)

Muthoot Finance Ltd. is a gold financing company. The Company provides personal and business loans secured by gold jewellery, or Gold Loans primarily to individuals who possess gold jewelry but can't access formal credit lines.

SBI Cards and Payment Services Private Limited provides credit card services. The Company offers payment products and services in the form of corporate and credit cards with incentive and rewards programs. SBI Cards and Payment Services serves customers in India.

SBI Cards & Payment Services (SBICARD IN)

Sundaram Finance Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides various financial products and services in India. The Company offers savings products, car and commercial vehicle finance, insurance products, home loans and logistics services. Sundaram is based in Chennai, India.

Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services Limited is a finance company that provides finance to prospective buyers of Mahindra range of utility vehicles and tractors.  The Company extends finance through hire purchase/loan and lease modes.  Mahindra & Mahindra has a network of branches located across India.

Mahindra & Mahindra Fin Services Ltd. (MMFS IN)

Manappuram Finance Ltd. is a non-banking finance company. The Company offers loans against gold collateral, business loans, vehicle loans, foreign exchange and money transfer services; and sells gold coins.

CreditAccess Grameen Limited provides consumer finance services. The Company offers income generation, home improvement, emergency, and family welfare loans, as well as retail finance, insurance, and healthcare programs. CreditAccess Grameen serves clients in India.

Ujjivan Financial Services Ltd. provides financial services. The Company offers business, family, education, emergency, housing, and livestock loans. Ujjivan Financial Services serves customers throughout India.

MAS Financial Services Limited provides retail financial services. The Company offers loans and other financial services for homes, two wheeler vehicles, industrial machinery, properties, agricultural use, commercial vehicles, and insurance products. MAS Financial Services offers its services to small and medium enterprises in India.

Capital One Financial Corporation is a diversified bank. The Bank, through its subsidiaries, offers a broad spectrum of financial products and services to consumers, small businesses and commercial clients both domestically and internationally.  Capital One has bank locations in Connecticut, Louisiana, New Jersey, New York, and Texas.

Discover Financial Services is a credit card issuer and electronic payment services company.  The Company issues credit cards and offers student and personal loans, as well as savings products such as certificates of deposit and money market accounts  and operates an automated teller machine(ATM)/debit network, which includes ATMs, as well as POS terminals nationwide.

Synchrony Financial operates as a consumer financial services company. The Company provides  a range of credit products through programs we have established with a diverse group of national and regional retailers, local merchants, manufacturers, buying groups, industry associations and healthcare service providers.

Ally Financial Inc. is a automotive financial services company powered by a direct banking franchise. The Company operates as a financial holding company.

OneMain Holdings Inc. provides consumer financial services. The Company provides responsible loan products to customers through its branch network and through its centralized operations. OneMain Holdings operates in the United States.

Credit Acceptance Corporation provides funding, receivables management, collection, sales training, and related services to automobile dealers.  The Company provides indirect financing for buyers with limited access to traditional sources of consumer credit.  Credit Acceptance operates in the United States.

SLM Corporation, commonly known as Sallie Mae, provides education funding, originating and servicing of U.S. government guaranteed and private student loans.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, also provides debt management services and business and technical products to a range of clients including colleges, universities and loan guarantors.

ACOM CO., LTD is a consumer financing company.  The Company provides financial services such as secured/unsecured loans and consumer installment credits.

Nelnet, Inc. is a consumer finance company that provides products and services to participants in the education finance process.  The Company originates, holds, and services education loans and offers a broad range of financial services and technology-based products, including student loan origination and lending, student loan, and guarantee services.

FirstCash Holdings, Inc. owns and operates pawn stores. The Company focuses on serving cash and credit constrained consumers through its retail pawn locations. FirstCash Holdings serves customers worldwide.

Bajaj Finance Limited is a financial services company that operates branches in India, which provide an assortment of financial services.

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Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN)

Screening for GEMs: February 2023

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

Bajaj Finance Ltd. - Focus on Margin Protection Unabated

The competitive intensity has remained elevated, especially in the mortgage segment and BAF continues to prioritize protecting margins.

Axis Direct

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Finance, DLF

Bajaj Finance: Bajaj Finance (BAF) delivered a strong operating performance, with steady NIMs in a rising interest rate and strong AUM growth (+27%...

HDFC Securities

Bajaj Finance: Key Q3FY23 Updates

Bajaj Finance reported muted AUM growth, however its longer-term growth trajectory remains intact. Competition has been elevated but will weed out...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Top Picks - Near-Term Volatile, Continue ‘Buy On Dips’ Strategy for Equities

Axis Top Picks basket outperformed the benchmark by a significant margin as it delivered an impressive return of 11% in 2022 as against 4.3% posted...

Axis Direct

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