ASEAN (Indo) & China-focused. Ex-Deputy HoR UBS.

Johannes Salim, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We slice and dice the secrets of the Fed policies to derive comparative analysis between Reaganomics and Trumponomics.</li><li>Seven themes emerge from our deep dive.</li><li>We are bullish on financials, technology, and consumer discretionary in Asia-ex Japan region.</li><li>Will China's debt bubble (a.k.a. China's Lehman moment) finally burst?</li></ul>

We slice and dice the secrets of the Fed policies to derive comparative analysis between Reaganomics and Trumponomics.Seven themes emerge from our deep dive.We are bullish on financials, technology, and consumer discretionary in Asia-ex Japan region.Will China's debt bubble (a.k.a. China's Lehman moment) finally burst?

Hedge Hogging Series: What Are the Secrets of the Temple?

Differentiated global TMT & Internet Research

New Street Research Insights

New Street Research

Research is provided by our team of experienced analysts. Our work is idea driven, based on independence of thought, sector expertise, and firmly focused on fundamentals and valuation of telecoms and internet names globally. New Street is headquartered in London with offices in New York, Singapore and Australia. 

New Street Research is an independent, partner-owned, research firm specialising in equity and debt research. Our equity research embraces the following sectors:

Pan European Telecom Services and Cable
US Telecoms, Cable, Satellite and Towers
Global Emerging Market Telecoms
Japan Telecoms
Asian Internet
Pan European Healthcare
US Healthcare
Japanese Healthcare

We also provide debt research on:
Pan European Telecom Services and Cable

In addition to headline numbers like the GDP growth target (+6.5%) and CPI forecasts (unchanged at 3%), there were several announcements related to Internet and Telecoms at the National People’s Congress. We think the read-across to Internet is positive as policy positions like rural eCommerce expansion and integration of online/ offline largely reflect industry action whilst less positive statements on counterfeit goods and real estate pricing stability have been discussed before. On the…

In addition to headline numbers like the GDP growth target (+6.5%) and CPI forecasts (unchanged at 3%), there were several announcements related to Internet and Telecoms at the National People’s Congress. We think the read-across to Internet is positive as policy positions like rural eCommerce expansion and integration of online/ offline largely reflect industry action whilst less positive statements on counterfeit goods and real estate pricing stability have been discussed before. On the…

China NPC17: Read Across to Telecoms and Internet

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

For those with the time and inclination, I have provided links to the Work Report (given by the Premier), the NDRC Draft Plan for National Economic and Social Development, and the Ministry of Finance Budget Report (previous year and plan for current year)  provided for Deputies to vote upon at the "Two Sessions" meetings of the National People's Congress (since 2000).Often, reading these reports is a somniferous affair. But they can hint at slight changes in priorities.I expect we will see much…

For those with the time and inclination, I have provided links to the Work Report (given by the Premier), the NDRC Draft Plan for National Economic and Social Development, and the Ministry of Finance Budget Report (previous year and plan for current year)  provided for Deputies to vote upon at the "Two Sessions" meetings of the National People's Congress (since 2000).Often, reading these reports is a somniferous affair. But they can hint at slight changes in priorities.I expect we will see much…

NPC17: National People's Congress Reports

Founder and Strategist, Entext Economics & Strategy

Sean Maher

Founder and Strategist

Entext Economics & Strategy

Entext provides institutional investors with distinctive, actionable asset allocation and thematic research, which typically challenges the market consensus. Our clients range from credit, equity and multi-asset hedge and pension funds to family offices and sovereign funds. 
 
We focus on identifying key inflection points in macro data and relative asset performance amid the 'groupthink'  and confirmation bias that characterizes most investment bank analysis.

Macro Driven Investment Insight

<ul>
<li>The secular overweight since 2012 to semiconductor growth themes including sensor, parallel processing and communication chip stocks has outperformed wider tech indices.</li>
<li>The explosion in video steaming, cloud computing and the shift toward semi-autonomous vehicles as well as the huge computational intensity of AI software are all key drivers through end decade.</li>
<li>Global semiconductor industry sales saw accelerating growth from mid-2016, with Q4 sales of $93bn 12.3% higher y/y - semiconductors are…</li>
</ul>


The secular overweight since 2012 to semiconductor growth themes including sensor, parallel processing and communication chip stocks has outperformed wider tech indices.
The explosion in video steaming, cloud computing and the shift toward semi-autonomous vehicles as well as the huge computational intensity of AI software are all key drivers through end decade.
Global semiconductor industry sales saw accelerating growth from mid-2016, with Q4 sales of $93bn 12.3% higher y/y - semiconductors are…


Structural and Cyclical Drivers Underpin Semiconductor Outperformance

Equity Bottom-Up

We have been somewhat bearish on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/179" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:179:1">Baidu (BIDU US)</a> and highlighted this at the last quarter's results. Nothing we see in the latest numbers really changes that view.  Management remains optimistic on the potential for AI and its impact on the industry. Baidu is a leader in AI globally and China but it will take time to play out and business models remain unclear at this stage. In the meantime, prospects for core search growth remain muted. Regulatory pressures are easing but costs remain high and…

We have been somewhat bearish on Baidu (BIDU US) and highlighted this at the last quarter's results. Nothing we see in the latest numbers really changes that view.  Management remains optimistic on the potential for AI and its impact on the industry. Baidu is a leader in AI globally and China but it will take time to play out and business models remain unclear at this stage. In the meantime, prospects for core search growth remain muted. Regulatory pressures are easing but costs remain high and…

Baidu's 2017 Guidance Disappoints. Struggling with Weak Revenue and High Costs. Recovery Delayed.

China

Baidu, Inc. operates an Internet search engine. The Company offers algorithmic search, enterprise search, news, MP3, and image searches, voice assistance, online storage, and navigation services. Baidu serves clients globally.

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Baidu (BIDU US)

Hedge Hogging Series: What Are the Secrets of the Temple?

We slice and dice the secrets of the Fed policies to derive comparative analysis between Reaganomics and Trumponomics. Seven themes emerge from...

Johannes Salim, CFA

China NPC17: Read Across to Telecoms and Internet

In addition to headline numbers like the GDP growth target (+6.5%) and CPI forecasts (unchanged at 3%), there were several announcements related to...

New Street Research

NPC17: National People's Congress Reports

For those with the time and inclination, I have provided links to the Work Report (given by the Premier), the NDRC Draft Plan for National Economic...

Travis Lundy

Structural and Cyclical Drivers Underpin Semiconductor Outperformance

The secular overweight since 2012 to semiconductor growth themes including sensor, parallel processing and communication chip stocks has...

Sean Maher

Baidu's 2017 Guidance Disappoints. Struggling with Weak Revenue and High Costs. Recovery Delayed.

We have been somewhat bearish on Baidu (BIDU US) and highlighted this at the last quarter's results. Nothing we see in the latest numbers really...

New Street Research

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