Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Chinese digital advertising revenue growth has slowed down considerably over the past 4 quarters and Baidu has continued to consistently lose market share to the broader industry.</li>
<li>Non-Marketing revenue has led the growth for Baidu over the past 2 years and now contributes roughly 26% to Baidu Core (excludes iQiyi) revenue.</li>
<li>On a PE basis, Baidu is trading at only a slight discount to global giant, Alphabet, which testifies to the negative impact on earnings expectations from Baidu’s growth engines.</li>
</ul>


Chinese digital advertising revenue growth has slowed down considerably over the past 4 quarters and Baidu has continued to consistently lose market share to the broader industry.
Non-Marketing revenue has led the growth for Baidu over the past 2 years and now contributes roughly 26% to Baidu Core (excludes iQiyi) revenue.
On a PE basis, Baidu is trading at only a slight discount to global giant, Alphabet, which testifies to the negative impact on earnings expectations from Baidu’s growth engines.


Baidu: Can AI Cloud, Intelligent Driving Save the Day as Marketing Continues to Lose Market Share?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>GoAir (Go First) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming India IPO. The company is owned by the Wadia family, who also own <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/britannia-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16495:1" rel="noopener">Britannia Industries (BRIT IN)</a>.</li>
<li>Go Air is an ultra-low-cost carrier (ULCC) primarily operating in India. It had a market share of 10.8% in FY20 in the domestic market.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


GoAir (Go First) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming India IPO. The company is owned by the Wadia family, who also own Britannia Industries (BRIT IN).
Go Air is an ultra-low-cost carrier (ULCC) primarily operating in India. It had a market share of 10.8% in FY20 in the domestic market.
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Go Air (Go First) Pre-IPO - The Positives - Was Flying Reasonably High Pre-COVID

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The June rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI and HSTECH indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituents at 8%. This will lead to large flows.</li>
<li>The largest inflows will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-a55ca720-5968-48f0-8194-ac94390d065c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">SMIC (981 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orient-overseas-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:801:1" rel="noopener">Orient Overseas (316 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongsheng-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10573:1" rel="noopener">Zhongsheng Group (881 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lenovo-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13359:1" rel="noopener">Lenovo (992 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>The largest outflows will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASM Pacific (522 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-kuaishou-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou (1024 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aia-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14895:1" rel="noopener">AIA (1299 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-construction-bank-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45:1" rel="noopener">China Construction Bank (939 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The June rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI and HSTECH indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituents at 8%. This will lead to large flows.
The largest inflows will be on JD.com Inc. (9618 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Baidu (9888 HK), SMIC (981 HK), Orient Overseas (316 HK), Zhongsheng Group (881 HK), Lenovo (992 HK).
The largest outflows will be on Meituan (3690 HK), Alibaba (9988 HK), ASM Pacific (522 HK), Kuaishou (1024 HK), AIA (1299 HK), China Construction Bank (939 HK), HKEX (388 HK).


HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: June Rebalance Flows Post Capping

<ul>
<li>CALB aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>CALB undertakes design, R&amp;D, production and sales of EV batteries and Energy Storage Systems (ESS) products. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


CALB aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its Hong Kong IPO.
CALB undertakes design, R&amp;D, production and sales of EV batteries and Energy Storage Systems (ESS) products. 
In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.


CALB Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Lots of Shareholder Re-Shuffling

<ul>
<li>CALB aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>CALB undertakes design, R&amp;D, production and sales of EV batteries and Energy Storage Systems (ESS) products. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


CALB aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its Hong Kong IPO.
CALB undertakes design, R&amp;D, production and sales of EV batteries and Energy Storage Systems (ESS) products. 
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


CALB Pre-IPO - The Positives - Has Been Growing Fast

China

Baidu, Inc. operates an Internet search engine. The Company offers algorithmic search, enterprise search, news, MP3, and image searches, voice assistance, online storage, and navigation services. Baidu serves clients globally.

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Baidu (9888 HK)

Go Air (Go First) Pre-IPO - The Positives - Was Flying Reasonably High Pre-COVID

GoAir (Go First) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming India IPO. The company is owned by the Wadia family, who also own Britannia...

Sumeet Singh

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: June Rebalance Flows Post Capping

The June rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH indices will use todays close prices for capping. The one-way trade across all stocks across the three...

Brian Freitas

CALB Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Lots of Shareholder Re-Shuffling

CALB aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its Hong Kong IPO to ramp up its production capacity. CALB undertakes design, R&D, production and sales of EV...

Sumeet Singh

CALB Pre-IPO - The Positives - Has Been Growing Fast

CALB aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its Hong Kong IPO to ramp-up its battery production. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Baidu: Can AI Cloud, Intelligent Driving Save the Day as Marketing Continues to Lose Market Share?

In this insight, we look at the Chinese digital ad market, Baidu’s market share loss, and analyse whether AI Cloud and Intelligent Driving could...

Wium Malan, CFA

Go Air (Go First) Pre-IPO - The Positives - Was Flying Reasonably High Pre-COVID

GoAir (Go First) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming India IPO. The company is owned by the Wadia family, who also own Britannia...

Sumeet Singh

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: June Rebalance Flows Post Capping

The June rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH indices will use todays close prices for capping. The one-way trade across all stocks across the three...

Brian Freitas

CALB Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Lots of Shareholder Re-Shuffling

CALB aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its Hong Kong IPO to ramp up its production capacity. CALB undertakes design, R&D, production and sales of EV...

Sumeet Singh

CALB Pre-IPO - The Positives - Has Been Growing Fast

CALB aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its Hong Kong IPO to ramp-up its battery production. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the...

Sumeet Singh