Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Busy week in India with the adhoc changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank</a> due to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank</a> merger.</li>
<li>The IDX could announce the changes to the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices in the coming week, though there is no firm schedule for announcements.</li>
<li>Yet another week of inflows to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK)</a> ETF and outflows from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Busy week in India with the adhoc changes to the NIFTY, NSE Nifty Next 50, S&amp;P BSE SENSEX and Nifty Bank due to the HDFC Limited and HDFC Bank merger.
The IDX could announce the changes to the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices in the coming week, though there is no firm schedule for announcements.
Yet another week of inflows to the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK) ETF and outflows from the Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK). 


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, Chinext, URA, Korea Stocks, NKY

<ul>
<li>We forecast 22 changes across the ASX50 Index, ASX100 Index, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> and ASX300 Index at the September rebalance.</li>
<li>Some of the changes are high probability while others are close to cutoffs. The impact of passive trading will be pretty large on a lot of stocks.</li>
<li>Short interest on the potential deletes indicates some pre-positioning but there should still be a fair bit more to do.</li>
</ul>


We forecast 22 changes across the ASX50 Index, ASX100 Index, S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) and ASX300 Index at the September rebalance.
Some of the changes are high probability while others are close to cutoffs. The impact of passive trading will be pretty large on a lot of stocks.
Short interest on the potential deletes indicates some pre-positioning but there should still be a fair bit more to do.


S&P/​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes in September

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tax-loss-selling-in-australia-brief-historical-analysis-and-a-trade-basket" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:103750" rel="noopener">Tax-Loss Selling in Australia - Brief Historical Analysis And A Trade Basket</a> at the start of June I proposed a basket. </li>
<li>We are getting to the end of June. Time to unwind that short basket. The named ticker was -26%. The 70-name basket underperformed ASX200 by 4.4%.</li>
<li>One can now go long the basket into end-June as historically it outperforms S&amp;P-ASX200 over two months. If one did not short, one can still go long. Basket below.</li>
</ul>


In Tax-Loss Selling in Australia - Brief Historical Analysis And A Trade Basket at the start of June I proposed a basket. 
We are getting to the end of June. Time to unwind that short basket. The named ticker was -26%. The 70-name basket underperformed ASX200 by 4.4%.
One can now go long the basket into end-June as historically it outperforms S&amp;P-ASX200 over two months. If one did not short, one can still go long. Basket below.


[UPDATE] Tax-Loss Selling in Australia - Time To Unwind the Basket

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run up to the September 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>I currently expect one change for the ASX 100 index and five changes (including one intra-review change) for the ASX 200 index.</li>
<li>There could be 7 ADDs and 5 DELs for the ASX 300 index.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run up to the September 2023 Rebalance.
I currently expect one change for the ASX 100 index and five changes (including one intra-review change) for the ASX 200 index.
There could be 7 ADDs and 5 DELs for the ASX 300 index.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep 23: Many Changes Ahead

<ul>
<li>The review period for the June rebalance of the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices ends tomorrow and we expect two changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>Impact of passive trading on the stocks varies between 4.3-11 days of ADV. Short interest on the potential adds is small while there are significant shorts on the potential deletes.</li>
<li>We expect there is pre-positioning on at least three of the four stocks. In some cases that is small, while it could be a lot larger in other stocks.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the June rebalance of the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices ends tomorrow and we expect two changes for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX). 
Impact of passive trading on the stocks varies between 4.3-11 days of ADV. Short interest on the potential adds is small while there are significant shorts on the potential deletes.
We expect there is pre-positioning on at least three of the four stocks. In some cases that is small, while it could be a lot larger in other stocks.


S&P/​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes, Impact, Shorts & Positioning

Australia

Peppermint Innovation Limited designs and develops banking software solutions. The Company offers mobile banking, payments, and remittance technology solutions for banks, mobile money operators, remittance companies, payment processors, retailers, credit card companies, and micro-finance institutions. Peppermint Innovation serves customers worldwide.

Yojee Ltd develops logistic technology software platform. The Company utilizes the sharing-economy concept, that seeks to build a solution for the logistics industry. Yojee operates in Australia.

Cirrus Networks Holdings Limited provides information technology solutions. The Company focuses on designing, building, and managing information technology infrastructure. Cirrus Networks Holdings serves customers in Australia.

Dubber Corporation Limited designs and develops communication software. The Company offers cloud call recording, saving, and playback software. Dubber serves customers worldwide.

Crestal Petroleum Limited explores for and produces oil in Australia.

Sayona Mining Ltd is a diamond exploration and production company whose primary exploration tenements are located in the Republic of Botswana.

Syrah Resources Limited is a mineral exploration company. The Company's projects provide exposure to graphite, vanadium, mineral sands, copper, coal and uranium.

Catalyst Metals Ltd. operates as a mineral exploration company. The Company explores for and mines molybdenum. Catalyst Metals serves customers in Australia.

Dacian Gold Limited. is a mineral exploration and development company. The Company is focused on the Mount Morgans Project which is located in the Laverton District of Western Australia's North Eastern Goldfields.

Grange Resources Limited is a mining and exploration company. The Company explores for iron ore and pellets. Grange Resources serves customers in Australia and Asia.

Dalian Zeus Entertainment Co. develops and distributes webpage online games and mobile games.

Ocean Plastics Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets plastic products.  The Company's main products include Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) sheets, PVC powder, PVC plates, PVC leather, PVC pipes, and Polyurethane (PU) synthetic leather.

Ishihara Chemical Company, Ltd. manufactures and sells plating solution and metal finishing agents for semiconductors and electronic parts.  The Company also manufactures car waxes, air fresheners, and touch up paints for automobiles.

Pokarna Ltd. is engaged in granite quarrying. The Company's quarrying operations span various colors across several locations primarily in South India.

Carlit Holdings Co., Ltd. is a holding company established through the merger of JAPAN CARLIT CO., LTD. and its affiliated companies.  The Company is mainly engaged in manufacturing explosives, chemicals, and electronic materials.

New Pacific Metals Corp. is a Canadian Mining Issuer, in the business of exploring and developing precious metal properties in Bolivia. The Company's flagship project is the silver sand project in the potosi department of Bolivia.

Hodogaya Chemical CO., Ltd. manufactures various types of chemicals such as dyes, intermediates, and resins.  The Company markets its products in Southeast Asia, North America, and Europe, as well as in Japan.

Monnet Ispat Limited manufactures a range of steel products, ferro alloys and sponge iron.  The Company also produces power for captive consumption.

Hokko Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. produces and markets mainly agrochemicals and other fine chemical products.  The Company's other products include materials for electronic components and photoresist.

Hubei Guochuang Hi-tech Material Co.,Ltd develops, produces and sells asphalt and emulsified asphalt products.  All emulsified asphalt produced by the Company is used in driveway pavement.

BrainChip Holdings Ltd operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides neural computing technology solutions. Brainchip Holdings offers artificial neural networks, software, and digital hardware solutions in Australia and the United States.

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BrainChip Holdings (BRN AU)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, Chinext, URA, Korea Stocks, NKY

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes in September

There could be around 22 changes for the SnP/ASX family of indices in September. The impact of passive trading will be high on a lot of stocks and...

Brian Freitas

[UPDATE] Tax-Loss Selling in Australia - Time To Unwind the Basket

The June Aus Tax-Loss Selling Basket has worked, trailing ASX200 by ~4.4% since end-May (or early June execution). The named ticker was -26%....

Travis Lundy

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep 23: Many Changes Ahead

ABP's price ratios vs peers are very close to the upper Bollinger bands and have also significantly outperformed the trends in FY+1 and FY+2 EPS...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes, Impact, Shorts & Positioning

There could be 2 changes for the ASX200 in June. Impact is high on most stocks. Shorts are small on the adds & very high on the deletes. There...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, Chinext, URA, Korea Stocks, NKY

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

S&P/​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes in September

There could be around 22 changes for the SnP/ASX family of indices in September. The impact of passive trading will be high on a lot of stocks and...

Brian Freitas

[UPDATE] Tax-Loss Selling in Australia - Time To Unwind the Basket

The June Aus Tax-Loss Selling Basket has worked, trailing ASX200 by ~4.4% since end-May (or early June execution). The named ticker was -26%....

Travis Lundy

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep 23: Many Changes Ahead

ABP's price ratios vs peers are very close to the upper Bollinger bands and have also significantly outperformed the trends in FY+1 and FY+2 EPS...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes, Impact, Shorts & Positioning

There could be 2 changes for the ASX200 in June. Impact is high on most stocks. Shorts are small on the adds & very high on the deletes. There...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes in September

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes, Impact, Shorts & Positioning