Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<div><p>Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO.</p></div><div><p>It has two main businesses: Asia-Pacific Branded Food and Beverage Business (BFB), which sells instant noodles, biscuits and other products, and meat alternative (MA) business which includes Quorn and Cauldron meat alternatives brands.</p></div><div><p>MNC has a high market share in the Philippines in the instant noodles and biscuits segment along with a few other categories as well. Quorn as well has a strong lead over its next largest peers in the Chicken alternative meat segment in the grocery channel. </p></div><div><p>In our previous notes, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/monde-nissin-pre-ipo-the-positives-high-market-share" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Positives - High Market Share</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/monde-nissin-pre-ipo-the-negatives-high-debt-div-payments-floundering-ma" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Negatives - High Debt, Div Payments, Floundering MA</a> we spoke about the company background and its past performance. In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/monde-nissin-pre-ipo-peer-comparison-for-food-business" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison for Food Business</a> we compared the food business with regional and local peers.</p></div><div><p>In this note, we’ll compare its Meat Alterative division with its global rivals.</p></div>

Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO.It has two main businesses: Asia-Pacific Branded Food and Beverage Business (BFB), which sells instant noodles, biscuits and other products, and meat alternative (MA) business which includes Quorn and Cauldron meat alternatives brands.MNC has a high market share in the Philippines in the instant noodles and biscuits segment along with a few other categories as well. Quorn as well has a strong lead over its next largest peers in the Chicken alternative meat segment in the grocery channel. In our previous notes, Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Positives - High Market Share, and Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Negatives - High Debt, Div Payments, Floundering MA we spoke about the company background and its past performance. In Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison for Food Business we compared the food business with regional and local peers.In this note, we’ll compare its Meat Alterative division with its global rivals.

Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison for Meat Alternative Business

<div><p>Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO.</p></div><div><p>It has two main businesses: Asia-Pacific Branded Food and Beverage Business (BFB), which sells instant noodles, biscuits and other products, and meat alternative (MA) business which includes Quorn and Cauldron meat alternatives brands.</p></div><div><p>MNC has a high market share in the Philippines in the instant noodles and biscuits segment along with a few other categories as well. Quorn as well has a strong lead over its next largest peers in the Chicken alternative meat segment in the grocery channel. </p></div><div><p>In our previous notes, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/monde-nissin-pre-ipo-the-positives-high-market-share" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Positives - High Market Share</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/monde-nissin-pre-ipo-the-negatives-high-debt-div-payments-floundering-ma" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Negatives - High Debt, Div Payments, Floundering MA</a> we spoke about the company background and its past performance.</p></div><p>In this note, we’ll compare its BFB division’s performance with other listed regional peers.</p>

Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO.It has two main businesses: Asia-Pacific Branded Food and Beverage Business (BFB), which sells instant noodles, biscuits and other products, and meat alternative (MA) business which includes Quorn and Cauldron meat alternatives brands.MNC has a high market share in the Philippines in the instant noodles and biscuits segment along with a few other categories as well. Quorn as well has a strong lead over its next largest peers in the Chicken alternative meat segment in the grocery channel. In our previous notes, Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Positives - High Market Share, and Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Negatives - High Debt, Div Payments, Floundering MA we spoke about the company background and its past performance.In this note, we’ll compare its BFB division’s performance with other listed regional peers.

Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison for Food Business

<p>Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO.</p><p>It primarily has two main businesses: Asia-Pacific Branded Food and Beverage Business, which sells instant noodles, biscuits and other products, and meat alternative business which includes Quorn and Cauldron meat alternatives brands.</p><p>MNC has a high market share in the Philippines in the instant noodles and biscuits segment along with a few other categories as well. Quorn as well has a strong lead over its next largest peers in the Chicken alternative meat segment in the grocery channel. </p><p>In this note, I'll talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</p>

Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO.It primarily has two main businesses: Asia-Pacific Branded Food and Beverage Business, which sells instant noodles, biscuits and other products, and meat alternative business which includes Quorn and Cauldron meat alternatives brands.MNC has a high market share in the Philippines in the instant noodles and biscuits segment along with a few other categories as well. Quorn as well has a strong lead over its next largest peers in the Chicken alternative meat segment in the grocery channel. In this note, I'll talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Positives - High Market Share

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Independent Insight Provider

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Equity Bottom-Up

Bank of the Philippine Islands / Equity Bottom-Up

<p><strong><em>*Weak Results:</em></strong> Bank of the Philippine Islands (BPI.PM) [BPI] reported 4Q20 results of PHP 4.2 bn, declining PHP 1.3 bn (23.1%) linked quarter. Results were difficult across the board for BPI, but primarily driven by a justified PHP 885 mn (14.6%) increase in loss provisions – reversing the decline seen in 3Q20. BPI will be holding an analyst briefing on Friday 29 January 2021; and  </p><p><strong><em>*Credit Quality Challenges Set To Continue: </em></strong>BPI is still contending with higher than normal NCOs which have caused an accelerated level of net new NPLs at 4Q20 of 65.4%. Given the continued break in credit which shows no signs of abating, we find that BPI’s reserves are short by over PHP 19.0 bn – nearly five years of bottom-line performance.  </p>

*Weak Results: Bank of the Philippine Islands (BPI.PM) [BPI] reported 4Q20 results of PHP 4.2 bn, declining PHP 1.3 bn (23.1%) linked quarter. Results were difficult across the board for BPI, but primarily driven by a justified PHP 885 mn (14.6%) increase in loss provisions – reversing the decline seen in 3Q20. BPI will be holding an analyst briefing on Friday 29 January 2021; and  *Credit Quality Challenges Set To Continue: BPI is still contending with higher than normal NCOs which have caused an accelerated level of net new NPLs at 4Q20 of 65.4%. Given the continued break in credit which shows no signs of abating, we find that BPI’s reserves are short by over PHP 19.0 bn – nearly five years of bottom-line performance.  

Bank of Philippine Islands – Lots Of Wood To Chop

Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div>
<p>In a follow up to similar styled notes from 2017-2018-2019</p>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/overview-of-my-winners-and-losers-in-2019-and-5-high-conviction-ideas-going-into-2020" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:35000" rel="noopener">Overview of My Winners and Losers in 2019... And 5 High Conviction Ideas Going into 2020</a> </p>
</div><div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/overview-of-my-winners-and-losers-in-2018-and-5-high-conviction-ideas-going-into-2019" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:26696" rel="noopener">Overview of My Winners and Losers in 2018...and 5 High Conviction Ideas Going into 2019</a> </p></div><div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/overview-of-my-winners-and-losers-in-2017-and-5-high-conviction-ideas-going-into-2018" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:16368" rel="noopener">Overview of My Winners and Losers in 2017...and 5 High Conviction Ideas Going into 2018</a></p></div><div><p>I again look at my stock ideas that have worked out in 2020, those that have not, and those where the verdict is still pending. I will also highlight 5 new high conviction ideas for 2021.</p></div><div><p>Last year I provided 5 high conviction ideas and here is their performance:</p></div><div><table class="table table-striped"><tbody>
<tr>
<td style="width: 188.19px;">Company</td>
<td style="width: 135.71px;">Share Price 19 Dec 2019</td>
<td style="width: 173.14px;">Share Price 24 December 2020</td>
<td style="width: 64.07px;">Dividends</td>
<td style="width: 80.89px;">% Total Return</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 188.19px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aem-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11019:1" rel="noopener">AEM Holdings (AEM SP)</a> </td>
<td style="width: 135.71px;">1.89 SGD</td>
<td style="width: 173.14px;">3.43 SGD</td>
<td style="width: 64.07px;">0.0081 SGD</td>
<td style="width: 80.89px;">+81.91%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 188.19px;"><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/24110" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24110:1" rel="noopener">Procurri Corporation (PROC SP)</a></td>
<td style="width: 135.71px;">0.48 SGD</td>
<td style="width: 173.14px;">0.28 SGD</td>
<td style="width: 64.07px;">0.000 SGD</td>
<td style="width: 80.89px;">-41.66%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 188.19px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunpower-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18395:1" rel="noopener">Sunpower Group (SPWG SP)</a> </td>
<td style="width: 135.71px;">0.57 SGD</td>
<td style="width: 173.14px;">0.76 SGD</td>
<td style="width: 64.07px;">0.0025 SGD</td>
<td style="width: 80.89px;">+33.77%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 188.19px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ips-securex-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15717:1" rel="noopener">IPS Securex (IPSS SP)</a> </td>
<td style="width: 135.71px;">0.004 SGD</td>
<td style="width: 173.14px;">0.08 SGD</td>
<td style="width: 64.07px;">0.000 SGD</td>
<td style="width: 80.89px;">+100%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 188.19px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosco-shipping-international-8a9750d4-23c7-4832-9b67-2032ca7ec1f3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:672:1" rel="noopener">Cosco International Holdings (517 HK)</a> </td>
<td style="width: 135.71px;">2.01 HKD</td>
<td style="width: 173.14px;">2.38 HKD</td>
<td style="width: 64.07px;">0.16 HKD</td>
<td style="width: 80.89px;">+26.50%</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table></div>


In a follow up to similar styled notes from 2017-2018-2019
Overview of My Winners and Losers in 2019... And 5 High Conviction Ideas Going into 2020 
Overview of My Winners and Losers in 2018...and 5 High Conviction Ideas Going into 2019 Overview of My Winners and Losers in 2017...and 5 High Conviction Ideas Going into 2018I again look at my stock ideas that have worked out in 2020, those that have not, and those where the verdict is still pending. I will also highlight 5 new high conviction ideas for 2021.Last year I provided 5 high conviction ideas and here is their performance:

Company
Share Price 19 Dec 2019
Share Price 24 December 2020
Dividends
% Total Return



AEM Holdings (AEM SP) 
1.89 SGD
3.43 SGD
0.0081 SGD
+81.91%


Procurri Corporation (PROC SP)
0.48 SGD
0.28 SGD
0.000 SGD
-41.66%



Sunpower Group (SPWG SP) 
0.57 SGD
0.76 SGD
0.0025 SGD
+33.77%



IPS Securex (IPSS SP) 
0.004 SGD
0.08 SGD
0.000 SGD
+100%



Cosco International Holdings (517 HK) 
2.01 HKD
2.38 HKD
0.16 HKD
+26.50%



Overview of My Winners and Losers in 2020...And 5 High Conviction Ideas Going into 2021

Philippines

Ayala Corporation, through its subsidiaries, develops real estate properties. The Company also provides financial services, insurance, and information technology and telecommunications services. In addition, Ayala manufactures and sells passenger cars as well as having operations in the food and agriculture industries.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Ayala Corporation (AC PM)

Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison for Meat Alternative Business

Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO. In this note, we will compare its...

Sumeet Singh

Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison for Food Business

Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO. In this note we compare its food...

Sumeet Singh

Bank of Philippine Islands – Lots Of Wood To Chop

BANK OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS: BPI reported a 23.1% linked quarter earnings decline in 4Q20. Results were difficult across the board for BPI,...

Thomas J. Monaco

Overview of My Winners and Losers in 2020...And 5 High Conviction Ideas Going into 2021

Looking back at our 2020 favorite picks shows good performance across the board except for Procurri which declined over 40%. We also highlight 5...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison for Meat Alternative Business

Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO. In this note, we will compare its...

Sumeet Singh

Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison for Food Business

Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Philippines IPO. In this note we compare its food...

Sumeet Singh

Monde Nissin Pre-IPO - The Positives - High Market Share

Monde Nissin (MNC), a food manufacturer in the Philippines, aims to raise around US$1bn in its IPO. MNC has a high market share in the Philippines...

Sumeet Singh

Bank of Philippine Islands – Lots Of Wood To Chop

BANK OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS: BPI reported a 23.1% linked quarter earnings decline in 4Q20. Results were difficult across the board for BPI,...

Thomas J. Monaco

Overview of My Winners and Losers in 2020...And 5 High Conviction Ideas Going into 2021

Looking back at our 2020 favorite picks shows good performance across the board except for Procurri which declined over 40%. We also highlight 5...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven