External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Oil India: Our ADD recommendation on Oil India with a target price of INR 680 is premised on oil production growth at 9% CAGR and gas production growth at 26% CAGR over FY24-26E</li><li>Q4FY24 EBITDA stood at INR 23bn (-1% YoY, +11% QoQ), and PAT at INR 20bn (+14% YoY, +28% QoQ) came in above our estimate, driven by higher-than-expected realisations and higher other income</li><li>Oil and gas production stood at 1.65mmtoe (+5% YoY, -1% QoQ), below our estimates. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Oil India: Our ADD recommendation on Oil India with a target price of INR 680 is premised on oil production growth at 9% CAGR and gas production growth at 26% CAGR over FY24-26EQ4FY24 EBITDA stood at INR 23bn (-1% YoY, +11% QoQ), and PAT at INR 20bn (+14% YoY, +28% QoQ) came in above our estimate, driven by higher-than-expected realisations and higher other incomeOil and gas production stood at 1.65mmtoe (+5% YoY, -1% QoQ), below our estimates. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Oil India, Astral, Eris Lifesciences, Aether Industries

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There will be a bunch of rebalance announcements towards the start and at the end of the coming week. This includes the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a>, HSCI, HSIII and global indices.</li>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a> and related indices ends on 16 February. The announcement of the changes will come couple of weeks later.</li>
<li>There were HUGE inflows to mainland China ETFs for yet another week as Central Huijin indicated that they would continue to buy/create ETFs units.</li>
</ul>


There will be a bunch of rebalance announcements towards the start and at the end of the coming week. This includes the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSCI, HSIII and global indices.
The review period for the March rebalance of the S&amp;P/ASX 200 and related indices ends on 16 February. The announcement of the changes will come couple of weeks later.
There were HUGE inflows to mainland China ETFs for yet another week as Central Huijin indicated that they would continue to buy/create ETFs units.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR100, NEXT50, LowVol30, KOSPI200, TW50, NWD, ITC, India Float

<ul>
<li>Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-December in January. There are companies with significant float changes from end-September and/or end-December.</li>
<li>The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in action from passive trackers.</li>
<li>There are 15 stocks that could have passive inflows from global trackers while 9 could see passive outflows in February.</li>
</ul>


Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-December in January. There are companies with significant float changes from end-September and/or end-December.
The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in action from passive trackers.
There are 15 stocks that could have passive inflows from global trackers while 9 could see passive outflows in February.


India: Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in February

<ul><li>Titan: Titan’s top line grew 22% YoY to INR 141.6bn (HSIE: INR 148.2bn)</li><li>Jewellery (ex-bullion) sales grew 24% YoY to INR125.6bn (in-line)</li><li>Festive purchases resulted in double-digit buyer growth in jewellery, moderation was seen after Nov-23 though Consolidated EBITDAM contracted 55 bps YoY to 11% (in-line)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Titan: Titan’s top line grew 22% YoY to INR 141.6bn (HSIE: INR 148.2bn)Jewellery (ex-bullion) sales grew 24% YoY to INR125.6bn (in-line)Festive purchases resulted in double-digit buyer growth in jewellery, moderation was seen after Nov-23 though Consolidated EBITDAM contracted 55 bps YoY to 11% (in-line)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Titan, Astral, Aditya Birla Capital, IRB Infra

<ul><li>In Q3FY24, our coverage universe’s revenue/EBITDA/APAT are expected to grow by 8/31/43% YoY respectively</li><li>Revenue growth is muted owing to sub-par demand for tiles, wood panels and lower realisation for pipes</li><li>EBITDA/ PAT will rise strongly, mainly owing to higher inventory loss (pipes) and gas price (tiles) in the base quarter</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In Q3FY24, our coverage universe’s revenue/EBITDA/APAT are expected to grow by 8/31/43% YoY respectivelyRevenue growth is muted owing to sub-par demand for tiles, wood panels and lower realisation for pipesEBITDA/ PAT will rise strongly, mainly owing to higher inventory loss (pipes) and gas price (tiles) in the base quarterContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Building Materials (Q3FY24 Results Preview): No Sign of Demand Revival, Stable Margins

India

Astral Polytechnik Limited manufactures and markets CPVC plumbing systems for residential and industrial applications. The Company also manufactures ASTM solvent weld lead free PVC plumbing systems.

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Astral Ltd (ASTRA IN)

HSIE Results Daily: Oil India, Astral, Eris Lifesciences, Aether Industries

Our ADD recommendation on Oil India with a target price of INR 680 is premised on oil production growth at 9% CAGR and gas production growth at 26%...

HDFC Securities

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: STAR100, NEXT50, LowVol30, KOSPI200, TW50, NWD, ITC, India Float

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

India: Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in February

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices. Passive trackers will need to trade over 3...

Brian Freitas

HSIE Results Daily: Titan, Astral, Aditya Birla Capital, IRB Infra

Festive purchases resulted in double-digit buyer growth in jewellery, moderation was seen after Nov-23 though Consolidated EBITDAM contracted 55...

HDFC Securities

Building Materials (Q3FY24 Results Preview): No Sign of Demand Revival, Stable Margins

In Q3FY24, our coverage universe’s revenue/EBITDA/APAT are expected to grow by 8/31/43% YoY respectively. Revenue growth is muted owing to sub-par...

HDFC Securities

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