Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC winning with Nvidia's business, beating Samsung due to TSMC's advanced packaging technology; this highlights the rising importance and complexity of chip packaging.</li>
<li>China export restrictions for rare earths used in semiconductors highlight opportunity for U.S. and Australian rare earths producers. We identify two potential plays.</li>
<li>Nanya Technology Earnings: DRAM market has bottomed, sees industry improvement ahead. We see a trading Long opportunity.</li>
</ul>


TSMC winning with Nvidia's business, beating Samsung due to TSMC's advanced packaging technology; this highlights the rising importance and complexity of chip packaging.
China export restrictions for rare earths used in semiconductors highlight opportunity for U.S. and Australian rare earths producers. We identify two potential plays.
Nanya Technology Earnings: DRAM market has bottomed, sees industry improvement ahead. We see a trading Long opportunity.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Packaging Tech Ahead of Samsung; China Rare Earths Restrictions Plays; DRAM

<ul>
<li>Netherlands expands range of semiconductor tech restricted for export; Tightening the vice further on China's semiconductor industry.</li>
<li>AI In The Family: Nvidia founder Jensen Huang a distant cousin of AMD CEO Lisa Su.</li>
<li>TSMC supplier hit by cyberattack, Hon Hai expanding EV in Vietnam, plus our recent research notes on Hon Hai, Nanya Tech, Himax, Yageo, and Delta.</li>
</ul>


Netherlands expands range of semiconductor tech restricted for export; Tightening the vice further on China's semiconductor industry.
AI In The Family: Nvidia founder Jensen Huang a distant cousin of AMD CEO Lisa Su.
TSMC supplier hit by cyberattack, Hon Hai expanding EV in Vietnam, plus our recent research notes on Hon Hai, Nanya Tech, Himax, Yageo, and Delta.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: New ASML Restrictions Tighten Vice Further on China; AI & The Nvidia/AMD Family

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global equities (MSCI ACWI) continue to hold above $93 on ACWI-US, a level that, since January, we had anticipated would cap upside in 2023. </li>
<li>While ACWI-US remains below $96-$97 (a target we discussed was possible in our April 18, 2023 Int’l Macro Vision), we could easily see $93 act as support moving forward.</li>
<li>Therefore, we are bullish on global equities as long as ACWI-US is above $93, targeting $110.29. This is the measured move price target following the inverse head-and-shoulders breakout.</li>
</ul>


Global equities (MSCI ACWI) continue to hold above $93 on ACWI-US, a level that, since January, we had anticipated would cap upside in 2023. 
While ACWI-US remains below $96-$97 (a target we discussed was possible in our April 18, 2023 Int’l Macro Vision), we could easily see $93 act as support moving forward.
Therefore, we are bullish on global equities as long as ACWI-US is above $93, targeting $110.29. This is the measured move price target following the inverse head-and-shoulders breakout.


MSCI ACWI-US Bullish Above $93; EURO STOXX 50 Holding At Uptrend; Buys in Discretionary, Tech, Svcs.

<ul>
<li>Micron results this week; will give a key readthrough for Nanya Tech. The latest memory chip pricing data implies it was another tough quarter.</li>
<li>Hon Hai's break out continues, with the shares achieving a new 52-week high. The company's new JV with automaker Stellantis may finally be winning over naysayers.</li>
<li>AI Leaders Basket: TSMC and ASML have substantially lagged Nvidia and could serve as AI-exposure alternatives to chasing Nvidia's rally.</li>
</ul>


Micron results this week; will give a key readthrough for Nanya Tech. The latest memory chip pricing data implies it was another tough quarter.
Hon Hai's break out continues, with the shares achieving a new 52-week high. The company's new JV with automaker Stellantis may finally be winning over naysayers.
AI Leaders Basket: TSMC and ASML have substantially lagged Nvidia and could serve as AI-exposure alternatives to chasing Nvidia's rally.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Micron Results Key for Nanya; Hon Hai New 52-Week High; AI Leaders Basket

<ul>
<li>Hon Hai shares have broken out to near-term highs after news flow regarding its investment agreement in Lordstown Motors.</li>
<li>PC makers Acer &amp; Asustek's share prices remain subdued since Nvidia results despite AI's potential to accelerate the PC upgrade cycle.</li>
<li>TSMC's ADR premium went even higher just today; Also, Realtek is suing Mediatek in the U.S., adding to our Long/Short watchlists.</li>
</ul>


Hon Hai shares have broken out to near-term highs after news flow regarding its investment agreement in Lordstown Motors.
PC makers Acer &amp; Asustek's share prices remain subdued since Nvidia results despite AI's potential to accelerate the PC upgrade cycle.
TSMC's ADR premium went even higher just today; Also, Realtek is suing Mediatek in the U.S., adding to our Long/Short watchlists.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hon Hai Breaking Out of Range; Acer/Asustek Subdued Despite PC Upgrade Potential

Netherlands

ASML Holding N.V. develops, produces, and markets semiconductor manufacturing equipment, specifically machines for the production of chips through lithography. The Company services clients world wide.

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ASML Holding NV (ASML NA)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Packaging Tech Ahead of Samsung; China Rare Earths Restrictions Plays; DRAM

China export restrictions for rare earths used in semiconductors highlight opportunity for U.S. and Australian rare earths producers.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: New ASML Restrictions Tighten Vice Further on China; AI & The Nvidia/AMD Family

Also -- TSMC supplier hit by cyberattack, Hon Hai expanding EV in Vietnam, plus our recent research notes on Hon Hai, Nanya Tech, Himax, Yageo, and...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

MSCI ACWI-US Bullish Above $93; EURO STOXX 50 Holding At Uptrend; Buys in Discretionary, Tech, Svcs.

MSCI $ACWI Bullish Above $93, inverse head-and-shoulders breakout targets $110; EURO $STOXX 50 Holding At the Uptrend; Buys in Consumer...

Vermilion Research

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Micron Results Key for Nanya; Hon Hai New 52-Week High; AI Leaders Basket

Hon Hai's break out continues, with the shares achieving a new 52-week high. The company's new JV with automaker Stellantis may finally be winning...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hon Hai Breaking Out of Range; Acer/Asustek Subdued Despite PC Upgrade Potential

TSMC's ADR premium went even higher just today; Also, Realtek is suing Mediatek in the U.S., adding to our Long/Short watchlists.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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