External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Auto OEMs: We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT of Auto OEMs under our coverage to grow at 17%/41%/50% YoY in Q2FY24.</li><li>This will be led by YoY growth in 1) The PV segment (up ~5% YoY in domestic sales), 7% growth in CV domestic sales, 59% growth in domestic 3W sales being partly offset by a 2% marginal drop in overall 2W sales volumes (domestic + exports),</li><li>2) Higher average selling price (ASP) on a YoY basis, led by price hikes taken by OEMs and improved product mix,</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto OEMs: We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT of Auto OEMs under our coverage to grow at 17%/41%/50% YoY in Q2FY24.This will be led by YoY growth in 1) The PV segment (up ~5% YoY in domestic sales), 7% growth in CV domestic sales, 59% growth in domestic 3W sales being partly offset by a 2% marginal drop in overall 2W sales volumes (domestic + exports),2) Higher average selling price (ASP) on a YoY basis, led by price hikes taken by OEMs and improved product mix,Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Sep’23 Wholesale Volumes: The PV domestic sales were led by higher SUV dispatches while entry-level car sales remained under pressure.</li><li>Domestic 2W sales grew by 13% MoM (up 2% YoY, excluding HMSI) as OEMs filled the channel inventory ahead of the festive season.</li><li>2W exports showed early signs of strength (needs monitoring) with industry (excl HMSI) growing 4%/1% on a YoY/QoQ basis. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Sep’23 Wholesale Volumes: The PV domestic sales were led by higher SUV dispatches while entry-level car sales remained under pressure.Domestic 2W sales grew by 13% MoM (up 2% YoY, excluding HMSI) as OEMs filled the channel inventory ahead of the festive season.2W exports showed early signs of strength (needs monitoring) with industry (excl HMSI) growing 4%/1% on a YoY/QoQ basis. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>We are proud to share that our Axis Top Picks basket delivered impressive returns of 32% in the last one year, beating by a wide margin the 15% return posted by the benchmark Nifty 50 index over this period.</li><li>Moreover, in Sep’23, the basket inched up further by 3.2%, marking an excellent outperformance of 1.2% over the Nifty 50 index which was up only 2% MoM.</li><li>These results strengthen our confidence in our thematic approach to Top Picks selection. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We are proud to share that our Axis Top Picks basket delivered impressive returns of 32% in the last one year, beating by a wide margin the 15% return posted by the benchmark Nifty 50 index over this period.Moreover, in Sep’23, the basket inched up further by 3.2%, marking an excellent outperformance of 1.2% over the Nifty 50 index which was up only 2% MoM.These results strengthen our confidence in our thematic approach to Top Picks selection. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Channel Check ahead of festive season: We interacted with the dealers across the country of Hero Moto Corp, TVS, Bajaj Auto, Eicher, Maruti Suzuki and Ashok Leyland.</li><li>We see more optimism by the dealers in the PV segment with robust demand for UVs.</li><li>In the 2W segment dealers are witnessing good demand for 125cc+ segment, while the entry level bikes continue to remain weak due to uneven and deficient monsoon in the key end markets.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Channel Check ahead of festive season: We interacted with the dealers across the country of Hero Moto Corp, TVS, Bajaj Auto, Eicher, Maruti Suzuki and Ashok Leyland.We see more optimism by the dealers in the PV segment with robust demand for UVs.In the 2W segment dealers are witnessing good demand for 125cc+ segment, while the entry level bikes continue to remain weak due to uneven and deficient monsoon in the key end markets.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>The companies under our coverage reported Revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth of +19%/+50%/+88% YoY against expectation of +18%/+49%/+69% driven by higher ASPs, sales volumes, and operating leverage.</li><li>On a QoQ basis, the aggregate Revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth/de-growth stood at -0.6%/-2.3%/+5%, against expectation of -1.3%/-2.6%/-6%.</li><li>The QoQ drag was largely led by Maruti and Ashok Leyland on account of lower sales volumes QoQ. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The companies under our coverage reported Revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth of +19%/+50%/+88% YoY against expectation of +18%/+49%/+69% driven by higher ASPs, sales volumes, and operating leverage.On a QoQ basis, the aggregate Revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth/de-growth stood at -0.6%/-2.3%/+5%, against expectation of -1.3%/-2.6%/-6%.The QoQ drag was largely led by Maruti and Ashok Leyland on account of lower sales volumes QoQ. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

Thermax Ltd manufactures equipment and machinery used to both produce and to conserve energy. The Company operates through a number of divisions, including Boilers, Heat Recovery Steam Generators, Water Treatment Plants and Air Pollution Control Equipment. In addition, Thermax  produces steam and gas turbines and diesel gensets through a number of strategic alliances.

Timken India Limited provides friction management solutions for a wide range of industry applications across the globe; from agriculture to construction, from heavy industrial applications to automobiles and from rail to related products. Timken provides a complete package solution for bearings and roll-shop maintenance.

Cummins India Limited manufactures internal combustion engines, including diesel, reciprocating piston, gas turbine and gasoline engines. The Company also manufactures generating sets and public transport-type passenger motor vehicles, including luxury coaches and air-field buses.  In addition, Cummins India Ltd. operates a computerized and fully-equipped research and development facility.

Grindwell Norton Limited manufactures abrasive products, including bonded and coated abrasives. The Company also manufactures silicon carbide and aluminum oxide, as well as industrial ceramics. Grindwell Norton also operates through a joint venture which manufactures a wide range of centralized lubrication systems (CLS).

Carborundum Universal Ltd manufactures refractories and electromineral grains. The Company produces coated and bonded abrasives, super refractories, aluminum oxide grains, calcined bauxite, electrocast refractories, silicon carbide grains and industrial ceramic products.

AIA Engineering Ltd. manufactures high chromium wear, corrosion, and abrasion resistant parts used by the cement, mining, and thermal power generation industries.

BEML Limited produces and sells earthmoving equipment, including railway rolling stock, heavy duty vehicles, wheel loaders, trailers, excavators and heavy recovery vehicles.

Titagarh Wagons Ltd. manufactures railroad cars.  The Company produces railway wagons, Bailey bridges, earth moving and mining equipment, and steel and iron castings.

Commercial Engineers & Body Builders Company Ltd. builds truck and locomotive bodies.  The Company produces dump truck, tanker, cargo box, skip-loader, garbage, troop carrier, prison van, fire engine and ambulance bodies; and locomotive, boxcar and passenger coach bodies.

SKF India Ltd. manufactures a wide range of ball and roller bearings, such as deep groove, taper roller and other types.  Bearings are used by a number of industries, including the automotive, electrical, power generation, cement, steel, petrochemical and textile industries.

Samsung Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. manufactures crude oil tankers, container vessels, bulk carriers, cruisers, and passenger ferries.  The Company also produces steel and bridge structures, and material handling equipment.  In addition, Samsung Heavy Industries provides civil engineering, architectural, and plant construction services.

Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (Holdings) Limited builds a wide range of ships. The Company produces a wide range of commercial vessels, mini bulk carriers, multi-purpose cargo vessels, containerships, chemical tankers, offshore supply vessels, rescue and salvage vessels, and lifting vessels.

Donaldson Company, Inc. manufactures filtration systems and replacement parts. The Company's products include filters and emission control products for heavy duty mobile equipment, in-plant air cleaning systems, air intake systems for industrial gas turbines, and specialized filters for computer disk drives, aircraft cabins, and semiconductors. Donaldson operates around the world.

AGCO Corporation manufactures and distributes agricultural equipment throughout the world.  The Company sells a range of agricultural equipment and related replacement parts, including tractors, combines, hay tools, sprayers, and forage equipment.  AGCO markets its products under a variety of brand names, including Massey Ferguson, AGCO, Tye, GLEANER, and Hesston.

EBARA CORPORATION manufactures pneumatic and hydraulic pumps and related equipment.  The Company's products include fuel, oil, water, and firefighting pumps, as well as steam turbines and boilers.  Ebara Corporation also engineers garbage incinerators, smoke desulfurizers, and other products related to environmental technology.

IHI Corporation manufactures heavy machinery. The Company produces aircraft jet engines, rocket propulsion systems, and ships for military and commercial use. Ishikawajima-Harima also constructs petroleum refineries and nuclear power plants.

Minebea Mitsumi manufactures and markets miniature and instrument ball bearings.  The Company also makes DC motors, servo motors, stepping motors, spindle motors, pivot assemblies, rod-end and spherical bearings, fasteners, and computer keyboards. Minebea Mitsumi has production facilities in Thailand and Singapore.

Watts Water Technologies, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells a line of products to the water regulation and control markets.  The Company has manufacturing plants and distribution channels in the United States, Canada, and Europe, as well as a joint venture in The People's Republic of China.

Chart Industries, Inc. is a global manufacturer of equipment used in the production, storage, and end-use of hydrocarbon and industrial gases. The Company's products include vacuum-insulated containment vessels, heat exchangers, cold boxes, and other cryogenic components.

RBC Bearings Incorporated designs, manufactures, and markets bearing products. The Company offers precision plain, roller, cam followers, couplings, collars, locking, tool holders, shafts, pins, rods, tubes, and ball bearings. RBC Bearings serves industrial, aerospace, and defense markets worldwide.

Ashok Leyland Limited manufactures medium and heavy duty commercial vehicles, including buses, tractors, dumpsters, haulage trucks, fire engines, and defense sector vehicles. The Company also manufactures industrial & marine engines, ferrous castings and spare parts for automobiles. Ashok Leyland sells its products in India and abroad.

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Ashok Leyland (AL IN)

Auto Q2FY24 Results Preview

Auto OEMs: We expect Revenue/EBITDA/PAT of Auto OEMs under our coverage to grow at 17%/41%/50% YoY in Q2FY24. This will be led by YoY growth in 1)...

Axis Direct

Auto Monthly Volume Sep 2023

Sep’23 Wholesale Volumes: The PV domestic sales were led by higher SUV dispatches while entry-level car sales remained under pressure.

Axis Direct

Axis Top Picks - Oct 2023

We are proud to share that our Axis Top Picks basket delivered impressive returns of 32% in the last one year, beating by a wide margin the 15%...

Axis Direct

Sector Update - Automotive Industry

Channel Check ahead of festive season: We interacted with the dealers across the country of Hero Moto Corp, TVS, Bajaj Auto, Eicher, Maruti Suzuki...

Axis Direct

Auto Sector: Q1FY24 Review

The companies under our coverage reported Revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth of +19%/+50%/+88% YoY against expectation of +18%/+49%/+69% driven by higher ASPs

Axis Direct

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