Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>New China semiconductor restrictions could be announced by the Netherlands and Japan by end-January.</li>
<li>Realtek 4Q22 results -- Signals weakness for companies serving the PC market, and could get worse in 1Q23E.</li>
<li>Western Digital &amp; Kioxia could merge NAND flash units to create a rival to Samsung.</li>
</ul>


New China semiconductor restrictions could be announced by the Netherlands and Japan by end-January.
Realtek 4Q22 results -- Signals weakness for companies serving the PC market, and could get worse in 1Q23E.
Western Digital &amp; Kioxia could merge NAND flash units to create a rival to Samsung.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Dutch & Japan China Restrictions End-January, Realtek Results Show Pain in PCs

<ul>
<li>UMC vs. TSMC results review comparison: Vastly different tones of results shows the large gap in industry performance for the most advanced chips products vs. the lesser advanced.</li>
<li>Japan gives mixed signals about rapidly joining U.S. chip restrictions vs. China.</li>
<li>TSMC and UMC were some of the most net-bought stocks in Taiwan by foreigners last week.</li>
</ul>


UMC vs. TSMC results review comparison: Vastly different tones of results shows the large gap in industry performance for the most advanced chips products vs. the lesser advanced.
Japan gives mixed signals about rapidly joining U.S. chip restrictions vs. China.
TSMC and UMC were some of the most net-bought stocks in Taiwan by foreigners last week.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: UMC Vs. TSMC Results' Vastly Different Performance, Japan Cautious on China Bans

<ul>
<li>TSMC ADRs are trading at the high end of the recent premium/discount range.</li>
<li>UMC ADRs are near the middle of their premium/discount range, however the company will host its analyst results call this afternoon.</li>
<li>ASE's ADR premium is at the upper end of its range.</li>
</ul>


TSMC ADRs are trading at the high end of the recent premium/discount range.
UMC ADRs are near the middle of their premium/discount range, however the company will host its analyst results call this afternoon.
ASE's ADR premium is at the upper end of its range.


Taiwan Dual-Listings: TSMC Premium In Upper Range, UMC Briefing This Afternoon

<ul>
<li>TSMC's ADR premium is entering the higher end of its range since early 2022. Earnings coming this week.</li>
<li>UMC's ADR has flipped from a discount to a moderate premium. Earnings are ahead as well.</li>
<li>ASE Technology's ADR premium has reached 6.1%, high even for this usually higher-premium trading pair.</li>
</ul>


TSMC's ADR premium is entering the higher end of its range since early 2022. Earnings coming this week.
UMC's ADR has flipped from a discount to a moderate premium. Earnings are ahead as well.
ASE Technology's ADR premium has reached 6.1%, high even for this usually higher-premium trading pair.


Taiwan Dual-Listings: TSMC Premium Hitting High Territory, ASE Shoots to 6.1%

<ul>
<li>Apple shares have fallen recently, nearing 52-week lows as analysts have been cutting share targets on China production uncertainty and weak consumer end-market demand.</li>
<li>Key Apple suppliers Quanta and Pegatron, in particular, appear to have not yet reacted to the declining market sentiment towards Apple.</li>
<li>Investors can consider Shorting Quanta and Pegatron vs. a Long position in Apple. We see limited potential for positive news flow for the stocks through January.</li>
</ul>


Apple shares have fallen recently, nearing 52-week lows as analysts have been cutting share targets on China production uncertainty and weak consumer end-market demand.
Key Apple suppliers Quanta and Pegatron, in particular, appear to have not yet reacted to the declining market sentiment towards Apple.
Investors can consider Shorting Quanta and Pegatron vs. a Long position in Apple. We see limited potential for positive news flow for the stocks through January.


Taiwan Apple Ecosystem Monitor: Quanta and Pegatron Shares Lagging Apple Decline?

Taiwan

ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. offers assembly and testing services. The Company provides outsourced assembly, semiconductor testing, semiconductor packaging, and other related services. ASE Technology Holding operates in Taiwan.

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ASE Technology Holding (3711 TT)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Dutch & Japan China Restrictions End-January, Realtek Results Show Pain in PCs

Also- The U.S. military is preparing for Speaker of the House McCarthy to visit Taiwan; and Western Digital & Kioxia could merge NAND flash units...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: UMC Vs. TSMC Results' Vastly Different Performance, Japan Cautious on China Bans

UMC vs. TSMC results review comparison: Vastly different tones of results shows the large gap in industry performance for the most advanced chips...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings: TSMC Premium In Upper Range, UMC Briefing This Afternoon

UMC ADRs are near the middle of their premium/discount range, however the company will host its analyst results call this afternoon.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Dual-Listings: TSMC Premium Hitting High Territory, ASE Shoots to 6.1%

TSMC's ADR premium is entering the higher end of its range since early 2022. TSMC earnings are coming this week as well. UMC's earnings will be...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Apple Ecosystem Monitor: Quanta and Pegatron Shares Lagging Apple Decline?

Apple shares have fallen most recently, nearing 52-week lows as analysts have been cutting share targets on China production uncertainty.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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