Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Vanguard Intl Semiconductor / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 13 changes for the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index in June. The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) has an AUM of US$6.4bn.</li>
<li>One-Way turnover is estimated at 41% and that will result in a round-trip trade of TWD 168.8bn (US$5.2bn). There are 16 stocks that could have over 4x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The rebalance will be implemented over 8 trading days and the ETF has started trading the stocks last week.</li>
</ul>


There are 13 changes for the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index in June. The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) has an AUM of US$6.4bn.
One-Way turnover is estimated at 41% and that will result in a round-trip trade of TWD 168.8bn (US$5.2bn). There are 16 stocks that could have over 4x ADV to trade.
The rebalance will be implemented over 8 trading days and the ETF has started trading the stocks last week.


TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: 13 Changes & US$5.2bn Round-Trip Trade

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global MSCI indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM) are pulling back following recent breakouts to multi-year highs. Europe, Japan also pulling back to uptrend supports.</li>
<li>Short-Term supports to watch-discussed in our May 23, 2024 Int'l Compass-include $110.50 on ACWI-US, $53.50 on ACWX-US, $80 on EFA-US, and $41-42 on EEM-US; buy this pullback. </li>
<li>As long as these supports hold, we anticipate significantly higher prices ahead. Combination of supports holding and healthy market dynamics continues to validate our bullish outlook on global equities.</li>
</ul>


Global MSCI indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM) are pulling back following recent breakouts to multi-year highs. Europe, Japan also pulling back to uptrend supports.
Short-Term supports to watch-discussed in our May 23, 2024 Int'l Compass-include $110.50 on ACWI-US, $53.50 on ACWX-US, $80 on EFA-US, and $41-42 on EEM-US; buy this pullback. 
As long as these supports hold, we anticipate significantly higher prices ahead. Combination of supports holding and healthy market dynamics continues to validate our bullish outlook on global equities.


Buy the Pullback; Market Dynamics Remain Healthy; Buys in Tech, Discretionary, Healthcare, Utilities

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 24th which has an aggregated holding worth USD4,408.0bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD5,709mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Lite-On Tech, Umc, Hon Hai, Mediatek, E.Sun Financial, Eva Airways, Ctbc Financial, Novatek, Sinopac Fncl.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 24th which has an aggregated holding worth USD4,408.0bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD5,709mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Lite-On Tech, Umc, Hon Hai, Mediatek, E.Sun Financial, Eva Airways, Ctbc Financial, Novatek, Sinopac Fncl.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 24th): TSMC, Lite-On Tech, Umc, Hon Hai, Mediatek, E.Sun Financial

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 17th which has an aggregated holding worth USD4,271.1bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD16,618mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Yang Ming Marine, Quanta Computer, Mediatek, Evergreen Marine, Inventec, Alchip Tech, Wistron, Delta Elec, Ctbc Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 17th which has an aggregated holding worth USD4,271.1bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD16,618mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Yang Ming Marine, Quanta Computer, Mediatek, Evergreen Marine, Inventec, Alchip Tech, Wistron, Delta Elec, Ctbc Financial.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 17th): TSMC, Yang Ming Marine, Quanta Computer, Mediatek

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +17% Premium; Has Remained Above 15% for Over Nearly Two Weeks</li>
<li>ASE: +11.8% Premium; We Continue to View 14%+ as Range to Short From</li>
<li>CHT: +0.6% Premium; Can Consider Shorting the Spread at Current Level</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +17% Premium; Has Remained Above 15% for Over Nearly Two Weeks
ASE: +11.8% Premium; We Continue to View 14%+ as Range to Short From
CHT: +0.6% Premium; Can Consider Shorting the Spread at Current Level


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Trading at New High Range, CHT Spread at Short Levels

Taiwan

ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. offers assembly and testing services. The Company provides outsourced assembly, semiconductor testing, semiconductor packaging, and other related services. ASE Technology Holding operates in Taiwan.

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ASE Technology Holding (3711 TT)

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: 13 Changes & US$5.2bn Round-Trip Trade

There are 13 changes for the index in June. One-way turnover is estimated at 41% resulting in a round-trip trade of TWD 168.8bn (US$5.2bn). There...

Brian Freitas

Buy the Pullback; Market Dynamics Remain Healthy; Buys in Tech, Discretionary, Healthcare, Utilities

Buy the Pullbacks in $EFA $ACWX as they hold above $80 and $53.50 supports; Europe and Japan also buyable pullbacks to uptrend supports; Market...

Vermilion Research

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 24th): TSMC, Lite-On Tech, Umc, Hon Hai, Mediatek, E.Sun Financial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Lite-On Tech, Umc, Hon Hai, Mediatek,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 17th): TSMC, Yang Ming Marine, Quanta Computer, Mediatek

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Yang Ming Marine, Quanta Computer,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Trading at New High Range, CHT Spread at Short Levels

TSMC now trading with a higher ADR premium than ASE, when before ASE had persistently always had a higher ADR premium. CHT is at the higher end of...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: 13 Changes & US$5.2bn Round-Trip Trade

There are 13 changes for the index in June. One-way turnover is estimated at 41% resulting in a round-trip trade of TWD 168.8bn (US$5.2bn). There...

Brian Freitas

Buy the Pullback; Market Dynamics Remain Healthy; Buys in Tech, Discretionary, Healthcare, Utilities

Buy the Pullbacks in $EFA $ACWX as they hold above $80 and $53.50 supports; Europe and Japan also buyable pullbacks to uptrend supports; Market...

Vermilion Research

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 24th): TSMC, Lite-On Tech, Umc, Hon Hai, Mediatek, E.Sun Financial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Lite-On Tech, Umc, Hon Hai, Mediatek,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 17th): TSMC, Yang Ming Marine, Quanta Computer, Mediatek

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Yang Ming Marine, Quanta Computer,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Trading at New High Range, CHT Spread at Short Levels

​TSMC now trading with a higher ADR premium than ASE, when before ASE had persistently always had a higher ADR premium. CHT is at the higher end of...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC now trading with a higher ADR premium than ASE, when before ASE had persistently always had a higher ADR premium. CHT is at the higher end of...