Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperador-inc-1be53f2f-f106-4f4f-b9be-5cf1341e76ae" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36111:1" rel="noopener">Emperador (EMI SP)</a> fails the liquidity test and could be sold by the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/spdr-straits-times-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35880:1" rel="noopener">SPDR Straits Times Index ETF (STTF SP)</a> in March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperador-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3485:1" rel="noopener">Emperador (EMP PM)</a> will also be sold by global index trackers in March and the stock should remain under pressure for the next few weeks.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-centrepoint-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2870:1" rel="noopener">Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP)</a> is ranked ahead of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitaland-ascott-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6560:1" rel="noopener">CapitaLand Ascott Trust (CLAS SP)</a> by 9% on full market cap and should be added to the ETF in March.</li>
</ul>



Emperador (EMI SP) fails the liquidity test and could be sold by the SPDR Straits Times Index ETF (STTF SP) in March.

Emperador (EMP PM) will also be sold by global index trackers in March and the stock should remain under pressure for the next few weeks.

Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP) is ranked ahead of CapitaLand Ascott Trust (CLAS SP) by 9% on full market cap and should be added to the ETF in March.


STTF Index Rebalance Preview: One High Probability Change in March

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Digital Core REIT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digital-core-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35145:1" rel="noopener">Digital Core REIT (DCREIT SP)</a> is looking to raise at least US$100m in its primary placement. The proceeds will be used to fund potential acquisitions and debt repayment. </li>
<li>The deal will be a large one to digest at 72.7 days of three month ADV and 12.8% dilution.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Digital Core REIT (DCREIT SP) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its primary placement. The proceeds will be used to fund potential acquisitions and debt repayment. 
The deal will be a large one to digest at 72.7 days of three month ADV and 12.8% dilution.
In this note, we'll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.


Digital Core REIT Placement - Taking a Turn for the Better After All the Negative News

<ul>
<li>The review period for a global index commenced last week and will run through this week as well.</li>
<li>The announcement of the changes for the LQ45 Index should be announced in the coming week and will be implemented at the close on 31 January.</li>
<li>Huge inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a> trackers during the week while there was a big outflow from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The review period for a global index commenced last week and will run through this week as well.
The announcement of the changes for the LQ45 Index should be announced in the coming week and will be implemented at the close on 31 January.
Huge inflows to CSI 300 Index trackers during the week while there was a big outflow from Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK). 


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, KS200, KQ150, HSIII, STTF, L&F, Costa Group, Japan, Bud APAC

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperador-inc-1be53f2f-f106-4f4f-b9be-5cf1341e76ae" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36111:1" rel="noopener">Emperador (EMI SP)</a> currently fails the liquidity test and could be removed from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/spdr-straits-times-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35880:1" rel="noopener">SPDR Straits Times Index ETF (STTF SP)</a> in March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-centrepoint-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2870:1" rel="noopener">Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP)</a> is currently the highest ranked non-constituent and could be added to the ETF. FCT has a 6% higher market cap compared to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/olam-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:765:1" rel="noopener">Olam (OLG SP)</a>.</li>
<li>We estimate trackers will need to buy 5 days of ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-centrepoint-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2870:1" rel="noopener">Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP)</a> and sell over 37 days of ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperador-inc-1be53f2f-f106-4f4f-b9be-5cf1341e76ae" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36111:1" rel="noopener">Emperador (EMI SP)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Emperador (EMI SP) currently fails the liquidity test and could be removed from the SPDR Straits Times Index ETF (STTF SP) in March.

Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP) is currently the highest ranked non-constituent and could be added to the ETF. FCT has a 6% higher market cap compared to Olam (OLG SP).
We estimate trackers will need to buy 5 days of ADV in Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP) and sell over 37 days of ADV in Emperador (EMI SP). 


STTF Rebalance Preview: One Potential Change in March

Embassy Office Parks REIT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackstone-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27166:1" rel="noopener">Blackstone (BX US)</a> is looking to raise around US$834m through a secondary block deal. This will be a clean-up as Blackstone fully exits from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/embassy-office-parks-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27925:1" rel="noopener">Embassy Office Parks REIT (EMBASSY IN)</a>.  </li>
<li>The deal is a large one to digest, at approximately 397.2 days of three month ADV and 20.7% of current mcap.  </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the selldown and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Blackstone (BX US) is looking to raise around US$834m through a secondary block deal. This will be a clean-up as Blackstone fully exits from Embassy Office Parks REIT (EMBASSY IN).  
The deal is a large one to digest, at approximately 397.2 days of three month ADV and 20.7% of current mcap.  
In this note, we will talk about the selldown and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Embassy Office Parks REIT Block - Likely Well Flagged and Overhang Will Be Removed

Singapore

Ascendas Hospitality Trust is a stapled trust. The Trust comprises Ascendas Hospitality Real Estate Investment Trust and Ascendas Hospitality Business Trust established with the principal investment strategy of investing, directly or indirectly, in a diversified portfolio of income-producing real estate used predominantly for hospitality purposes located across Asia, Australia and NZ.

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Ascendas Hospitality Trust (ASCHT SP)

STTF Index Rebalance Preview: One High Probability Change in March

Emperador could be deleted from the STTF at the March rebalance and replaced with Frasers Centrepoint Trust. Emperador (EMP PM) will also be...

Brian Freitas

Digital Core REIT Placement - Taking a Turn for the Better After All the Negative News

Digital Core REIT (DCREIT SP) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its primary placement. The proceeds will be used to fund potential...

Ethan Aw

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, KS200, KQ150, HSIII, STTF, L&F, Costa Group, Japan, Bud APAC

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

STTF Rebalance Preview: One Potential Change in March

Emperador currently fails liquidity and could be deleted from the STTF in March. Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT) is a potential inclusion. There is...

Brian Freitas

Embassy Office Parks REIT Block - Likely Well Flagged and Overhang Will Be Removed

Blackstone (BX US) is looking to raise around US$834m through a secondary block deal. This will be a clean-up as Blackstone fully exits from...

Ethan Aw

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