Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The difference between an LBO (Leveraged Buy Out) and an MBO (Management Buy Out) is that an MBO is usually just an LBO where the buyers don't replace the CEO.</li>
<li>After 4+mos  of speculation/noise since a Bloomberg article said Topcon was weighing takeover bids, we have a deal. KKR and JIC will buy out Topcon in an "MBO" at ¥3,300/share.</li>
<li>Unusually, the lower limit is 50.1%. This is an OK exit for the "<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/thinking-about-topcon-7732-and-the-new-meti-enabled-bad-cop-good-cop-routine" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Bad Cops</a>" but not a great one. It should be higher. Start delayed for 4 months.</li>
</ul>


The difference between an LBO (Leveraged Buy Out) and an MBO (Management Buy Out) is that an MBO is usually just an LBO where the buyers don't replace the CEO.
After 4+mos  of speculation/noise since a Bloomberg article said Topcon was weighing takeover bids, we have a deal. KKR and JIC will buy out Topcon in an "MBO" at ¥3,300/share.
Unusually, the lower limit is 50.1%. This is an OK exit for the "Bad Cops" but not a great one. It should be higher. Start delayed for 4 months.


[Japan Activism] - KKR and JIC Buy Out Topcon (7732 JP) At ¥3,300/Share

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asahi-intecc-co-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">7747 Asahi Intec</a> announced FY06/25 OP guidance of Y25.2bn, close to street expectations, pointing to substantial upside. GPM guidance has increased and continuation of strong 4Q YoY sales is expected.</li>
<li>Seven days of short interest outstanding could lead to a short squeeze; Earnings briefing tomorrow reinforcing these trends should be a further catalyst for upside.</li>
<li>With short interest now low and limited potential for further gains after the recent rebound, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/olympus-corp" target="_blank" rel="noopener">7733 Olympus</a> appears to be losing momentum, especially with China sales continuing to flag.</li>
</ul>



7747 Asahi Intec announced FY06/25 OP guidance of Y25.2bn, close to street expectations, pointing to substantial upside. GPM guidance has increased and continuation of strong 4Q YoY sales is expected.
Seven days of short interest outstanding could lead to a short squeeze; Earnings briefing tomorrow reinforcing these trends should be a further catalyst for upside.
With short interest now low and limited potential for further gains after the recent rebound, 7733 Olympus appears to be losing momentum, especially with China sales continuing to flag.


Long 7747 Asahi Intec | Short 7733 Olympus

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asahi-intecc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15915:1" rel="noopener">Asahi Intecc (7747 JP)</a> recorded 9% YoY revenue growth to ¥31B in Q1FY25. Revenue growth is attributable to the continued strong trajectory of medical division, which reported 10% YoY growth.</li>
<li>Strong rebound in China is key highlight for medical division performance. Revenue from China increased by a whopping 36% YoY and 44% QoQ to a record high of ¥9.3B.</li>
<li>Despite a better-than-expected Q1FY25, the company maintains full-year FY25 guidance, due to external factors such as currency movements as well as uncertainties in trends for net sales, productivity, and expenditure.</li>
</ul>



Asahi Intecc (7747 JP) recorded 9% YoY revenue growth to ¥31B in Q1FY25. Revenue growth is attributable to the continued strong trajectory of medical division, which reported 10% YoY growth.
Strong rebound in China is key highlight for medical division performance. Revenue from China increased by a whopping 36% YoY and 44% QoQ to a record high of ¥9.3B.
Despite a better-than-expected Q1FY25, the company maintains full-year FY25 guidance, due to external factors such as currency movements as well as uncertainties in trends for net sales, productivity, and expenditure.


2024 High Conviction Update: Asahi Intecc (7747 JP)- Medical Division Drives Q1 Result

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asahi-intecc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15915:1" rel="noopener">Asahi Intecc (7747 JP)</a> is poised for multi-year growth through strong market demand for its technically superior guidewires, market leadership positioning, new product launches, and direct marketing initiatives.</li>
<li>In FY24, Asahi Intecc aims to achieve revenue of ¥100B (+11% YoY), a significant milestone. The company targets revenue of ¥110B and an operating profit margin of 23–25% in FY26.</li>
<li>Asahi Intecc is expected to be a continued beneficiary of global procedure volume recovery. The company is likely to achieve its medium-term business plan ahead of schedule.</li>
</ul>



Asahi Intecc (7747 JP) is poised for multi-year growth through strong market demand for its technically superior guidewires, market leadership positioning, new product launches, and direct marketing initiatives.
In FY24, Asahi Intecc aims to achieve revenue of ¥100B (+11% YoY), a significant milestone. The company targets revenue of ¥110B and an operating profit margin of 23–25% in FY26.
Asahi Intecc is expected to be a continued beneficiary of global procedure volume recovery. The company is likely to achieve its medium-term business plan ahead of schedule.


2024 High Conviction: Asahi Intecc (7747 JP)- Procedure Volume Recovery to Accelerate Growth

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asahi-intecc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15915:1" rel="noopener">Asahi Intecc (7747 JP)</a> reported 27% y/y revenue growth during first nine months of FY22. For full-year FY22 and FY23, the company expects 22% and 11% revenue growth, respectively.</li>
<li>The company targets a consolidated revenue of more than ¥100 billion in FY26 through continued growth in the existing business and introduction of new business.</li>
<li>Asahi Intecc enjoys dominant market share in PTCA guide wires in major global markets. The company’s direct distribution strategy is further expanding its market share.</li>
</ul>



Asahi Intecc (7747 JP) reported 27% y/y revenue growth during first nine months of FY22. For full-year FY22 and FY23, the company expects 22% and 11% revenue growth, respectively.
The company targets a consolidated revenue of more than ¥100 billion in FY26 through continued growth in the existing business and introduction of new business.
Asahi Intecc enjoys dominant market share in PTCA guide wires in major global markets. The company’s direct distribution strategy is further expanding its market share.


Asahi Intecc (7747 JP): Recovery From COVID-19 to Drive Double-Digit Revenue Growth in Near-Term

Japan

ASAHI INTECC CO., LTD. manufactures medical tools as well as both medical and industrial-use stainless wire rope.  The Company's main products include catheters, guidewires, and miniature coils for endoscopic devices.

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Asahi Intecc (7747 JP)

Long 7747 Asahi Intec | Short 7733 Olympus

Asahi Intec announces strong FY06/25 guidance, potential for short squeeze and upside; Olympus losing momentum with declining domestic sales.

Andrew Jackson

2024 High Conviction Update: Asahi Intecc (7747 JP)- Medical Division Drives Q1 Result

Asahi Intecc sees 9% sales growth in Q1FY25 driven by strong performance in medical division, particularly in China with a 36% increase. Company...

Tina Banerjee

2024 High Conviction: Asahi Intecc (7747 JP)- Procedure Volume Recovery to Accelerate Growth

Asahi Intecc is poised for double-digit sales growth through FY26, driven by strong market demand for guidewires, market leadership positioning,...

Tina Banerjee