ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>A call with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arwana-citramulia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17042:1" rel="noopener">Arwana Citramulia</a> cleared up some lingering concerns from 2024, which was a year of reconfiguration of capacity to help differentiate and drive future growth and margins.</li>
<li>The company has now fixed the gas price for its production, which is now set for five years, sustaining its cost advantage over Chinese imports, which now face anti-dumpoing measures.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arwana-citramulia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17042:1" rel="noopener">Arwana Citramulia</a> is rapidly increasing its rectified capacity and increasing exposure to larger-sized tiles as well as raising prices, given that Chinese players face higher tariff-related costs. Valuations remain attractive.</li>
</ul>


A call with Arwana Citramulia cleared up some lingering concerns from 2024, which was a year of reconfiguration of capacity to help differentiate and drive future growth and margins.
The company has now fixed the gas price for its production, which is now set for five years, sustaining its cost advantage over Chinese imports, which now face anti-dumpoing measures.

Arwana Citramulia is rapidly increasing its rectified capacity and increasing exposure to larger-sized tiles as well as raising prices, given that Chinese players face higher tariff-related costs. Valuations remain attractive.


Arwana Citramulia (ARNA IJ) - Rectifying and Enlarging

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arwana-citramulia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17042:1" rel="noopener">Arwana Citramulia</a> published a solid set of FY2024 results, with sales growth to +7.4% YoY, although FY2024 net profit was down slightly due to cost pressures and higher promotional spending.</li>
<li>The company continues to see a favourable product mix shift towards higher-end tiles, especially its ARNA porcelain brand. New capacity coming on stream in 2025 will provide a further boost.</li>
<li>The gas subsidy has yet to be confirmed for the ceramic industry, but expectations are that it will come through shortly. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arwana-citramulia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17042:1" rel="noopener">Arwana Citramulia</a> valuations remain attractive, with higher growth ahead.</li>
</ul>



Arwana Citramulia published a solid set of FY2024 results, with sales growth to +7.4% YoY, although FY2024 net profit was down slightly due to cost pressures and higher promotional spending.
The company continues to see a favourable product mix shift towards higher-end tiles, especially its ARNA porcelain brand. New capacity coming on stream in 2025 will provide a further boost.
The gas subsidy has yet to be confirmed for the ceramic industry, but expectations are that it will come through shortly. Arwana Citramulia valuations remain attractive, with higher growth ahead.


Arwana Citramulia (ARNA IJ) - Capacity-Driven Growth Ahead

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arwana-citramulia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17042:1" rel="noopener">Arwana Citramulia (ARNA IJ)</a> is Indonesia's leading ceramic tile producer catering to the mass market but expanding into the higher-end porcelain tile space competing with Chinese imports at lower costs.</li>
<li>The recent move by the government to extend the gas subsidy for the industry bodes well for Arwana given the strides it has already made in reducing gas consumption.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arwana-citramulia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17042:1" rel="noopener">Arwana</a> continues to expand its capacity, especially in higher-margin porcelain tiles, which will help to drive future growth and profitability. Valuations are attractive as capacity-driven growth kicks in.</li>
</ul>



Arwana Citramulia (ARNA IJ) is Indonesia's leading ceramic tile producer catering to the mass market but expanding into the higher-end porcelain tile space competing with Chinese imports at lower costs.
The recent move by the government to extend the gas subsidy for the industry bodes well for Arwana given the strides it has already made in reducing gas consumption.

Arwana continues to expand its capacity, especially in higher-margin porcelain tiles, which will help to drive future growth and profitability. Valuations are attractive as capacity-driven growth kicks in.


Arwana Citramulia (ARNA IJ) - Top Notch Industrial with a Catalyst

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arwana-citramulia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17042:1" rel="noopener">Arwana Citramulia</a> released a solid set of numbers for FY2022 but we expect growth to continue for the next two years driven by new capacity in higher margin products.</li>
<li>The company's new capacity will be focused on expanding its porcelain tile business but it will also expand its higher-margin DigI UNO ceramic product, which will be positive for margins.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arwana-citramulia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17042:1" rel="noopener">Arwana Citramulia (ARNA IJ)</a> remains a top-quality and high-growth industrial choice in Indonesia. Valuations are attractive with a single-digit PER and high teens EOS growth for the next two years.</li>
</ul>



Arwana Citramulia released a solid set of numbers for FY2022 but we expect growth to continue for the next two years driven by new capacity in higher margin products.
The company's new capacity will be focused on expanding its porcelain tile business but it will also expand its higher-margin DigI UNO ceramic product, which will be positive for margins.

Arwana Citramulia (ARNA IJ) remains a top-quality and high-growth industrial choice in Indonesia. Valuations are attractive with a single-digit PER and high teens EOS growth for the next two years.


Arwana Citramulia (ARNA IJ) - Capacity-Driven Future

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arwana-citramulia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17042:1" rel="noopener">Arwana Citramulia</a>'s latest 1H2022 numbers unline its prowess in navigating a difficult operating environment with growing production volumes and better margins as it continues to improve its product mix.</li>
<li>An ongoing shift to its higher-end products through line conversion to Digi Uno plus additional capacity for its ARNA porcelain tiles will underpin growth and pricing this year and next.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arwana-citramulia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17042:1" rel="noopener">Arwana Citramulia</a> continues to expand its distribution through <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/catur-sentosa-adiprana-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18671:1" rel="noopener">Catur Sentosa</a> and now through MITRA10, which now sells ARNA tiles. Valuations are attractive and analyst forecasts look shy of the mark.</li>
</ul>



Arwana Citramulia's latest 1H2022 numbers unline its prowess in navigating a difficult operating environment with growing production volumes and better margins as it continues to improve its product mix.
An ongoing shift to its higher-end products through line conversion to Digi Uno plus additional capacity for its ARNA porcelain tiles will underpin growth and pricing this year and next.

Arwana Citramulia continues to expand its distribution through Catur Sentosa and now through MITRA10, which now sells ARNA tiles. Valuations are attractive and analyst forecasts look shy of the mark.


Arwana Citramulia (ARNA IJ) - Polished Porcelain Performance

Indonesia

PT Arwana Citramulia Tbk manufactures ceramic construction material for flooring. Through its subsidiary, the Company also distributes its products. The Company's factory is located in Tangerang, Banten.

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Arwana Citramulia (ARNA IJ)