IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arteria-networks-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27807:1" rel="noopener">ARTERIA Networks Corp (4423 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia Health (EHE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-malt-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29116:1" rel="noopener">United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aag-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:501:1" rel="noopener">Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hailan-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39776:1" rel="noopener">Hailan Holdings (2278 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/liontown-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20488:1" rel="noopener">Liontown Resources (LTR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/penguin-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10190:1" rel="noopener">Penguin International (PBS SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lian-beng-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17636:1" rel="noopener">Lian Beng (LBG SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mincor-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6731:1" rel="noopener">Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackmores-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:928:1" rel="noopener">Blackmores Ltd (BKL AU)</a>, Arcland Service.
</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads  111 Inc (YI US), ARTERIA Networks Corp (4423 JP), Estia Health (EHE AU), United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU), Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK), Hailan Holdings (2278 HK).
Lowest spreads - Healius (HLS AU),Liontown Resources (LTR AU), Penguin International (PBS SP), Lian Beng (LBG SP), Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU), Blackmores Ltd (BKL AU), Arcland Service.



Merger Arb Mondays (15 May) - SBI Shinsei, Arteria, Toshiba, Yitai, Hailan, Allkem, Lian Beng

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nexus-select-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36566:1" rel="noopener">Nexus Select Trust (NST IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23700:1" rel="noopener">Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adicon-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33786:1" rel="noopener">ADICON Holdings Limited (ADI HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-construction-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35117:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Construction Development (1887128D HK)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arteria-networks-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27807:1" rel="noopener">ARTERIA Networks Corp (4423 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hailan-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39776:1" rel="noopener">Hailan Holdings (2278 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inner-mongolia-yitai-coal-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14904:1" rel="noopener">Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Company Ltd (3948 HK)</a>, Allkem. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Nexus Select Trust (NST IN), Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN), ADICON Holdings Limited (ADI HK), Horizon Construction Development (1887128D HK) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - ARTERIA Networks Corp (4423 JP), SBI Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), Toshiba Corp (6502 JP), Hailan Holdings (2278 HK), Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Company Ltd (3948 HK), Allkem. 


Weekly Deals Digest (14 May) - Toshiba, Arteria, Shinsei, Yitai Coal, Allkem, Horizon Construction

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
Marubeni (8002 JP) and Secom (9735 JP)<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/secom-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11405:1" rel="noopener"></a> today announced a Tender Offer to take private Marubeni's subsidiary <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arteria-networks-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27807:1" rel="noopener">ARTERIA Networks Corp (4423 JP)</a> at a 54% premium to the close. </li>
<li>Listed 4.5yrs ago, the company hasn't grown hugely. Revenue growth is slow. EBITDA growth is flat. The takeout is 3.6x book, 7x estimated EBITDA, and about mid-teens PER. Without synergies.</li>
<li>The price is OK, not great. The Board rejected the final price because it was too low and didn't include synergies, then accepted because the bidders wouldn't go further? Hmmm...</li>
</ul>



Marubeni (8002 JP) and Secom (9735 JP) today announced a Tender Offer to take private Marubeni's subsidiary ARTERIA Networks Corp (4423 JP) at a 54% premium to the close. 
Listed 4.5yrs ago, the company hasn't grown hugely. Revenue growth is slow. EBITDA growth is flat. The takeout is 3.6x book, 7x estimated EBITDA, and about mid-teens PER. Without synergies.
The price is OK, not great. The Board rejected the final price because it was too low and didn't include synergies, then accepted because the bidders wouldn't go further? Hmmm...


Marubeni & Secom To Launch Tender Offer for Arteria Networks (4423)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arteria-networks-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27807:1" rel="noopener">ARTERIA Networks Corp (4423 JP)</a> has recommended <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/marubeni-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7463:1" rel="noopener">Marubeni Corp (8002 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/secom-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11405:1" rel="noopener">Secom Co Ltd (9735 JP)</a>’s tender offer of JPY1,980 per share, a 54.1% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the tender offer is set at a 16.61% ownership ratio.</li>
<li>The offer is conditional on Chinese and Japanese regulatory approvals. The minimum acceptance condition requires a 33% minority acceptance rate. This is doable as the tender price is attractive. </li>
</ul>



ARTERIA Networks Corp (4423 JP) has recommended Marubeni Corp (8002 JP) and Secom Co Ltd (9735 JP)’s tender offer of JPY1,980 per share, a 54.1% premium to the undisturbed price.
The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the tender offer is set at a 16.61% ownership ratio.
The offer is conditional on Chinese and Japanese regulatory approvals. The minimum acceptance condition requires a 33% minority acceptance rate. This is doable as the tender price is attractive. 


Arteria Networks (4423 JP): JPY1,980 Tender Offer from Marubeni and SECOM

Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Favorable industry trends like work from home and expanding mobile data usage are helping drive Arteria revenue growth</li>
<li>Headline profits are down but core OP is up when one-time gains last year are stripped out and quarterly results will start to look better in H2 when fully lapped</li>
<li>Management says macro concerns such as inflation and power costs are manageable and FY targets remain unchanged</li>
</ul>


Favorable industry trends like work from home and expanding mobile data usage are helping drive Arteria revenue growth
Headline profits are down but core OP is up when one-time gains last year are stripped out and quarterly results will start to look better in H2 when fully lapped
Management says macro concerns such as inflation and power costs are manageable and FY targets remain unchanged


Arteria Networks (Buy) - Q2 22 Results Reaction: Core Business Growth Intact

Japan

ARTERIA Networks Corporation provides telecommunication services. The Company offers internet connection, virtual private network construction, colocation, mobile connection, mobile device management, optical fiber network construction, and other services.

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ARTERIA Networks Corp (4423 JP)

Merger Arb Mondays (15 May) - SBI Shinsei, Arteria, Toshiba, Yitai, Hailan, Allkem, Lian Beng

This week, the highest gross spreads are 111 (34.8%), ARTERIA (24.9%), Estia (21.5%), United Malt (13.9%), AAG Energy (8.8%), Hailan (8.7%),...

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (14 May) - Toshiba, Arteria, Shinsei, Yitai Coal, Allkem, Horizon Construction

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Arteria, Shinsei Bank, Toshiba, Allkem, St Barbara, Hailan, Yitai, Lian Beng) and ECM...

Arun George

Marubeni & Secom To Launch Tender Offer for Arteria Networks (4423)

Marubeni and Secom will launch a tender to take Marubeni sub Arteria Networks private. The fact pattern on negotiations is worth reading. The price...

Travis Lundy

Arteria Networks (4423 JP): JPY1,980 Tender Offer from Marubeni and SECOM

The offer is conditional on Chinese and Japanese regulatory approvals. The minimum acceptance condition requires a 33% minority acceptance rate....

Arun George

Arteria Networks (Buy) - Q2 22 Results Reaction: Core Business Growth Intact

The impact of one-time gains last year on FY22 profit growth obscures steady progress in the core business which remains a steady grower

Kirk Boodry

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