Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> aims to raise around US$8-10bn via selling some of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arm-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21816:1" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings</a>’ US IPO.</li>
<li>ARM develops and licences high-performance, low-cost, and energy-efficient CPU products and related technology, which is used by semiconductor companies and OEMs to develop their own products.</li>
<li>In our earlier note, we looked at Arm’s past performance. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



Softbank Group (9984 JP) aims to raise around US$8-10bn via selling some of its stake in ARM Holdings’ US IPO.
ARM develops and licences high-performance, low-cost, and energy-efficient CPU products and related technology, which is used by semiconductor companies and OEMs to develop their own products.
In our earlier note, we looked at Arm’s past performance. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.


ARM Holdings Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - The Smallest and One of the Slowest

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arm-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21816:1" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings (1822695D US)</a> is the world’s most widely licensed and deployed processor. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> seeks to raise about US$6-10 billion by listing ARM on Nasdaq.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/arm-holdings-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:111238" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/arm-holdings-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:111471" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that the rumoured target valuation of US$60-70 billion is unjustified. Our base-case DCF valuation is US$44.0 billion. </li>
</ul>



ARM Holdings (1822695D US) is the world’s most widely licensed and deployed processor. Softbank Group (9984 JP) seeks to raise about US$6-10 billion by listing ARM on Nasdaq.
We previously discussed the IPO in ARM Holdings IPO: The Bull Case and ARM Holdings IPO: The Bear Case. 
Our valuation analysis suggests that the rumoured target valuation of US$60-70 billion is unjustified. Our base-case DCF valuation is US$44.0 billion. 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arm-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21816:1" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings (1822695D US)</a> is the world’s most widely licensed and deployed processor. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> seeks to raise about US$6-10 billion by listing ARM on Nasdaq.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/arm-holdings-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:111238" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on the deteriorating annualized contract value trajectory, declining ARM-powered chip shipments and revenue, ARM China overhang and red flag transactions involving SoftBank.</li>
</ul>



ARM Holdings (1822695D US) is the world’s most widely licensed and deployed processor. Softbank Group (9984 JP) seeks to raise about US$6-10 billion by listing ARM on Nasdaq.
In ARM Holdings IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on the deteriorating annualized contract value trajectory, declining ARM-powered chip shipments and revenue, ARM China overhang and red flag transactions involving SoftBank.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arm-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21816:1" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings (1822695D US)</a> is the world’s most widely licensed and deployed processor. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> is seeking to raise about US$6-10 billion by listing ARM on Nasdaq.   </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener"></a>Softbank Privatised ARM for US$32bn in 2016 and unsuccessfully tried to sell it to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a> for US$40bn in 2022. In August, Softbank acquired Vision Fund's ARM stake.</li>
<li>The bull case rests on the growth in licensees, high customer switching costs, rising royalty rates, strong revenue visibility and a highly profitable and cash-generative business model.</li>
</ul>



ARM Holdings (1822695D US) is the world’s most widely licensed and deployed processor. Softbank Group (9984 JP) is seeking to raise about US$6-10 billion by listing ARM on Nasdaq.   

Softbank Privatised ARM for US$32bn in 2016 and unsuccessfully tried to sell it to NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) for US$40bn in 2022. In August, Softbank acquired Vision Fund's ARM stake.
The bull case rests on the growth in licensees, high customer switching costs, rising royalty rates, strong revenue visibility and a highly profitable and cash-generative business model.


Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> aims to raise around US$8-10bn via selling some of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arm-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21816:1" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings</a>’ US IPO.</li>
<li>ARM develops and licences high-performance, low-cost, and energy-efficient CPU products and related technology, which is used by semiconductor companies and OEMs to develop their own products.</li>
<li>In this note, we compare its recent performance versus its performance prior to its privatisation and discuss the changes since then.</li>
</ul>



Softbank Group (9984 JP) aims to raise around US$8-10bn via selling some of its stake in ARM Holdings’ US IPO.
ARM develops and licences high-performance, low-cost, and energy-efficient CPU products and related technology, which is used by semiconductor companies and OEMs to develop their own products.
In this note, we compare its recent performance versus its performance prior to its privatisation and discuss the changes since then.


ARM Holdings Pre-IPO - Pre-Privatisation to Pre-Listing Changes - Slower Growth, Lower Margins

United Kingdom

IQE plc develops, manufactures, and sells advanced semiconductor materials worldwide. The company operates through Wireless, Photonics, Infrared, and CMOS++ segments. It manufactures compound semiconductor wafers or epiwafers using epitaxy process; and offers various products, including HBTs, pHEMTs, BiFETs/BiHEMTs, HFETs, LMHEMTs, LNHEMTs, and MESFETs for use in wireless devices, such as mobile phones, smartphones, mobile networks, Wi-Fi, smart metering, satellite navigation, and a plethora of connected devices. The company also provides a range of wafers comprising optical fiber communications optical storage solutions consisting of CDs and DVDs; optical networking solutions, including storage area networks; computing solutions, such as optical mouse devices and CD/DVD ROMs; office/professional solutions comprising laser printing/copying; and energy solutions consisting of solar cells for emitters and detectors, infrared, solar, optical interconnects, laser projection, gesture recognition, solid state lighting applications. In addition, it offers IR sensor, thermal imaging, night vision, and thermal photovoltaic products for infrared applications; and concentrated photovoltaic solar cells for utility scale electricity generation, satellite/space power generation, power generation, and power applications. Further, the company produces compound semiconductor on silicon wafers, as well as a range of engineered substrates, including germanium-on-insulator, germanium-on-silicon, and silicon-on-sapphire for next-generation microprocessors, and ultra high speed/density flash memory and MEMs devices. Additionally, it provides gallium nitride, a compound semiconductor, which includes a range of RF, photonic, and electronic properties. The company was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Cardiff, the United Kingdom.

Kromek Group plc designs, develops, and manufactures x-ray and gamma ray detection and imaging, and radiation detection products for security screening, civil nuclear, and medical imaging markets in the United Kingdom, North America, South America, the Middle East, Asia, Europe, and Australasia. Its nuclear detection products include CPG, a CZT-based room temperature and high-resolution radiation detector; Kromek GR1, a gamma ray spectrometer; GR1-A, a USB-powered gamma spectrometer; SIGMA, a technology platform for scintillator products; TN15, a sensitivity thermal neutron scintillation detector; RENA-Mini, a platform for the development of pixelated detectors; Q4-GR1, a solution for mobile laboratory; RayMon10, a handheld radiation monitor; RadAngel for Schools, a portable gamma-ray spectrometer; QuantAir, a solution for in-field air monitoring; Quant for RayMon10, a quantitative activity analysis tool; and D3S for gamma and neutron detection. The company?s nuclear detection products also comprise MultiSpect Analysis Software; DMatrix, a gamma spectroscopy detector/imager and software; eV3500, a 2D imaging equipment; Sample Inspector, a monitor for detecting the presence of radioactive contaminants; RENA III and DANA II for x-ray and gamma ray spectroscopy; K102 Analyser, a USB-based multichannel analyser for use in nuclear spectroscopy applications; IMELDA for 2D array digital and multispectral imaging; and MARY and XENA for linear array multispectral detection and imaging. In addition, it offers security screening products, such as XRA, a 3D imaging equipment; Identifier to classify the presence of hazardous liquids, aerosols, and gels in containers; and liquid explosive algorithm delivering enhanced recognition. Further, the company provides medical imaging products comprising X-ray bone densitometers and CZT-based reusable medical probes, as well as ASICs. Kromek Group plc was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Sedgefield, the United Kingdom.

Auto Trader Group PLC operates as a digital automotive marketplace. The Company's platform allows its users to buy and sell a range of vehicles, such as cars, trucks and vans.

Halma PLC is a health and safety sensor technology group which manufactures products that detect hazards and also protect assets and people at work in public and commercial buildings. Halma develops technologies and products that are used for analysis in safety, environmental and leisure related markets, including water, to improve personal and public health.

The Sage Group plc is a software publishing company. The Group develops, publishes and distributes accounting and payroll software for personal computer systems. Via its subsidiaries, Sage also maintains a registered user database which provides a market for their related products and services, including computer forms, software support contracts, program upgrades and training.

Computacenter plc provides distributed information technology and related services to corporate and public sector organizations.  The Group's services are divided into three sectors: logistical operations, consolidation and integration, and operational management.  Computacenter has operations in the UK, France, Luxembourg and Belgium.

Renishaw plc designs, develops, manufactures and sells high technology precision measuring and calibration equipment.  The Company's products include advanced metrology and inspection equipment, spectroscopy systems, and computer aided design and manufacturing systems.  Renishaw sells probes and other instruments to a wide range of sectors, internationally.

Softcat PLC provides information technology services. The Company offers commodity sourcing, software licensing, e-procurement, unified communications, and managed services. Softcat serves customers in the United Kingdom.

Spectris plc manufactures, designs and markets products for the electronic control and process instrumentation sectors.  The Company's products include digital indication and control products, industrial computer circuit boards, semiconductor related devices, infrared equipment for temperature measurement, flying controls, gas analysis products, and analytical x-ray systems.

Moneysupermarket.com Group Plc operates finance and travel price comparison websites.

Tokyo Electron Limited manufactures and sells industrial electronics products, such as semiconductor manufacturing machines, computer system, and electronic components.  The Company products are sold in US, Taiwan, and others as well as in Japan.

Applied Materials, Inc. develops, manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment and related spare parts for the worldwide semiconductor industry.  The Company's customers include semiconductor wafer and integrated circuit manufacturers, flat panel liquid crystal displays, solar photovoltaic cells and modules and other electronic devices manufacturers.

ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. offers assembly and testing services. The Company provides outsourced assembly, semiconductor testing, semiconductor packaging, and other related services. ASE Technology Holding operates in Taiwan.

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

QUALCOMM, Inc . manufactures digital wireless communications equipment.  The Company licenses its code division multiple access (CDMA) and orthogonal frequency division multiplexing access intellectual property to other companies, and produces CDMA-based integrated circuits; and produces equipment and software used to track workers and assets; and software for wireless content enablement.

KLA-Tencor Corporation manufactures yield management and process monitoring systems for the semiconductor industry.  The Company's systems are used to analyze product and process quality at critical steps in the manufacture of circuits and provide feedback so that fabrication problems can be identified. KLA-Tencor operates sales, service, and application centers worldwide.

Lam Research Corporation manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor processing equipment used in the making of integrated circuits.  The Company's products are used to deposit special films on a silicon wafer and etch away portions of various films to create a circuit design.  Lam sells its products around the world.

Monolithic Power Systems Inc specializes in high-performance, integrated power solutions. The Company provides small, highly energy efficient, easy-to-use power solutions for systems found in industrial applications, telecom infrastructures, cloud computing, automotive, and consumer applications.

ON Semiconductor Corporation supplies analog, standard logic, and discrete semiconductors for data and power management. The Company's products include integrated circuits, and analog ICs. ON also offers discrete semiconductors in a variety of surface mount and standard packages.

Lasertec Corporation develops, designs, manufactures and markets photomask inspection systems to make semiconductor devices, confocal scanning laser microscopes and liquid crystal display (LCD) inspection systems.

Arm Holdings US, Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, designs chips used in a range of electronic products. Arm Holdings serves customers worldwide.

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ARM Holdings (ARM US)

ARM Holdings Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - The Smallest and One of the Slowest

Softbank Group (9984 JP) aims to raise around US$8-10bn via selling some of its stake in ARM Holdings’ US IPO. In this note, we undetake a peer...

Sumeet Singh

ARM Holdings IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests that the rumoured target valuation of US$60-70 billion is unjustified. Our base-case DCF valuation is US$44.0 billion.

Arun George

ARM Holdings IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on the deteriorating ACV trajectory, declining ARM-powered chip shipments and revenue, ARM China overhang and red flag...

Arun George

ARM Holdings IPO: The Bull Case

The bull case rests on the growth in licensees, high customer switching costs, rising royalty rates, strong revenue visibility and a highly...

Arun George

ARM Holdings Pre-IPO - Pre-Privatisation to Pre-Listing Changes - Slower Growth, Lower Margins

Softbank Group aims to raise around US$8-10bn via selling some of its stake in ARM Holdings’ US IPO. In this note, we compare its recent...

Sumeet Singh

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