Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Key Events: 1) Nvidia Results Coming Today in the U.S. 2) Elan &amp; ChipMOS Tomorrow in Taiwan 3) U.S. PC Maker Results Next Week</li>
<li>Why United Microelectronics Is Becoming a Great Long-Term Acquisition Target for Intel </li>
<li>Novatek a Top Gainer After Reports of Alliance with ARM to Build Neoverse V2 for AI</li>
</ul>


Key Events: 1) Nvidia Results Coming Today in the U.S. 2) Elan &amp; ChipMOS Tomorrow in Taiwan 3) U.S. PC Maker Results Next Week
Why United Microelectronics Is Becoming a Great Long-Term Acquisition Target for Intel 
Novatek a Top Gainer After Reports of Alliance with ARM to Build Neoverse V2 for AI


Taiwan Tech Weekly: AI Plays Weak Ahead of Nvidia Results Today; Intel & UMC; ARM & Novatek

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Welcome to this week’s earnings. My spark notes are the NXPI and IFX did better than I feared, but I continue to be unconstructive on automotive.</li><li>Fabrinet and Coherent both achieved good results, but Fabrinet disappointed expectations for Nvidia's pluggable revenue. Is this a weak read-through? Unlikely. Marvell should have an amazing year if Coherent’s TAM is remotely correct.</li><li>MKSI put up the exact results I was looking for, and this continues to be my favorite idea. As WFE increases, inventory builds will happen, and then financial and operational leverage will take care of the rest.</li></ul>

Welcome to this week’s earnings. My spark notes are the NXPI and IFX did better than I feared, but I continue to be unconstructive on automotive.Fabrinet and Coherent both achieved good results, but Fabrinet disappointed expectations for Nvidia's pluggable revenue. Is this a weak read-through? Unlikely. Marvell should have an amazing year if Coherent’s TAM is remotely correct.MKSI put up the exact results I was looking for, and this continues to be my favorite idea. As WFE increases, inventory builds will happen, and then financial and operational leverage will take care of the rest.

Automotive (NXPI, IFX) Optics (FN, COHR), MKSI, MPWR, ACLS, SLAB, RMBS, ARM

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

<ul>
<li>We believe that Arm is now valued as a “growth at any price” stock; with nearly half of SoftBank group’s equity value reliant on Arm, NAV downside risk is rising</li>
<li>The risk of JPY appreciation is real, whilst SVF2 remains very exposed to financing costs, with 85% of its equity value in private companies</li>
<li>Softbank shares trade at a 55%+ discount to the estimated NAV; yet the downside risks to Arm’s valuation, along with the potential JPY appreciation, should keep the discount wide</li>
</ul>


We believe that Arm is now valued as a “growth at any price” stock; with nearly half of SoftBank group’s equity value reliant on Arm, NAV downside risk is rising
The risk of JPY appreciation is real, whilst SVF2 remains very exposed to financing costs, with 85% of its equity value in private companies
Softbank shares trade at a 55%+ discount to the estimated NAV; yet the downside risks to Arm’s valuation, along with the potential JPY appreciation, should keep the discount wide


Softbank (9984 JP): Relying on Arm Strength and JPY Weakness

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amer-sports-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21751:1" rel="noopener">Amer Sports (AS US)</a> raised around US$1.3bn in its US IPO, after pricing its IPO below its initial range, as per media reports.</li>
<li>Amer Sports is a sports and outdoor brands company making clothing and other sporting equipment for use in snow sports, running, climbing, baseball, american football, tennis and other sports.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s performance and valuation in our past note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Amer Sports (AS US) raised around US$1.3bn in its US IPO, after pricing its IPO below its initial range, as per media reports.
Amer Sports is a sports and outdoor brands company making clothing and other sporting equipment for use in snow sports, running, climbing, baseball, american football, tennis and other sports.
We have looked at the company’s performance and valuation in our past note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Amer Sports IPO Trading - Downsized and Cornered, Close to Optimistic Fair Value

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Asm International Nv / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global equities (MSCI ACWI) are resuming their uptrends following several weeks of consolidation above major base supports (classic bull market behavior). Our outlook for global equities remains bullish.</li>
<li>Europe's EURO STOXX 50 has held above critical support at 4400-4415, and now displays a bull flag breakout following over a month of consolidation -- add exposure</li>
<li>We highlight many buy opportunities within global Technology, Services, and Communications</li>
</ul>


Global equities (MSCI ACWI) are resuming their uptrends following several weeks of consolidation above major base supports (classic bull market behavior). Our outlook for global equities remains bullish.
Europe's EURO STOXX 50 has held above critical support at 4400-4415, and now displays a bull flag breakout following over a month of consolidation -- add exposure
We highlight many buy opportunities within global Technology, Services, and Communications


EURO STOXX 50, MSCI ACWI Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in Technology, Services, & Comm

United Kingdom

IQE plc develops, manufactures, and sells advanced semiconductor materials worldwide. The company operates through Wireless, Photonics, Infrared, and CMOS++ segments. It manufactures compound semiconductor wafers or epiwafers using epitaxy process; and offers various products, including HBTs, pHEMTs, BiFETs/BiHEMTs, HFETs, LMHEMTs, LNHEMTs, and MESFETs for use in wireless devices, such as mobile phones, smartphones, mobile networks, Wi-Fi, smart metering, satellite navigation, and a plethora of connected devices. The company also provides a range of wafers comprising optical fiber communications optical storage solutions consisting of CDs and DVDs; optical networking solutions, including storage area networks; computing solutions, such as optical mouse devices and CD/DVD ROMs; office/professional solutions comprising laser printing/copying; and energy solutions consisting of solar cells for emitters and detectors, infrared, solar, optical interconnects, laser projection, gesture recognition, solid state lighting applications. In addition, it offers IR sensor, thermal imaging, night vision, and thermal photovoltaic products for infrared applications; and concentrated photovoltaic solar cells for utility scale electricity generation, satellite/space power generation, power generation, and power applications. Further, the company produces compound semiconductor on silicon wafers, as well as a range of engineered substrates, including germanium-on-insulator, germanium-on-silicon, and silicon-on-sapphire for next-generation microprocessors, and ultra high speed/density flash memory and MEMs devices. Additionally, it provides gallium nitride, a compound semiconductor, which includes a range of RF, photonic, and electronic properties. The company was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Cardiff, the United Kingdom.

Kromek Group plc designs, develops, and manufactures x-ray and gamma ray detection and imaging, and radiation detection products for security screening, civil nuclear, and medical imaging markets in the United Kingdom, North America, South America, the Middle East, Asia, Europe, and Australasia. Its nuclear detection products include CPG, a CZT-based room temperature and high-resolution radiation detector; Kromek GR1, a gamma ray spectrometer; GR1-A, a USB-powered gamma spectrometer; SIGMA, a technology platform for scintillator products; TN15, a sensitivity thermal neutron scintillation detector; RENA-Mini, a platform for the development of pixelated detectors; Q4-GR1, a solution for mobile laboratory; RayMon10, a handheld radiation monitor; RadAngel for Schools, a portable gamma-ray spectrometer; QuantAir, a solution for in-field air monitoring; Quant for RayMon10, a quantitative activity analysis tool; and D3S for gamma and neutron detection. The company?s nuclear detection products also comprise MultiSpect Analysis Software; DMatrix, a gamma spectroscopy detector/imager and software; eV3500, a 2D imaging equipment; Sample Inspector, a monitor for detecting the presence of radioactive contaminants; RENA III and DANA II for x-ray and gamma ray spectroscopy; K102 Analyser, a USB-based multichannel analyser for use in nuclear spectroscopy applications; IMELDA for 2D array digital and multispectral imaging; and MARY and XENA for linear array multispectral detection and imaging. In addition, it offers security screening products, such as XRA, a 3D imaging equipment; Identifier to classify the presence of hazardous liquids, aerosols, and gels in containers; and liquid explosive algorithm delivering enhanced recognition. Further, the company provides medical imaging products comprising X-ray bone densitometers and CZT-based reusable medical probes, as well as ASICs. Kromek Group plc was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Sedgefield, the United Kingdom.

Auto Trader Group PLC operates as a digital automotive marketplace. The Company's platform allows its users to buy and sell a range of vehicles, such as cars, trucks and vans.

Halma PLC is a health and safety sensor technology group which manufactures products that detect hazards and also protect assets and people at work in public and commercial buildings. Halma develops technologies and products that are used for analysis in safety, environmental and leisure related markets, including water, to improve personal and public health.

The Sage Group plc is a software publishing company. The Group develops, publishes and distributes accounting and payroll software for personal computer systems. Via its subsidiaries, Sage also maintains a registered user database which provides a market for their related products and services, including computer forms, software support contracts, program upgrades and training.

Computacenter plc provides distributed information technology and related services to corporate and public sector organizations.  The Group's services are divided into three sectors: logistical operations, consolidation and integration, and operational management.  Computacenter has operations in the UK, France, Luxembourg and Belgium.

Renishaw plc designs, develops, manufactures and sells high technology precision measuring and calibration equipment.  The Company's products include advanced metrology and inspection equipment, spectroscopy systems, and computer aided design and manufacturing systems.  Renishaw sells probes and other instruments to a wide range of sectors, internationally.

Softcat PLC provides information technology services. The Company offers commodity sourcing, software licensing, e-procurement, unified communications, and managed services. Softcat serves customers in the United Kingdom.

Spectris plc manufactures, designs and markets products for the electronic control and process instrumentation sectors.  The Company's products include digital indication and control products, industrial computer circuit boards, semiconductor related devices, infrared equipment for temperature measurement, flying controls, gas analysis products, and analytical x-ray systems.

Moneysupermarket.com Group Plc operates finance and travel price comparison websites.

Tokyo Electron Limited manufactures and sells industrial electronics products, such as semiconductor manufacturing machines, computer system, and electronic components.  The Company products are sold in US, Taiwan, and others as well as in Japan.

Applied Materials, Inc. develops, manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment and related spare parts for the worldwide semiconductor industry.  The Company's customers include semiconductor wafer and integrated circuit manufacturers, flat panel liquid crystal displays, solar photovoltaic cells and modules and other electronic devices manufacturers.

ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. offers assembly and testing services. The Company provides outsourced assembly, semiconductor testing, semiconductor packaging, and other related services. ASE Technology Holding operates in Taiwan.

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

QUALCOMM, Inc . manufactures digital wireless communications equipment.  The Company licenses its code division multiple access (CDMA) and orthogonal frequency division multiplexing access intellectual property to other companies, and produces CDMA-based integrated circuits; and produces equipment and software used to track workers and assets; and software for wireless content enablement.

KLA-Tencor Corporation manufactures yield management and process monitoring systems for the semiconductor industry.  The Company's systems are used to analyze product and process quality at critical steps in the manufacture of circuits and provide feedback so that fabrication problems can be identified. KLA-Tencor operates sales, service, and application centers worldwide.

Lam Research Corporation manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor processing equipment used in the making of integrated circuits.  The Company's products are used to deposit special films on a silicon wafer and etch away portions of various films to create a circuit design.  Lam sells its products around the world.

Monolithic Power Systems Inc specializes in high-performance, integrated power solutions. The Company provides small, highly energy efficient, easy-to-use power solutions for systems found in industrial applications, telecom infrastructures, cloud computing, automotive, and consumer applications.

ON Semiconductor Corporation supplies analog, standard logic, and discrete semiconductors for data and power management. The Company's products include integrated circuits, and analog ICs. ON also offers discrete semiconductors in a variety of surface mount and standard packages.

Lasertec Corporation develops, designs, manufactures and markets photomask inspection systems to make semiconductor devices, confocal scanning laser microscopes and liquid crystal display (LCD) inspection systems.

Arm Holdings US, Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, designs chips used in a range of electronic products. Arm Holdings serves customers worldwide.

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ARM Holdings (ARM US)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: AI Plays Weak Ahead of Nvidia Results Today; Intel & UMC; ARM & Novatek

Key developments: Nvidia results today, Elan & ChipMOS tomorrow, and U.S. PC maker results next week. UMC a potential acquisition for Intel?...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Automotive (NXPI, IFX) Optics (FN, COHR), MKSI, MPWR, ACLS, SLAB, RMBS, ARM

Welcome to this week’s earnings. My spark notes are the NXPI and IFX did better than I feared, but I continue to be unconstructive on automotive...

Fabricated Knowledge

Softbank (9984 JP): Relying on Arm Strength and JPY Weakness

SoftBank's reliance on Arm's super-premium valuation, the prospect of JPY appreciation and higher funding costs for SVF2 private entities,...

Victor Galliano

Amer Sports IPO Trading - Downsized and Cornered, Close to Optimistic Fair Value

Amer Sports (AS US) raised around US$1.3bn in its US IPO, after pricing its IPO below its initial range, as per media reports.

Sumeet Singh

EURO STOXX 50, MSCI ACWI Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in Technology, Services, & Comm

EURO $STOXX 50, MSCI $ACWI Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; Actionable Themes: Global Technology, Services, and Communications $ASML $ASMIY...

Vermilion Research

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Taiwan Tech Weekly: AI Plays Weak Ahead of Nvidia Results Today; Intel & UMC; ARM & Novatek

Key developments: Nvidia results today, Elan & ChipMOS tomorrow, and U.S. PC maker results next week. UMC a potential acquisition for Intel?...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Automotive (NXPI, IFX) Optics (FN, COHR), MKSI, MPWR, ACLS, SLAB, RMBS, ARM

Welcome to this week’s earnings. My spark notes are the NXPI and IFX did better than I feared, but I continue to be unconstructive on automotive...

Fabricated Knowledge

Softbank (9984 JP): Relying on Arm Strength and JPY Weakness

​SoftBank's reliance on Arm's super-premium valuation, the prospect of JPY appreciation and higher funding costs for SVF2 private entities,...

Victor Galliano

Amer Sports IPO Trading - Downsized and Cornered, Close to Optimistic Fair Value

Amer Sports (AS US) raised around US$1.3bn in its US IPO, after pricing its IPO below its initial range, as per media reports.

Sumeet Singh

EURO STOXX 50, MSCI ACWI Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in Technology, Services, & Comm

EURO $STOXX 50, MSCI $ACWI Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; Actionable Themes: Global Technology, Services, and Communications $ASML $ASMIY...

Vermilion Research

SoftBank's reliance on Arm's super-premium valuation, the prospect of JPY appreciation and higher funding costs for SVF2 private entities,...