Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q1’23 revenues of $6.63 billion, up 6 % YoY, down 2% QoQ</li>
<li>Q2'23 revenues of $6.15 billion at the midpoint, down 7.2% QoQ.</li>
<li>Tool push outs and cancellations are spreading to leading logic customers. That's not a good sign</li>
</ul>


Q1’23 revenues of $6.63 billion, up 6 % YoY, down 2% QoQ
Q2'23 revenues of $6.15 billion at the midpoint, down 7.2% QoQ.
Tool push outs and cancellations are spreading to leading logic customers. That's not a good sign


Applied Materials ICAPS Grows Strongly But Leading Logic Ruins The Party

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>This week is relatively in terms of earnings. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applied-materials-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:283:1" rel="noopener">Applied Materials (AMAT US)</a> will however be reporting on the 18th U.S. time.</li>
<li>Hon Hai sees the PC market bottoming; Separately, we've closed our Long Acer vs. Short Asus and reversed it to Long Asus vs. Short Acer again.</li>
<li>Quant shares have surged post results, dramatically outperforming Apple and other key Apple suppliers.</li>
</ul>


This week is relatively in terms of earnings. Applied Materials (AMAT US) will however be reporting on the 18th U.S. time.
Hon Hai sees the PC market bottoming; Separately, we've closed our Long Acer vs. Short Asus and reversed it to Long Asus vs. Short Acer again.
Quant shares have surged post results, dramatically outperforming Apple and other key Apple suppliers.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: PC Market Bottoming, AMAT, Quanta Outperforms Peers, Samsung Tesla Meeting

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Q1’23 revenues of $2.43 billion, marginally above the guided midpoint $2.35 billion, down 17.5% sequentially and up 6.4% YoY.</li>
<li>For Q2’23, the company expects revenues of $2.25 billion at the midpoint, down 4% sequentially.</li>
<li>KLAC historically outperforms its peers during semi down cycles. This time will be no different.</li>
</ul>


Q1’23 revenues of $2.43 billion, marginally above the guided midpoint $2.35 billion, down 17.5% sequentially and up 6.4% YoY.
For Q2’23, the company expects revenues of $2.25 billion at the midpoint, down 4% sequentially.
KLAC historically outperforms its peers during semi down cycles. This time will be no different.


KLAC Q1'23 Earnings Report. So Far, So Good

<ul>
<li>With ~2x exposure to memory compared to its peers, LRCX is feeling the pain</li>
<li>Q1 revenues of  $3.87 billion were marginally higher than the forecasted midpoint, down 26.7% sequentially and down 4.4% YoY.</li>
<li>For the current quarter, LRCX expects revenues to decline a further ~ 20% to $3.1 billion at the midpoint.</li>
</ul>


With ~2x exposure to memory compared to its peers, LRCX is feeling the pain
Q1 revenues of  $3.87 billion were marginally higher than the forecasted midpoint, down 26.7% sequentially and down 4.4% YoY.
For the current quarter, LRCX expects revenues to decline a further ~ 20% to $3.1 billion at the midpoint.


Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC is cutting its 2023E capex plans by 12% according to Taiwan's EDN. The company will also report earnings this Thursday.</li>
<li>TSMC suppliers ASML and Lam Research will also be reporting this week. Realtek will report this week as well.</li>
<li>Delta Thailand valuation still precarious relative to Delta Taiwan. Apple has continued to outperform the Quanta &amp; Pegatron pair.</li>
</ul>


TSMC is cutting its 2023E capex plans by 12% according to Taiwan's EDN. The company will also report earnings this Thursday.
TSMC suppliers ASML and Lam Research will also be reporting this week. Realtek will report this week as well.
Delta Thailand valuation still precarious relative to Delta Taiwan. Apple has continued to outperform the Quanta &amp; Pegatron pair.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Cutting Capex, Earnings This Week; Suppliers ASML & Lam Also Will Report

United States

Applied Materials, Inc. develops, manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment and related spare parts for the worldwide semiconductor industry.  The Company's customers include semiconductor wafer and integrated circuit manufacturers, flat panel liquid crystal displays, solar photovoltaic cells and modules and other electronic devices manufacturers.

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Applied Materials (AMAT US)

Applied Materials ICAPS Grows Strongly But Leading Logic Ruins The Party

Q1’23 revenues of $6.63 billion, up 6 % YoY, down 2% QoQ. Q2'23 revenues of $6.15 billion, down 7.2% QoQ.Tool push outs & cancellations spreading...

William Keating

Taiwan Tech Weekly: PC Market Bottoming, AMAT, Quanta Outperforms Peers, Samsung Tesla Meeting

Quant shares have surged post results, dramatically outperforming Apple and other key Apple suppliers. WiWynn shares crashed post results despite...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

KLAC Q1'23 Earnings Report. So Far, So Good

Q1’23 revenues of $2.43 billion, down 17.5% sequentially and up 6.4% YoY. KLAC historically outperforms its peers during semi down cycles. This...

William Keating

LRCX. Memory Bites. Hard

With ~2x exposure to memory compared to its peers, LRCX is feeling the pain.Q1 revenues of $3.87 billion were -26.7% sequentially and -4.4% YoY....

William Keating

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Cutting Capex, Earnings This Week; Suppliers ASML & Lam Also Will Report

Delta Thailand valuation still precarious relative to Delta Taiwan. Apple has continued to outperform the Quanta & Pegatron pair.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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