IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arm-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21816:1" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings (1822695D US)</a> has launched a roadshow for its IPO. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> offers 95.5 million ADSs (over-allotment option of 7.0 million ADS) at US$47.00-51.00 per ADS.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/arm-holdings-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:111238" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/arm-holdings-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:111471" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/arm-holdings-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:111704" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings IPO: Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>The IPO price range values ARM at a premium to peers' multiples. DCF sensitivity analysis suggests a need for ambitious forecasts to justify the price range.</li>
</ul>



ARM Holdings (1822695D US) has launched a roadshow for its IPO. Softbank Group (9984 JP) offers 95.5 million ADSs (over-allotment option of 7.0 million ADS) at US$47.00-51.00 per ADS.
We previously discussed the IPO in ARM Holdings IPO: The Bull Case, ARM Holdings IPO: The Bear Case and ARM Holdings IPO: Valuation Insights. 
The IPO price range values ARM at a premium to peers' multiples. DCF sensitivity analysis suggests a need for ambitious forecasts to justify the price range.


ARM Holdings IPO: Unattractive Price Range

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Positive retail flows, HNI &amp; AIF inflows, along with global market trends, suggest that the uptrend for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> may continue.</li>
<li>Bullish stocks include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metro-brands" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35289:1" rel="noopener">Metro Brands (METROBRA IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zydus-wellness-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4353:1" rel="noopener">Zydus Wellness (ZYWL IN)</a>, while the sentiment for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/whirlpool-of-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7270:1" rel="noopener">Whirlpool of India (WHIRL IN)</a> is Bearish.</li>
<li>Highlighted global stocks include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ebix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4022:1" rel="noopener">Ebix (EBIX US)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smith-a-o-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18645:1" rel="noopener">Smith (A.O.) (AOS US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a> </li>
</ul>


Positive retail flows, HNI &amp; AIF inflows, along with global market trends, suggest that the uptrend for the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) may continue.
Bullish stocks include Metro Brands (METROBRA IN) and Zydus Wellness (ZYWL IN), while the sentiment for Whirlpool of India (WHIRL IN) is Bearish.
Highlighted global stocks include Ebix (EBIX US) , Smith (A.O.) (AOS US) and Apple (AAPL US) 


[Week 1] Namaste India 🙏 | Whirlpool Stock Performance Is Good, Earnings Are Not

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vng-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26716:1" rel="noopener">VNG (VinaGame) (VNG US)</a>, Vietnam’s leading internet platform, aims to raise up to US$300m in its US IPO.</li>
<li>VNG is Vietnam’s leading homegrown digital ecosystem, as per the company, with diverse product offerings across games, communications and media, fintech and other opportunities</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



VNG (VinaGame) (VNG US), Vietnam’s leading internet platform, aims to raise up to US$300m in its US IPO.
VNG is Vietnam’s leading homegrown digital ecosystem, as per the company, with diverse product offerings across games, communications and media, fintech and other opportunities
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


VNG Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Vietnam’s Mini-Tencent

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>We analyze the most shorted stocks in Taiwan and highlight notable AI supply chain stocks who have have some of the highest short interest vs. float in the market.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gigabyte-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17486:1" rel="noopener">Gigabyte Technology (2376 TT)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/global-unichip-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10305:1" rel="noopener">Global Unichip (3443 TT)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold-circuit-electronics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9474:1" rel="noopener">Gold Circuit Electronics (2368 TT)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inventec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20856:1" rel="noopener">Inventec Corp (2356 TT)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitac-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20726:1" rel="noopener">Mitac Holdings (3706 TT)</a> - high short squeeze risk.</li>
<li>Some <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a> supply chain stocks, Display-related, and Memory-related stocks are also heavily shorted.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the most shorted stocks in Taiwan and highlight notable AI supply chain stocks who have have some of the highest short interest vs. float in the market.

Gigabyte Technology (2376 TT) , Global Unichip (3443 TT) , Gold Circuit Electronics (2368 TT) , Inventec Corp (2356 TT) , Mitac Holdings (3706 TT) - high short squeeze risk.
Some Apple (AAPL US) supply chain stocks, Display-related, and Memory-related stocks are also heavily shorted.


Taiwan Shorts Analysis: AI Supply Chain Stocks With High Short Squeeze Risk

Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives, MBI Deep Dives

MBI Deep Dives

Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives

MBI is the abbreviation for “Mostly Borrowed Ideas”. Why “Mostly Borrowed Ideas?” As a generalist, I do not have a background in any particular sector. I enjoy navigating across industries, businesses, and countries to learn, understand, and connect the dots. In any case, most ideas and innovations are incremental in nature. Very few of us are smart enough to come up with truly original or groundbreaking ideas. I am Abdullah Al-Rezwan. I was born and brought up in Bangladesh. I went to University of Dhaka for my undergrad and majored in Finance. After working three and half years in Equity Research (Sell-side) covering Financial Sector in Bangladesh, I left Bangladesh to pursue my MBA in the US. I graduated within top 10% of the class from Cornell University's two-year MBA program and worked on the buy-side following my graduation. During my time at Cornell, I won two stock pitch competitions and also became finalists in four other competitions. I thoroughly enjoyed my stint as a generalist in the US large cap team at Madison Investments and covered a wide range of companies from UnitedHealth to Amazon and Boeing before US immigration reality paused my career in investment management. As my work authorization expired, I moved to Canada in January, 2021. Then in early 2022, I was able to return to the US.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>In aggregate, Big Tech was worth $1.1 Tn at the end of 2012.</li><li>Over the last ten years (2013-2022), Big Tech collectively generated $2.3 Tn Operating Cash Flow (OCF), slightly more than double their aggregate market cap ten years ago!</li><li>To say it differently, Big Tech was a form of deep value investing that was deeply underappreciated even though they are all widely followed companies at that time!</li></ul>

In aggregate, Big Tech was worth $1.1 Tn at the end of 2012.Over the last ten years (2013-2022), Big Tech collectively generated $2.3 Tn Operating Cash Flow (OCF), slightly more than double their aggregate market cap ten years ago!To say it differently, Big Tech was a form of deep value investing that was deeply underappreciated even though they are all widely followed companies at that time!

United States

Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related accessories. The Company also offers payment, digital content, cloud and advertising services. Apple Inc.'s customers are primarily in consumer, small & mid-sized business, education, enterprise and government markets worldwide.

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Apple (AAPL US)

ARM Holdings IPO: Unattractive Price Range

The IPO price range values ARM at a premium to peers' multiples. DCF sensitivity analysis suggests a need for ambitious forecasts to justify the...

Arun George

[Week 1] Namaste India 🙏 | Whirlpool Stock Performance Is Good, Earnings Are Not

The NIFTY Index could continue its uptrend. Bullish names include Metro, and Zydus Wellness, Global names to watch are Ebix, Smith (A.O.), and Apple.

Pranav Bhavsar

VNG Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Vietnam’s Mini-Tencent

VNG (VinaGame) (VNG US), Vietnam’s leading internet platform, aims to raise up to US$300m in its US IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so...

Sumeet Singh

Taiwan Shorts Analysis: AI Supply Chain Stocks With High Short Squeeze Risk

We analyze the most shorted stocks in Taiwan and highlight notable AI supply chain stocks who have have some of the highest short interest vs....

Vincent Fernando, CFA

The Curious Case of Big Tech

Over the last ten years (2013-2022), Big Tech collectively generated $2.3 Tn Operating Cash Flow (OCF), slightly more than double their aggregate...

MBI Deep Dives

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