Fundamental Principles of the Stock Market, From 0 to 1 in the Stock Market

From 0 to 1 in the Stock Market

Fundamental Principles of the Stock Market

Fundamental principles of the stock market, earnings reviews and research. My name is Giuliano Mana, I’m 23 years old. I have a B.A Degree in Finance and I’m a Master’s candidate at Brandeis IBS. I’ve been thoroughly going over huge amounts of reading material regarding the stock market and hope to transmit some insights here.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The last twelve months were, market-wise, interesting. Multiple things have happened that contributed to changes in my thinking-process.</li>
<li>Refining thoughts and the mental mechanism I utilize to approach portfolio management should lead to success, or at least that is my hypothesis.</li>
<li>Continuous learning allows for building more solid premises. Given time, compound interest sharpens them to the point where chances of error are minimum.</li>
</ul>


The last twelve months were, market-wise, interesting. Multiple things have happened that contributed to changes in my thinking-process.
Refining thoughts and the mental mechanism I utilize to approach portfolio management should lead to success, or at least that is my hypothesis.
Continuous learning allows for building more solid premises. Given time, compound interest sharpens them to the point where chances of error are minimum.


Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Magnificent 7, comprising Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, NVIDIA and Tesla  hit record high allocations among active Global equity funds this year.</li>
<li>Thought of as a standalone allocation, they represent the 2nd largest country weight, but also stand as a sizeable underweight versus the benchmark.</li>
<li>Microsoft's dominates the group, NVIDIA has attracted a new investors this year, whilst Tesla has struggled to gain the same level of trust from active Global investors.</li>
</ul>


The Magnificent 7, comprising Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, NVIDIA and Tesla  hit record high allocations among active Global equity funds this year.
Thought of as a standalone allocation, they represent the 2nd largest country weight, but also stand as a sizeable underweight versus the benchmark.
Microsoft's dominates the group, NVIDIA has attracted a new investors this year, whilst Tesla has struggled to gain the same level of trust from active Global investors.


Riding High: The Magnificent 7 Surge in Global Equity Funds

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>On December 26, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nihon-kohden-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7668:1" rel="noopener">Nihon Kohden (6849 JP)</a> shares jumped ~15% as the company was a beneficiary of the ban on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a>’s latest smartwatch models.</li>
<li>Nihon Kohden reported better-than-expected result in H1FY24. The company raised FY24 revenue forecast to ¥221.5B (+7% YoY) from ¥215.0B. The company has also raised FY24 operating and net profit guidance.</li>
<li>Currently consensus expects 2% YoY revenue growth for the company in FY25. With strong demand for existing products and new launches, the expectation seems to be conservative.  </li>
</ul>


On December 26, Nihon Kohden (6849 JP) shares jumped ~15% as the company was a beneficiary of the ban on Apple (AAPL US)’s latest smartwatch models.
Nihon Kohden reported better-than-expected result in H1FY24. The company raised FY24 revenue forecast to ¥221.5B (+7% YoY) from ¥215.0B. The company has also raised FY24 operating and net profit guidance.
Currently consensus expects 2% YoY revenue growth for the company in FY25. With strong demand for existing products and new launches, the expectation seems to be conservative.  


Nihon Kohden (6849 JP): Apart from Apple Smartwatch Ban, Three More Reasons to Buy Shares

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)</a>'s revenue outlook for 1Q24F is expected to show a decline of around negative high single digits QoQ.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel Corp (INTC US)</a> aims to receive x86 CPU technology from TSMC 3nm in 1H24F.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mediatek-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:772:1" rel="noopener">Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)</a> plans to utilize 3nm technology for manufacturing smartphone SoCs in 2H24F, which will narrow the gap with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qualcomm-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:969:1" rel="noopener">Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US)</a>.  </li>
</ul>



Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)'s revenue outlook for 1Q24F is expected to show a decline of around negative high single digits QoQ.

Intel Corp (INTC US) aims to receive x86 CPU technology from TSMC 3nm in 1H24F.

Mediatek Inc (2454 TT) plans to utilize 3nm technology for manufacturing smartphone SoCs in 2H24F, which will narrow the gap with Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US).  


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The 1Q24F Revenue Outlook and the Progress for Intel, MediaTek and Samsung.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

uPI Semiconductor Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>UPI Semi is a specialist designer of electronic components and semiconductors for power management. Power management is a key performance factor for AI devices.</li>
<li>UPI's clients include most of the world's largest leading technology companies for semiconductor distribution and AI products.</li>
<li>UPI shares have lagged the strong performance of its clients -- We see opportunity for UPI to now Outperform.</li>
</ul>


UPI Semi is a specialist designer of electronic components and semiconductors for power management. Power management is a key performance factor for AI devices.
UPI's clients include most of the world's largest leading technology companies for semiconductor distribution and AI products.
UPI shares have lagged the strong performance of its clients -- We see opportunity for UPI to now Outperform.


Power Semiconductor Specialist Will Benefit from AI Yet Lagging Key Customers' Share Price Rallies

United States

Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related accessories. The Company also offers payment, digital content, cloud and advertising services. Apple Inc.'s customers are primarily in consumer, small & mid-sized business, education, enterprise and government markets worldwide.

Price Gauge
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Apple (AAPL US)

2023 Shareholder Letter

The last twelve months were, market-wise, interesting. Multiple things have happened that contributed to changes in my thinking-process.

From 0 to 1 in the Stock Market

Riding High: The Magnificent 7 Surge in Global Equity Funds

Microsoft's dominates the group, NVIDIA has attracted a new investors this year, whilst Tesla has struggled to gain the same level of trust from...

Steven Holden

Nihon Kohden (6849 JP): Apart from Apple Smartwatch Ban, Three More Reasons to Buy Shares

Nihon Kohden reported strong H1FY24 results and raised its revenue and profit forecasts for FY24. The company has strong product line-up for the...

Tina Banerjee

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The 1Q24F Revenue Outlook and the Progress for Intel, MediaTek and Samsung.

TSMC shows a likely decline in 1Q24F. Intel aims to receive technology from TSMC for 3nm demand. Mediatek plans to narrow the gap with QCOM by...

Patrick Liao

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

2023 Shareholder Letter

The last twelve months were, market-wise, interesting. Multiple things have happened that contributed to changes in my thinking-process.

From 0 to 1 in the Stock Market

Riding High: The Magnificent 7 Surge in Global Equity Funds

Microsoft's dominates the group, NVIDIA has attracted a new investors this year, whilst Tesla has struggled to gain the same level of trust from...

Steven Holden

Nihon Kohden (6849 JP): Apart from Apple Smartwatch Ban, Three More Reasons to Buy Shares

​Nihon Kohden reported strong H1FY24 results and raised its revenue and profit forecasts for FY24. The company has strong product line-up for the...

Tina Banerjee

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The 1Q24F Revenue Outlook and the Progress for Intel, MediaTek and Samsung.

​TSMC shows a likely decline in 1Q24F. Intel aims to receive technology from TSMC for 3nm demand. Mediatek plans to narrow the gap with QCOM by...

Patrick Liao

Power Semiconductor Specialist Will Benefit from AI Yet Lagging Key Customers' Share Price Rallies

UPI's clients include most of the world's leading tech companies for chip distribution and AI products. UPI shares have lagged the strong...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Nihon Kohden reported strong H1FY24 results and raised its revenue and profit forecasts for FY24. The company has strong product line-up for the...

TSMC shows a likely decline in 1Q24F. Intel aims to receive technology from TSMC for 3nm demand. Mediatek plans to narrow the gap with QCOM by...