Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>Apple has come out with an announcement yesterday that they will launch a new iPad and no iPhone.  The good news is that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-electronic-intl-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1927:1" rel="noopener">BYD Electronics (285 HK)</a>is included in Apple's supplier list to manufacture around 20-30% of iPad, and investors have been expecting this - causing the ultra optimism reflected in the share price YTD performance, beating the peers and even <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple Inc (AAPL US)</a> . </p>
<p>Unless the new iPad is selling like hotcakes and the domestic wearables and 5G migration really helps to increase demand, it is hard to see why BYD Electronics' share price run-up is justifiable. </p>
<div class="content-highlight">
<p>For long-only investors - it is time to <strong>book</strong> profit. </p>
<p>For long-short investors - it is time to start <strong>shorting</strong> the stock. </p>
</div>

Apple has come out with an announcement yesterday that they will launch a new iPad and no iPhone.  The good news is that BYD Electronics (285 HK)is included in Apple's supplier list to manufacture around 20-30% of iPad, and investors have been expecting this - causing the ultra optimism reflected in the share price YTD performance, beating the peers and even Apple Inc (AAPL US) . 
Unless the new iPad is selling like hotcakes and the domestic wearables and 5G migration really helps to increase demand, it is hard to see why BYD Electronics' share price run-up is justifiable. 

For long-only investors - it is time to book profit. 
For long-short investors - it is time to start shorting the stock. 


BYD Electronics (285): Time to Take Profit?

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

<p>The much-anticipated acquisition by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA</a> of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arm-holdings-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21816:1" rel="noopener">Arm</a> from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank</a> was formally <a href="https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-to-acquire-arm-for-40-billion-creating-worlds-premier-computing-company-for-the-age-of-ai" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> on Monday. The transaction is valued at $40 billion, an approximately equal combination of cash and NVIDIA stock.</p><p>On the surface the deal looks strategically solid from NVIDIA's perspective. It places the company at the center of Arm's one hundred and eighty billion connected device ecosystem. Perhaps even more importantly, it opens up the possibility of an outright assault on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel's</a> data center dominance by adding Arm-based server processors to complement NVIDIA's existing lineup of GPUs and interconnect.</p><p>Underneath the surface however, this deal is fraught with issues and risks. While Arm has been a very successful company, their growth is flatlining as smartphone sales stagnate. Furthermore, we see the rise of RISC-V as a very real threat to Arm's business model in the coming years. Arm has never competed with its customers. Under NVIDIA ownership, this will be virtually impossible to avoid.</p><p>From a regulatory perspective, Arm IP moving under american ownership will raise the very real prospect that this technology will become a future weapon in the US-China trade and technology wars. In today's environment, it's difficult to see why China would agree to facilitate that possibility.</p><p>All in all we think this deal is not as good as it seems on the surface and that it will be practically impossible to get through the regulatory approval process. </p>

The much-anticipated acquisition by NVIDIA of Arm from Softbank was formally announced on Monday. The transaction is valued at $40 billion, an approximately equal combination of cash and NVIDIA stock.On the surface the deal looks strategically solid from NVIDIA's perspective. It places the company at the center of Arm's one hundred and eighty billion connected device ecosystem. Perhaps even more importantly, it opens up the possibility of an outright assault on Intel's data center dominance by adding Arm-based server processors to complement NVIDIA's existing lineup of GPUs and interconnect.Underneath the surface however, this deal is fraught with issues and risks. While Arm has been a very successful company, their growth is flatlining as smartphone sales stagnate. Furthermore, we see the rise of RISC-V as a very real threat to Arm's business model in the coming years. Arm has never competed with its customers. Under NVIDIA ownership, this will be virtually impossible to avoid.From a regulatory perspective, Arm IP moving under american ownership will raise the very real prospect that this technology will become a future weapon in the US-China trade and technology wars. In today's environment, it's difficult to see why China would agree to facilitate that possibility.All in all we think this deal is not as good as it seems on the surface and that it will be practically impossible to get through the regulatory approval process. 

NVIDIA+Arm. Strategically Solid But Practically Impossible.

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<p>Nikkei reported on Tuesday (08<sup>th</sup> September 2020) that Apple will begin initial production of its 5G-enabled iPhones in mid-September amid travel restrictions and Covid-19 disruptions. Apple has managed to reduce the delay in the production of its much anticipated 5G iPhones to just weeks instead of months.</p><p>Apple usually begins mass production of its new iPhone model in August every year that are scheduled for release during the company’s September event.</p>

Nikkei reported on Tuesday (08th September 2020) that Apple will begin initial production of its 5G-enabled iPhones in mid-September amid travel restrictions and Covid-19 disruptions. Apple has managed to reduce the delay in the production of its much anticipated 5G iPhones to just weeks instead of months.Apple usually begins mass production of its new iPhone model in August every year that are scheduled for release during the company’s September event.

Apple to Start Producing 5G IPhones in Mid-September

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

<div><p>Lots of interesting things stood out this week. Chief among them is that valuation has its limits...even for Apple and Tesla.</p></div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.</p></div></div>

Lots of interesting things stood out this week. Chief among them is that valuation has its limits...even for Apple and Tesla.Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.

TMT Weekly:  3 Things that Stood Out The Week of 9/4/​​​​2020

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/morpho-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19454:1" rel="noopener">Morpho Inc (3653 JP)</a> engages in the research, development and licensing of image processing technologies in Japan. The company offers image stabilisation, computational photography, recognition/tracking, stereo camera and display technologies for smartphones, digital cameras, diagnostic imaging, automotive and other mobile devices.</p>
<p>The company’s shares have lost 45% year-to-date and currently trading at JPY1,760 per share which is close to its 5-year low. The company revenues are highly correlated with demand for smartphones which exposes its earnings into significant cyclicality.</p>

Morpho Inc (3653 JP) engages in the research, development and licensing of image processing technologies in Japan. The company offers image stabilisation, computational photography, recognition/tracking, stereo camera and display technologies for smartphones, digital cameras, diagnostic imaging, automotive and other mobile devices.
The company’s shares have lost 45% year-to-date and currently trading at JPY1,760 per share which is close to its 5-year low. The company revenues are highly correlated with demand for smartphones which exposes its earnings into significant cyclicality.

Morpho: Morphing from Smartphones to Other Applications and It’s Cheap

United States

Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related accessories. The Company also offers payment, digital content, cloud and advertising services. Apple Inc.'s customers are primarily in consumer, small & mid-sized business, education, enterprise and government markets worldwide.

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Apple (AAPL US)

BYD Electronics (285): Time to Take Profit?

The good news is that BYD Electronics (285 HK)is included as App

Henry Soediarko

NVIDIA+Arm. Strategically Solid But Practically Impossible.

The long-anticipated acquisition by NVIDIA of Arm Holdings (ARM LN)

William Keating

Apple to Start Producing 5G IPhones in Mid-September

Nikkei reported on Tuesday (08th September 2020) that Apple will begin initial production of its 5G-enabled iPhones in mid-September amid travel...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

TMT Weekly: 3 Things that Stood Out The Week of 9/4/2020

Lots of interesting things so Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to...

Aaron Gabin

Morpho: Morphing from Smartphones to Other Applications and It’s Cheap

$engages in the research, development and licensing of image processing technologies in Japan. The company offers image stabilisation,...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

BYD Electronics (285): Time to Take Profit?

The good news is that BYD Electronics (285 HK)is included as App

Henry Soediarko

NVIDIA+Arm. Strategically Solid But Practically Impossible.

The long-anticipated acquisition by NVIDIA of Arm Holdings (ARM LN)

William Keating

Apple to Start Producing 5G IPhones in Mid-September

Nikkei reported on Tuesday (08th September 2020) that Apple will begin initial production of its 5G-enabled iPhones in mid-September amid travel...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

TMT Weekly: 3 Things that Stood Out The Week of 9/4/​​​​2020

Lots of interesting things so Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to...

Aaron Gabin

Morpho: Morphing from Smartphones to Other Applications and It’s Cheap

$engages in the research, development and licensing of image processing technologies in Japan. The company offers image stabilisation,...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

TMT Weekly: 3 Things that Stood Out The Week of 9/4/2020