External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Shree Cement: We maintain our ADD rating on Shree Cement, with an unchanged SOTP target price of INR 28,700/share</li><li>Cement volume growth slowed to 8% YoY as it lost four days of sales due to software migration to SAP</li><li>Reported unit EBITDA (cement) remained flattish QoQ at INR 1346/MT as lower input costs and lower advertising expenses offset the impact of a 6% QoQ NSR decline (ex-power)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Shree Cement: We maintain our ADD rating on Shree Cement, with an unchanged SOTP target price of INR 28,700/shareCement volume growth slowed to 8% YoY as it lost four days of sales due to software migration to SAPReported unit EBITDA (cement) remained flattish QoQ at INR 1346/MT as lower input costs and lower advertising expenses offset the impact of a 6% QoQ NSR decline (ex-power)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Shree Cement, Oberoi Realty, Apollo Tyres, Radico Khaitan

<ul><li>The premiumisation trend continues to remain in focus with UVs and premium 2Ws driving the growth</li><li>The entry-level 2W demand, which picked up in the festive season, has failed to sustain in Q4</li><li>It is pertinent to highlight, however, that demand for 125cc and above continued to be strong</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The premiumisation trend continues to remain in focus with UVs and premium 2Ws driving the growthThe entry-level 2W demand, which picked up in the festive season, has failed to sustain in Q4It is pertinent to highlight, however, that demand for 125cc and above continued to be strongContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Autos: Q4 preview - Premiumisation is the way to go

<ul><li>Lupin: EBITDA growth (+98% YoY and +11% QoQ) was led by 20% YoY sales growth (US: flat QoQ, India +13% YoY, EMEA: +36% YoY and +71% RoW), higher GM (+629 bps YoY), but it was partly offset by higher costs (staff/R&amp;D/SG&amp;A up +16/ 23/ 15% YoY)</li><li>LPC expects the US business to see single-digit growth on traction in gSpiriva (targets ~40% market share in FY25) and new launches (opthal, injectable, respiratory, etc.)</li><li>It expects its India business to see double-digit growth as slower growth in anti-diabetic (patent expiry of in-licensing products in FY25) is expected to be offset by traction in key therapies and new launches</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Lupin: EBITDA growth (+98% YoY and +11% QoQ) was led by 20% YoY sales growth (US: flat QoQ, India +13% YoY, EMEA: +36% YoY and +71% RoW), higher GM (+629 bps YoY), but it was partly offset by higher costs (staff/R&amp;D/SG&amp;A up +16/ 23/ 15% YoY)LPC expects the US business to see single-digit growth on traction in gSpiriva (targets ~40% market share in FY25) and new launches (opthal, injectable, respiratory, etc.)It expects its India business to see double-digit growth as slower growth in anti-diabetic (patent expiry of in-licensing products in FY25) is expected to be offset by traction in key therapies and new launchesContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Lupin, Cummins, Apollo Tyres, Kalpataru Projects International

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Embassy Office Parks REIT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, things started to cool down into the year end with some smaller issuers still trying their luck to get listed before the year ends.</li>
<li>On the placement front, most of the action continued to come from India. </li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, things started to cool down into the year end with some smaller issuers still trying their luck to get listed before the year ends.
On the placement front, most of the action continued to come from India. 


ECM Weekly (24th Dec 2023) - Embassy REIT, Muthoot Microfin, India Shelter, Inox, UBTech

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 18 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 28 December. We had forecast all the index changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 57.7% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 21.75bn (US$261m). 8 stocks have over 1x ADV to trade; 21 stocks have atleast 0.5x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The adds have continued to outperform the deletes and the index and there could be further outperformance heading into year-end and buying from passive trackers.</li>
</ul>


There are 18 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 28 December. We had forecast all the index changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 57.7% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 21.75bn (US$261m). 8 stocks have over 1x ADV to trade; 21 stocks have atleast 0.5x ADV to trade.
The adds have continued to outperform the deletes and the index and there could be further outperformance heading into year-end and buying from passive trackers.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 18 Changes a Side, 58% Turnover, Momentum Intact

India

Apollo Tyres Limited manufactures tires and tubes for cars, trucks, farm equipment and light commercial vehicles. The Company also manufactures automobile flaps and retreading materials.

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Apollo Tyres (APTY IN)

HSIE Results Daily: Shree Cement, Oberoi Realty, Apollo Tyres, Radico Khaitan

Shree Cement: We maintain our ADD rating on Shree Cement, with an unchanged SOTP target price of INR 28,700/share. Cement volume growth slowed to...

HDFC Securities

Autos: Q4 preview - Premiumisation is the way to go

The premiumisation trend continues to remain in focus with UVs and premium 2Ws driving the growth. The entry-level 2W demand, which picked up in...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Lupin, Cummins, Apollo Tyres, Kalpataru Projects International

Lupin: EBITDA growth (+98% YoY and +11% QoQ) was led by 20% YoY sales growth (US: flat QoQ, India +13% YoY, EMEA: +36% YoY and +71% RoW),

HDFC Securities

ECM Weekly (24th Dec 2023) - Embassy REIT, Muthoot Microfin, India Shelter, Inox, UBTech

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Ethan Aw

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 18 Changes a Side, 58% Turnover, Momentum Intact

The adds and deletes have performed in line since announcement of the changes a little over a week ago. With 10 trading days to implementation,...

Brian Freitas

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