Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

My updates back in December to reiterate the negative in containers (and bulk) and anticipated a weak 2016, to be sure. But in recent weeks it appears the market has gotten even weaker. I am sure our friends from Drewry have experienced this as well. A few key details below on rates that have gone even further south than 2009.In recent weeks we understand from friends that some markets in Intra-Asia have gone into negative pricing.This means that lines have to try to recoup some of their losses…

My updates back in December to reiterate the negative in containers (and bulk) and anticipated a weak 2016, to be sure. But in recent weeks it appears the market has gotten even weaker. I am sure our friends from Drewry have experienced this as well. A few key details below on rates that have gone even further south than 2009.In recent weeks we understand from friends that some markets in Intra-Asia have gone into negative pricing.This means that lines have to try to recoup some of their losses…

Container Shipping Industry Last Few Weeks Factoring in Doomsday

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

Consolidation in the Liner Industry Container shipping companies confront the enormous challenges facing the industry today. One of the options available to lines is consolidation; this is essential for the industry but fraught with difficulty for the lines involved. We at Drewry have prepared a thought leadership paper which looks at the industry context, historical M&amp;A activity, and the benefits and risks to participants and proposes some must dos for successful liner consolidation.

Consolidation in the Liner Industry Container shipping companies confront the enormous challenges facing the industry today. One of the options available to lines is consolidation; this is essential for the industry but fraught with difficulty for the lines involved. We at Drewry have prepared a thought leadership paper which looks at the industry context, historical M&amp;A activity, and the benefits and risks to participants and proposes some must dos for successful liner consolidation. 

Equity Bottom-Up

AP Moeller - Maersk A/S / Equity Bottom-Up

AP MOELLER-MAERSK A/S-B (MAERSKB DC) - Diversification and Balance Sheet Provides Strong Cushion<img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/005/417/original/APMM.JPG?1454552530" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="5417">• Fair Value under pressure amid sombre market outlook: We have our fair value of APMM at DKK 9,700 with a  Neutral rating. We have updated our forecasts to factor in management’s subdued guidance and new lows in oil prices. This results in lower group net profit as we assume a negative impact on three main businesses – Liner, Oil and Terminal. We forecast APMM’s net income to be in the range of USD…

AP MOELLER-MAERSK A/S-B (MAERSKB DC) - Diversification and Balance Sheet Provides Strong Cushion• Fair Value under pressure amid sombre market outlook: We have our fair value of APMM at DKK 9,700 with a  Neutral rating. We have updated our forecasts to factor in management’s subdued guidance and new lows in oil prices. This results in lower group net profit as we assume a negative impact on three main businesses – Liner, Oil and Terminal. We forecast APMM’s net income to be in the range of USD…

AP MOELLER-MAERSK A/S-B (MAERSKB DC) - Diversification and Balance Sheet Provides Strong Cushion

Denmark

A.P. Moller - Maersk A/S operates as an integrated transport and logistics company. The Company offers container vessels, supply ships, special vessels, terminals, tug boat activities and reefer container box manufacturing. A.P. Moller-Maersk serves clients worldwide.

D/S Norden A/S is an international shipping company.  The Company operates a fleet of modern bulk vessels and tankers consisting of company owned vessels and long-term and short-term chartered cargo ships.  D/S Norden transports commodities such as coal, fertilizer, grain, sugar, and steels, as well as crude oil and other liquids.  The Company operates worldwide.

DFDS A/S provides passenger and freight shipping services, and offers shipping related logistics solutions.  The Company focuses on two business divisions: DFDS Tor Line operates roro liner traffic in the North Sea, and DFDS Seaways runs overnight cruise ferries between cities in Northern Europe.  DFDS sells to customers with large shipping requirements and to car traveling tourists.

DSV A/S is the parent company for a group of companies that offer transport and logistics.   The Group provides truck, ship, and plane transport services, as well as warehousing and logistic services.  DSV operates in Europe, North America, and the Far East.

DSV A/S provides transport and logistics services. The Company offers road, marine, and air transport services, as well as warehousing, purchase order management, and other logistic solutions. DSV serves customers worldwide.

Kobenhavns Lufthavne A/S (Copenhagen Airports A/S - CPH) owns and operates Kastrup, the international airport in Copenhagen, and Roskilde airport.  The Company provides traffic management, maintenance, and security services, as well as manages the Airport Shopping Center and airport projects.  Kobenhavns Lufthavne also has investments in airports in Mexico, England, and China.

Vestas Wind Systems A/S develops, manufactures, and markets wind turbines that generate electricity. The Company installs and maintenance turbines. Vestas Wind Systems serves customers worldwide.

Rockwool International A/S develops and produces stone wool, a fiber made from melted volcanic rock, and stone-wool-based products such as insulation and fire protection and noise and vibration control products.  The Company's products line also includes acoustic ceilings, facade panels, and horticultural substrates.  Rockwool produces in several countries and sells worldwide.

ISS A/S provides cleaning, office support, property, catering, and integrated facility services. The Company offers security, facility management, change management, space management, and consulting services.

COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd offers marine freight transportation services.  The Company offers container shipping, dry bulk shipping, logistics services, freight forwarding, and terminal and container leasing services internationally.  COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd operates container ships and terminals, and manufactures shipping containers.

Orient Overseas International Ltd, through its subsidiaries, owns and leases ships, operates terminals, and provides freight forwarding and container transportation services.  The Company also develops and invests in properties, leases equipment, and invests in securities.

Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Ltd. operates marine cargo and passenger transportation around the world.  The Company provides ocean liner, bulk carrier, car carrier, unscheduled specialized carrier, and energy transportation services. The Company also offers insurance, warehousing, and land transportation services.  Items transported include automobile, grain, petroleum, coal, iron ore, and wood chip.

Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha mainly provides marine transportation services and transportation management solution from international hub ports to both domestic and international ports. The Company operates container transportation, tramp and specialized carriers, and logistics and cruise lines. Nippon Yusen offers scheduled and unscheduled transportation services around the world.

HMM Co., Ltd. provides marine transportation services.  The Company commands different types of vessels including full container vessels, oil tankers, car carriers, LNG carriers, bulk carriers, and tramps.

Evergreen Marine Corp. (Taiwan) Ltd. transports freight by ships. The Company operates container ships to move freight throughout the world. Evergreen Marine has interests in terminals, airline operations and motor freight transportation, as well as container manufacturing.

Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Ltd. provides marine transportation, warehousing, and cargo handling services.  The Company operates container ship, specialized carrier, oil tankers, and ferry.  Items transported include coal, iron ore, grain, logs, aluminum, cement, industrial salt, copper ore, wood chips, paper products, chemical products, gasoline and other petroleum products, LPG, and other cargoes.

Kuehne + Nagel International AG transports freight worldwide.  The Company operates sea, land, and rail freight transportation businesses and warehousing and distribution facilities.  Kuehne + Nagel also provides related special services.

COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation Co., Ltd. offers marine shipping services. The Company provides refined oil transportation, crude oil transportation, and other services. COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation also ships iron ores, dry bulks, coal, and other products.

Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co. Ltd. (H) (1138 HK)

Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co. Ltd. (H)

Kirby Corporation operates a fleet of inland tank barges.  The Company transports industrial chemicals, refined petroleum products, black oil products, and agricultural chemicals.  Kirby also overhauls and services diesel engines employed in marine, power generation, and rail applications.

A.P. Moeller-Maersk A/S is a conglomerate with diversified holdings. The Company operates a fleet including container vessels, tankers, supply ships, special vessels, APM terminials, and oil drilling rigs.  A.P. Moeller-Maersk also operates industrial business and explores for and produces oil and gas. The Company is active worldwide.

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AP Moeller - Maersk A/S (MAERSKB DC)

Container Shipping Industry Last Few Weeks Factoring in Doomsday

My updates back in December to reiterate the negative in containers (and bulk) and anticipated a weak 2016, to be sure. But in recent weeks it...

Charles De Trenck

Consolidation in the Liner Industry

Consolidation in the Liner Industry Container shipping companies confront the enormous challenges facing the industry today. One of the options...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

AP MOELLER-MAERSK A/S-B (MAERSKB DC) - Diversification and Balance Sheet Provides Strong Cushion

AP MOELLER-MAERSK A/S-B (MAERSKB DC) - Diversification and Balance Sheet Provides Strong Cushion• Fair Value under pressure amid sombre market...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

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