Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Results of listed terminal operators reveal a weakness in organic earnings as gearing increases. Stricter cost rationalisation and financial risk reduction will retain investment interest. Companies with growth plans command a significant market premium as profitability diminishes.

Results of listed terminal operators reveal a weakness in organic earnings as gearing increases. Stricter cost rationalisation and financial risk reduction will retain investment interest. Companies with growth plans command a significant market premium as profitability diminishes.

Global Port Operators - 3Q16 Profitability Trends Lower on Slackening Growth

Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

Equity Bottom-Up

AP Moeller - Maersk A/S / Equity Bottom-Up

Maersk announced it would make a cash (A $4bn figure was initially thrown out, but this appears too high. Other estimates are Maersk would not likely have paid more than $2bn) offer for leading and family owned North-South carrier Hamburg Sud. These mergers continue to be positive for this poorly run industry. The move is positive for Maersk and for the global containerized transport industry and could see Maersk at about 19% of global capacity.See as well <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/356" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:356">Drewry Maritime Equity Research</a> and its…

Maersk announced it would make a cash (A $4bn figure was initially thrown out, but this appears too high. Other estimates are Maersk would not likely have paid more than $2bn) offer for leading and family owned North-South carrier Hamburg Sud. These mergers continue to be positive for this poorly run industry. The move is positive for Maersk and for the global containerized transport industry and could see Maersk at about 19% of global capacity.See as well Drewry Maritime Equity Research and its…

Implications of Maersk's Hamburg Sud Purchase

We have been negative on A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S and container shipping for majority of the last few years, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/a-p-moller-maersk-a-s-maerskb-dc-why-we-are-turning-sellers-of-apmm" target="_blank">https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/a-p-moller-maersk-a-s-maerskb-dc-why-we-are-turning-sellers-of-apmm</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/a-p-moller-maersk-a-s-maerskb-dc-2q16-outlook-subdued-maintain-unattractive" target="_blank">https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/a-p-moller-maersk-a-s-maerskb-dc-2q16-outlook-subdued-maintain-unattractive</a>. The primary reason was underlying weakness in global trade and excessive global capacity. We see early signs of reversal in pricing and APMM being the most operationally leverage to a recovery is set to report strong earnings in 2017. We upgrade APMM to “Attractive” from “Unattractive” earlier and reverse our bearish stance purely on improving sector fundamentals as we look through the noise of rising trade protectionism. We expect Maersk Line to return to profitability in FY17. We put our TP at DKK 10,000 which is still conservative with further upside in store as we look for further evidence in our investment thesis to play out.

We have been negative on A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S and container shipping for majority of the last few years, https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/a-p-moller-maersk-a-s-maerskb-dc-why-we-are-turning-sellers-of-apmm &amp; https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/a-p-moller-maersk-a-s-maerskb-dc-2q16-outlook-subdued-maintain-unattractive. The primary reason was underlying weakness in global trade and excessive global capacity. We see early signs of reversal in pricing and APMM being the most operationally leverage to a recovery is set to report strong earnings in 2017. We upgrade APMM to “Attractive” from “Unattractive” earlier and reverse our bearish stance purely on improving sector fundamentals as we look through the noise of rising trade protectionism. We expect Maersk Line to return to profitability in FY17. We put our TP at DKK 10,000 which is still conservative with further upside in store as we look for further evidence in our investment thesis to play out.

A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S (MAERSKB DC) – Looking Through the Noise, Double Upgrade to "Attractive"

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Orient Overseas International / Equity Bottom-Up

In our comments on the global container shipping segment, we have until recently argued that players on the supply side -- liner operators and other container ship owners -- have not taken the painful steps needed to bring excess supply in line with weakened demand in the near-term, and that the benefits of consolidation weren't likely to be seen for at least another year or two. In the last few weeks, however, we have seen evidence that ship owners are finally biting the bullet and reducing…

In our comments on the global container shipping segment, we have until recently argued that players on the supply side -- liner operators and other container ship owners -- have not taken the painful steps needed to bring excess supply in line with weakened demand in the near-term, and that the benefits of consolidation weren't likely to be seen for at least another year or two. In the last few weeks, however, we have seen evidence that ship owners are finally biting the bullet and reducing…

Container Shipping: Demand Weak, But Supply Side Taking Needed Steps; Hanjin Sold; Focus On OOIL

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media, CM Research

Cyrus Mewawalla

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media

Thematic TMT investing

CM Research

CM Research is an independent research house based in London, England. We provide global thematic research in the Technology, Media and Telecoms (TMT) sectors. 

Our focus is on disruptive technologies: how will they unfold; which industries will be impacted; and who will be the ultimate winners and losers. 

Our aim is to help investors predict share prices and corporate executives stay one step ahead of the technology trends that are shaping their industry. 

We research technology investment themes in detail and then feed the results into a scorecard system to quantify the impact of several conflicting themes on individual stocks. 

Recent themes covered include internet TV, the Internet of Things, Big Data, Mobile payments, crowdfunding, artificial intelligence, the cloud, software defined networking and Generation Hashtag.

We cover the top 500 global TMT stocks by market capitalisation and several technology start-ups and pre-IPO companies too. 

In 2015, CM Research analysts outperformed the Bloomberg Benchmark Analyst Index - which measures how good analysts are at predicting stock prices - by 7.1%.

By 2020, the global cybersecurity market is expected to be worth $170bn, up from $77bn in 2015. But the core issue is that companies need “better” rather than “more” security.Most cybersecurity companies sell an imperfect product. The common joke in the industry is that no cybersecurity company can really protect you against the latest threats out there. In a sense, they all overpromise and underdeliver.If this is true, should investors steer clear of the sector altogether?To help investors answer that question we look at three areas:- industry growth drivers- corporate governance trends- wider cybersecurity industry trends

By 2020, the global cybersecurity market is expected to be worth $170bn, up from $77bn in 2015. But the core issue is that companies need “better” rather than “more” security.Most cybersecurity companies sell an imperfect product. The common joke in the industry is that no cybersecurity company can really protect you against the latest threats out there. In a sense, they all overpromise and underdeliver.If this is true, should investors steer clear of the sector altogether?To help investors answer that question we look at three areas:- industry growth drivers- corporate governance trends- wider cybersecurity industry trends

Cybersecurity as an Investment Theme (Part 2)

Denmark

A.P. Moller - Maersk A/S operates as an integrated transport and logistics company. The Company offers container vessels, supply ships, special vessels, terminals, tug boat activities and reefer container box manufacturing. A.P. Moller-Maersk serves clients worldwide.

D/S Norden A/S is an international shipping company.  The Company operates a fleet of modern bulk vessels and tankers consisting of company owned vessels and long-term and short-term chartered cargo ships.  D/S Norden transports commodities such as coal, fertilizer, grain, sugar, and steels, as well as crude oil and other liquids.  The Company operates worldwide.

DFDS A/S provides passenger and freight shipping services, and offers shipping related logistics solutions.  The Company focuses on two business divisions: DFDS Tor Line operates roro liner traffic in the North Sea, and DFDS Seaways runs overnight cruise ferries between cities in Northern Europe.  DFDS sells to customers with large shipping requirements and to car traveling tourists.

DSV A/S is the parent company for a group of companies that offer transport and logistics.   The Group provides truck, ship, and plane transport services, as well as warehousing and logistic services.  DSV operates in Europe, North America, and the Far East.

DSV A/S provides transport and logistics services. The Company offers road, marine, and air transport services, as well as warehousing, purchase order management, and other logistic solutions. DSV serves customers worldwide.

Kobenhavns Lufthavne A/S (Copenhagen Airports A/S - CPH) owns and operates Kastrup, the international airport in Copenhagen, and Roskilde airport.  The Company provides traffic management, maintenance, and security services, as well as manages the Airport Shopping Center and airport projects.  Kobenhavns Lufthavne also has investments in airports in Mexico, England, and China.

Vestas Wind Systems A/S develops, manufactures, and markets wind turbines that generate electricity. The Company installs and maintenance turbines. Vestas Wind Systems serves customers worldwide.

Rockwool International A/S develops and produces stone wool, a fiber made from melted volcanic rock, and stone-wool-based products such as insulation and fire protection and noise and vibration control products.  The Company's products line also includes acoustic ceilings, facade panels, and horticultural substrates.  Rockwool produces in several countries and sells worldwide.

ISS A/S provides cleaning, office support, property, catering, and integrated facility services. The Company offers security, facility management, change management, space management, and consulting services.

COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd offers marine freight transportation services.  The Company offers container shipping, dry bulk shipping, logistics services, freight forwarding, and terminal and container leasing services internationally.  COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd operates container ships and terminals, and manufactures shipping containers.

Orient Overseas International Ltd, through its subsidiaries, owns and leases ships, operates terminals, and provides freight forwarding and container transportation services.  The Company also develops and invests in properties, leases equipment, and invests in securities.

Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Ltd. operates marine cargo and passenger transportation around the world.  The Company provides ocean liner, bulk carrier, car carrier, unscheduled specialized carrier, and energy transportation services. The Company also offers insurance, warehousing, and land transportation services.  Items transported include automobile, grain, petroleum, coal, iron ore, and wood chip.

Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha mainly provides marine transportation services and transportation management solution from international hub ports to both domestic and international ports. The Company operates container transportation, tramp and specialized carriers, and logistics and cruise lines. Nippon Yusen offers scheduled and unscheduled transportation services around the world.

HMM Co., Ltd. provides marine transportation services.  The Company commands different types of vessels including full container vessels, oil tankers, car carriers, LNG carriers, bulk carriers, and tramps.

Evergreen Marine Corp. (Taiwan) Ltd. transports freight by ships. The Company operates container ships to move freight throughout the world. Evergreen Marine has interests in terminals, airline operations and motor freight transportation, as well as container manufacturing.

Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Ltd. provides marine transportation, warehousing, and cargo handling services.  The Company operates container ship, specialized carrier, oil tankers, and ferry.  Items transported include coal, iron ore, grain, logs, aluminum, cement, industrial salt, copper ore, wood chips, paper products, chemical products, gasoline and other petroleum products, LPG, and other cargoes.

Kuehne + Nagel International AG transports freight worldwide.  The Company operates sea, land, and rail freight transportation businesses and warehousing and distribution facilities.  Kuehne + Nagel also provides related special services.

COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation Co., Ltd. offers marine shipping services. The Company provides refined oil transportation, crude oil transportation, and other services. COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation also ships iron ores, dry bulks, coal, and other products.

Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co. Ltd. (H) (1138 HK)

Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co. Ltd. (H)

Kirby Corporation operates a fleet of inland tank barges.  The Company transports industrial chemicals, refined petroleum products, black oil products, and agricultural chemicals.  Kirby also overhauls and services diesel engines employed in marine, power generation, and rail applications.

A.P. Moeller-Maersk A/S is a conglomerate with diversified holdings. The Company operates a fleet including container vessels, tankers, supply ships, special vessels, APM terminials, and oil drilling rigs.  A.P. Moeller-Maersk also operates industrial business and explores for and produces oil and gas. The Company is active worldwide.

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AP Moeller - Maersk A/S (MAERSKB DC)

Global Port Operators - 3Q16 Profitability Trends Lower on Slackening Growth

Results of listed terminal operators reveal a weakness in organic earnings as gearing increases. Stricter cost rationalisation and financial risk...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Implications of Maersk's Hamburg Sud Purchase

Maersk announced it would make a cash (A $4bn figure was initially thrown out, but this appears too high. Other estimates are Maersk would not...

Charles De Trenck

A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S (MAERSKB DC) – Looking Through the Noise, Double Upgrade to "Attractive"

We have been negative on A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S and container shipping for majority of the last few...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Container Shipping: Demand Weak, But Supply Side Taking Needed Steps; Hanjin Sold; Focus On OOIL

In our comments on the global container shipping segment, we have until recently argued that players on the supply side -- liner operators and...

Daniel Hellberg

Cybersecurity as an Investment Theme (Part 2)

By 2020, the global cybersecurity market is expected to be worth $170bn, up from $77bn in 2015. But the core issue is that companies need “better”...

CM Research

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