Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Amer Sports announced it plans to raise up to $1.8 billion at $16 to $18 per share, targeting a valuation of up to $8.7 billion. </li>
<li>We estimate the company to generate revenue of $5.6 billion (up 23.5% YoY) and operating profit of $285.7 million (down 13.7% YoY) in 2024. </li>
<li>We would pass on this IPO due to lack of valuation merits, highly leveraged balance sheet, and inconsistent profit margins, despite its solid sales growth in the past several years. </li>
</ul>


Amer Sports announced it plans to raise up to $1.8 billion at $16 to $18 per share, targeting a valuation of up to $8.7 billion. 
We estimate the company to generate revenue of $5.6 billion (up 23.5% YoY) and operating profit of $285.7 million (down 13.7% YoY) in 2024. 
We would pass on this IPO due to lack of valuation merits, highly leveraged balance sheet, and inconsistent profit margins, despite its solid sales growth in the past several years. 


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amer-sports-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21751:1" rel="noopener">Amer Sports (AS US)</a> is a global iconic sports and outdoor brand group. Amer has launched an NYSE IPO to raise US$1.6-1.8 billion at a US$16.00 to US$18.00 price range.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/amer-sports-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:124040" rel="noopener">Amer Sports IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/amer-sports-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:124122" rel="noopener">Amer Sports IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/amer-sports-ipo-valuation-first-look" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:124635" rel="noopener">Amer Sports IPO: Valuation First-Look</a>. </li>
<li>We revise our forecasts to reflect the FY23 preliminary estimates and long-term growth targets. Our valuation analysis suggests that Amer is fairly valued at the IPO price range. </li>
</ul>



Amer Sports (AS US) is a global iconic sports and outdoor brand group. Amer has launched an NYSE IPO to raise US$1.6-1.8 billion at a US$16.00 to US$18.00 price range.
We previously discussed the IPO in Amer Sports IPO: The Bull Case, Amer Sports IPO: The Bear Case and Amer Sports IPO: Valuation First-Look. 
We revise our forecasts to reflect the FY23 preliminary estimates and long-term growth targets. Our valuation analysis suggests that Amer is fairly valued at the IPO price range. 


Amer Sports (AS US) IPO: Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>The biggest risk for Amer Sports is its excessive leverage. It had net debt of $5.9 billion and equity of only $8.8 million at the end of 3Q 2023.</li>
<li>Many investors are likely to emphasize the negatives more (especially the excessive leverage and inconsistent operating margins), rather than the positives such as China representing increasing percentage of total sales. </li>
<li>Amer Sports is trying to raise nearly $1 billion in this IPO which could value the company at about $10 billion. </li>
</ul>


The biggest risk for Amer Sports is its excessive leverage. It had net debt of $5.9 billion and equity of only $8.8 million at the end of 3Q 2023.
Many investors are likely to emphasize the negatives more (especially the excessive leverage and inconsistent operating margins), rather than the positives such as China representing increasing percentage of total sales. 
Amer Sports is trying to raise nearly $1 billion in this IPO which could value the company at about $10 billion. 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amer-sports-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21751:1" rel="noopener">Amer Sports (AS US)</a> is a global iconic sports and outdoor brand group. According to press reports, it has filed for a NYSE IPO to raise at least US$1 billion.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/amer-sports-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:124040" rel="noopener">Amer Sports IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/amer-sports-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:124122" rel="noopener">Amer Sports IPO: The Bear Case</a>.</li>
<li>In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at Amer's potential valuation range.</li>
</ul>



Amer Sports (AS US) is a global iconic sports and outdoor brand group. According to press reports, it has filed for a NYSE IPO to raise at least US$1 billion.
We previously discussed the IPO in Amer Sports IPO: The Bull Case and Amer Sports IPO: The Bear Case.
In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at Amer's potential valuation range.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amer-sports-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21751:1" rel="noopener">Amer Sports (AS US)</a> plans to raise more than US$1bn in its US IPO. Proceeds will be used to pay down loans to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)</a> led consortium.</li>
<li>Amer Sports is a sports and outdoor brands company making clothing and other sporting equipment for use in snow sports, running, climbing, baseball, american football, tennis and other sports.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Amer Sports (AS US) plans to raise more than US$1bn in its US IPO. Proceeds will be used to pay down loans to Anta Sports Products (2020 HK) led consortium.
Amer Sports is a sports and outdoor brands company making clothing and other sporting equipment for use in snow sports, running, climbing, baseball, american football, tennis and other sports.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Amer Sports Pre-IPO - The Negatives - COVID Rebound, Weak Margins

United States

Amer Sports, Inc. manufactures sports apparel and fitness equipment. The Company offers apparel, footwear, equipment, protective gear, and related accessories. Amer Sports serves customers worldwide.

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Amer Sports (AS US)

Amer Sports IPO Valuation Analysis

Amer Sports announced it plans to raise up to $1.8 billion at $16 to $18 per share. We would pass on this IPO due to lack of valuation merits and...

Douglas Kim

Amer Sports (AS US) IPO: Valuation Insights

Amer has launched an NYSE IPO to raise US$1.6-1.8 billion at a US$16.00 to US$18.00 price range. Our valuation analysis suggests that Amer is...

Arun George

Amer Sports IPO Preview

Amer Sports faces high debt and low equity, potentially overshadowing positive factors like growing sales in China. The IPO aims to raise $1...

Douglas Kim

Amer Sports IPO: Valuation First-Look

Amer has filed for a NYSE IPO to raise at least US$1 billion. In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at Amer's potential...

Arun George

Amer Sports Pre-IPO - The Negatives - COVID Rebound, Weak Margins

Amer Sports (AS US) plans to raise US$1bn in its US IPO. Proceeds will be used to pay down loans to Anta (2020 HK) led consortium. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

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Amer Sports IPO Valuation Analysis

Amer Sports announced it plans to raise up to $1.8 billion at $16 to $18 per share. We would pass on this IPO due to lack of valuation merits and...

Douglas Kim

Amer Sports (AS US) IPO: Valuation Insights

Amer has launched an NYSE IPO to raise US$1.6-1.8 billion at a US$16.00 to US$18.00 price range. Our valuation analysis suggests that Amer is...

Arun George

Amer Sports IPO Preview

​Amer Sports faces high debt and low equity, potentially overshadowing positive factors like growing sales in China. The IPO aims to raise $1...

Douglas Kim

Amer Sports IPO: Valuation First-Look

Amer has filed for a NYSE IPO to raise at least US$1 billion. In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at Amer's potential...

Arun George

Amer Sports Pre-IPO - The Negatives - COVID Rebound, Weak Margins

Amer Sports (AS US) plans to raise US$1bn in its US IPO. Proceeds will be used to pay down loans to Anta (2020 HK) led consortium. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

Amer Sports faces high debt and low equity, potentially overshadowing positive factors like growing sales in China. The IPO aims to raise $1...