External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We estimate our coverage universe of 15 companies to deliver strong 9/14% YoY/QoQ volume growth (four-year CAGR: 7%) in Q4FY23</li><li>We expect strong volume offtake by UltraTech Cement, Dalmia Bharat, Nuvoco Vistas, Birla Corp., JK Lakshmi and Star Cement QoQ</li><li>We expect volume decline QoQ by ACC and Ambuja (Himachal plant shutdown)</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We estimate our coverage universe of 15 companies to deliver strong 9/14% YoY/QoQ volume growth (four-year CAGR: 7%) in Q4FY23We expect strong volume offtake by UltraTech Cement, Dalmia Bharat, Nuvoco Vistas, Birla Corp., JK Lakshmi and Star Cement QoQWe expect volume decline QoQ by ACC and Ambuja (Himachal plant shutdown)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement - Strong Demand, Fuel Pressure Easing Out

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Q4FY23 earnings season was marked by weaker macro, rising interest rates, banking challenges in the US and European markets, and moderation in discretionary demand.</li><li>On the positive side, earning season was led by the sequential margin expansion on account of moderation in commodity prices and the uptick in credit growth.</li><li>The export-oriented themes, however, are likely to laggard. </li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Q4FY23 earnings season was marked by weaker macro, rising interest rates, banking challenges in the US and European markets, and moderation in discretionary demand.On the positive side, earning season was led by the sequential margin expansion on account of moderation in commodity prices and the uptick in credit growth.The export-oriented themes, however, are likely to laggard. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>After witnessing good volume growth in Q3FY23, momentum in cement demand continued in Q4FY23 as well, primarily driven by the government infrastructure and housing push and well-supported by private real estate demand.</li><li>Demand momentum began on a good note in Jan 2023 followed by some softness in Feb’23 and concluded on a higher note despite the higher base of the last year.</li><li>While some softness in demand was witnessed in Mar’23 on account of the Holi festival, the later part of the month witnessed a sharp spike in demand. I</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

After witnessing good volume growth in Q3FY23, momentum in cement demand continued in Q4FY23 as well, primarily driven by the government infrastructure and housing push and well-supported by private real estate demand.Demand momentum began on a good note in Jan 2023 followed by some softness in Feb’23 and concluded on a higher note despite the higher base of the last year.While some softness in demand was witnessed in Mar’23 on account of the Holi festival, the later part of the month witnessed a sharp spike in demand. IContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The synergies with the group resulted in a cost reduction of 9% on a per tonne basis sequentially and more cost optimization is expected which shall aid in further margin enhancement.</li><li>Business initiatives are expected to further bring down the operating costs, reduce the clinker factor, reduce logistics costs, improve the sale of blended cement and, expand the EBITDA margin.</li><li>We foresee the company’s EBITDA margins to improve from the current 15% to 22-23% in FY24E/25E.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

The synergies with the group resulted in a cost reduction of 9% on a per tonne basis sequentially and more cost optimization is expected which shall aid in further margin enhancement.Business initiatives are expected to further bring down the operating costs, reduce the clinker factor, reduce logistics costs, improve the sale of blended cement and, expand the EBITDA margin.We foresee the company’s EBITDA margins to improve from the current 15% to 22-23% in FY24E/25E.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Ambuja Cements Limited - Robust Operating Performance

<ul><li>Healthy volumes; mixed pricing trend across regions: We estimate that our coverage universe of 15 companies will deliver 10/8% YoY/QoQ volume growth (three-year CAGR: +6%) in Q3FY23</li><li>We expect average utilisation of ~77% vs 72/74% QoQ/YoY. Cement prices increased ~2% QoQ across India in Q3</li><li>Prices increased ~4-6% QoQ each in the east and south regions, there was 1-2% rise in the west, while the north was flattish and the central region witnessed a ~1% correction QoQ</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Healthy volumes; mixed pricing trend across regions: We estimate that our coverage universe of 15 companies will deliver 10/8% YoY/QoQ volume growth (three-year CAGR: +6%) in Q3FY23We expect average utilisation of ~77% vs 72/74% QoQ/YoY. Cement prices increased ~2% QoQ across India in Q3Prices increased ~4-6% QoQ each in the east and south regions, there was 1-2% rise in the west, while the north was flattish and the central region witnessed a ~1% correction QoQContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement (Q3FY23 Results Preview): Decent volume offtake, recovery in profitability

India

Ambuja Cements Limited manufactures cement in India. The Company owns specially designed ships and terminals for bulk transportation of its products. Ambuja Cement sells most of its products domestically, but also has a subsidiary that markets the Group's items in Sri Lanka.

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Ambuja Cements (ACEM IN)

Cement - Strong Demand, Fuel Pressure Easing Out

We estimate our coverage universe of 15 companies to deliver strong 9/14% YoY/QoQ volume growth (four-year CAGR: 7%) in Q4FY23

HDFC Securities

Q4FY23 - Consolidated Earnings Preview

Q4FY23 earnings season was marked by weaker macro, rising interest rates, banking challenges in the US and European markets, and moderation in...

Axis Direct

Cement - Q4FY23 Earnings Preview

Demand momentum began on a good note in Jan 2023 followed by some softness in Feb’23 and concluded on a higher note despite the higher base of the...

Axis Direct

Ambuja Cements Limited - Robust Operating Performance

The synergies with the group resulted in a cost reduction of 9% on a per tonne basis sequentially and more cost optimization is expected which...

Axis Direct

Cement (Q3FY23 Results Preview): Decent volume offtake, recovery in profitability

We estimate that our coverage universe of 15 companies will deliver 10/8% YoY/QoQ volume growth (three-year CAGR: +6%) in Q3FY23

HDFC Securities

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