Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Perhaps, misled by the Chinese tech rally due to the change in stance from the Chinese Government, Sea's shares rose by 33% compared to the broader market's 8.3%.</li>
<li>With fundamentals deteriorating and the Federal Reserve signalling an aggressive rate hike outlook, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a>’s 33% move seems unwarranted.</li>
<li>Meanwhile, the downside potential is quite significant as Sea trades at a significant FY+2 EV/Sales premium to regional peers whose cyclical bottoms are unknown.</li>
</ul>


Perhaps, misled by the Chinese tech rally due to the change in stance from the Chinese Government, Sea's shares rose by 33% compared to the broader market's 8.3%.
With fundamentals deteriorating and the Federal Reserve signalling an aggressive rate hike outlook, Sea Ltd (SE US)’s 33% move seems unwarranted.
Meanwhile, the downside potential is quite significant as Sea trades at a significant FY+2 EV/Sales premium to regional peers whose cyclical bottoms are unknown.


Sea Ltd.'s Money Machine Is Broken, Downside Is Not Fully Priced-In

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

<ul>
<li>Gitlab is down 61% since its IPO and trades at 16x forward sales, now reasonable for years of 40% like growth expected.</li>
<li>At $6B valuation, would make an attractive acquisition candidate for Google/Amazon or some of the growing DevSecOps players like Datadog.</li>
<li>Dynamic TAM with long runway ahead, very underpenetrated, strong secular tailwinds.</li>
</ul>


Gitlab is down 61% since its IPO and trades at 16x forward sales, now reasonable for years of 40% like growth expected.
At $6B valuation, would make an attractive acquisition candidate for Google/Amazon or some of the growing DevSecOps players like Datadog.
Dynamic TAM with long runway ahead, very underpenetrated, strong secular tailwinds.


<ul>
<li>Snowflake dropped another monster quarterly result, with product revenues growing 102%, with rising margins and FCF generation.</li>
<li>The 30% after hours drop was insane due to a misunderstanding of revenue guidance.</li>
<li>An incredible entry point for those who wanted to buy Snowflake but were waiting for it to return to the low $200s</li>
</ul>


Snowflake dropped another monster quarterly result, with product revenues growing 102%, with rising margins and FCF generation.
The 30% after hours drop was insane due to a misunderstanding of revenue guidance.
An incredible entry point for those who wanted to buy Snowflake but were waiting for it to return to the low $200s


Snowflake 4Q22 Earnings: What a Buying Opportunity

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>Alphabet delivered a decent quarter and saw a particularly good performance in Google Services revenues in the fourth quarter.</li><li>In Q4, retail was once again the largest contributor to year-over-year growth in the company's advertising business.</li><li>Whether through insights, automation, or new features, Alphabet has been working nonstop to help businesses connect with their customers more easily.</li></ul>

Alphabet delivered a decent quarter and saw a particularly good performance in Google Services revenues in the fourth quarter.In Q4, retail was once again the largest contributor to year-over-year growth in the company's advertising business.Whether through insights, automation, or new features, Alphabet has been working nonstop to help businesses connect with their customers more easily.

Alphabet Inc.: Financial & Price Forecasts

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Algosun Global

<ul>
<li>This year the market presents investors with opportunities, especially in the technology sector, and we believe VC-backed Amplitude is one of them. </li>
<li>The market cap of the leading product and data analytics unicorn fell to ~$2.3B, keeping in mind last private round valuation was ~$4B in June of 2021. </li>
<li>$21 valuation, based on ~10x 2022E EV/Revenue and ~8x 2023E EV/Revenue, applies to our bear case revenue estimates of $226M in CY22 and $287M in CY23.</li>
</ul>


This year the market presents investors with opportunities, especially in the technology sector, and we believe VC-backed Amplitude is one of them. 
The market cap of the leading product and data analytics unicorn fell to ~$2.3B, keeping in mind last private round valuation was ~$4B in June of 2021. 
$21 valuation, based on ~10x 2022E EV/Revenue and ~8x 2023E EV/Revenue, applies to our bear case revenue estimates of $226M in CY22 and $287M in CY23.


Amplitude – Our Stock Pick With Huge Upside Potential

United States

Alphabet Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides web-based search, advertisements, maps, software applications, mobile operating systems, consumer content, enterprise solutions, commerce, and hardware products.

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Alphabet (GOOGL US)

Sea Ltd.'s Money Machine Is Broken, Downside Is Not Fully Priced-In

With fundamentals deteriorating and the Fed signalling an aggressive rate hike outlook, Sea’s 33% move seems unwarranted. The downside potential is...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Recent IPO Insights: Gitlab

Gitlab is down 61% since its IPO and trades at 16x forward sales, reasonable for 40% like growth expected. At $6B , would be acquisition candidate...

Aaron Gabin

Snowflake 4Q22 Earnings: What a Buying Opportunity

Snowflake dropped another monster quarterly result, with product revenues growing 102% but was cut afterhours by 30% over revenue guidance....

Aaron Gabin

Alphabet Inc.: Financial & Price Forecasts

Alphabet delivered a decent quarter and saw a particularly good performance in Google Services revenues in the fourth quarter. In Q4, retail was...

Baptista Research

Amplitude – Our Stock Pick With Huge Upside Potential

Our fundamental analysis suggests that Amplitude stock has a limited downside potential and is trading at a significant discount valuation to peers.

Andrei Zakharov

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