Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sheng-siong-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6824:1" rel="noopener">Sheng Siong (SSG SP)</a> online expansion could be a little late as other players already have established their strong footprint but there are many smaller players that specialize in certain products only. Sheng Siong offers a wholistic product offering to its customers and should be able to compete with the big boys league such as NTUC, Cold Storage and Red Mart. </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>The nature of online business typically allows a higher net margin compared to the brick and mortar business where property rent and depreciation are major burdens to the net income. The most conservative scenario still allows investors to make 19% while the normal scenario sees a potential upside of 100% from the online foray and some re-rating potential. Much to like on this new venture!</p></div>

Sheng Siong (SSG SP) online expansion could be a little late as other players already have established their strong footprint but there are many smaller players that specialize in certain products only. Sheng Siong offers a wholistic product offering to its customers and should be able to compete with the big boys league such as NTUC, Cold Storage and Red Mart. The nature of online business typically allows a higher net margin compared to the brick and mortar business where property rent and depreciation are major burdens to the net income. The most conservative scenario still allows investors to make 19% while the normal scenario sees a potential upside of 100% from the online foray and some re-rating potential. Much to like on this new venture!

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dingdong-maicia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33461:1" rel="noopener">Dingdong Maicia (DDL US) </a>(DM), a groceries on-demand e-commerce company, aims to raise up to US$357m via a US listing. It is backed by Tiger Global, General Atlantic and Softbank.</p></div><div><p>Dingdong Maicai is an on-demand e-commerce company in China which provides users and households with fresh produce, meat and seafood and other daily necessities via its self-operated frontline fulfillment grid. As of 1Q21, DM had 6.9m monthly transacting users, who had placed 69.7m orders during the quarter. Its FY20 gross merchandise value was RMB13bn, representing a 10%+ market share for the on-demand ecommerce fresh groceries and daily necessities market.</p></div><div><p>In our earlier notes, we have looked at the background and performance the company:</p></div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li dir="ltr" aria-level="1"><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/dingdong-maicai-pre-ipo-increasing-market-share-fast-growth-but-no-signs-of-profit" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Dingdong Maicai Pre-IPO - Increasing market share, fast growth but no signs of profit</a></p></li>
<li dir="ltr" aria-level="1"><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/dingdong-maicai-vs-miss-fresh-pre-ipo-one-clear-winner" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Dingdong Maicai Vs Miss Fresh Pre-IPO - One Clear Winner</a></li>
<li dir="ltr" aria-level="1"><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/dingdong-fresh-food-competition-in-and-outside-of-frontline-warehouse" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Dingdong (叮咚买菜): Fresh Food Competition in and Outside of Frontline Warehouse</a></li>
<li dir="ltr" aria-level="1"><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/dingdong-maicai-pre-ipo-thoughts-on-valuation" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Dingdong Maicai Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation</a></li>
</ul></div><div><p>In this note we will run the deal through our ECM Framework and talk about deal dynamics.</p></div>

Dingdong Maicia (DDL US) (DM), a groceries on-demand e-commerce company, aims to raise up to US$357m via a US listing. It is backed by Tiger Global, General Atlantic and Softbank.Dingdong Maicai is an on-demand e-commerce company in China which provides users and households with fresh produce, meat and seafood and other daily necessities via its self-operated frontline fulfillment grid. As of 1Q21, DM had 6.9m monthly transacting users, who had placed 69.7m orders during the quarter. Its FY20 gross merchandise value was RMB13bn, representing a 10%+ market share for the on-demand ecommerce fresh groceries and daily necessities market.In our earlier notes, we have looked at the background and performance the company:
Dingdong Maicai Pre-IPO - Increasing market share, fast growth but no signs of profit
Dingdong Maicai Vs Miss Fresh Pre-IPO - One Clear Winner
Dingdong (叮咚买菜): Fresh Food Competition in and Outside of Frontline Warehouse
Dingdong Maicai Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation
In this note we will run the deal through our ECM Framework and talk about deal dynamics.

Dingdong Maicai Pre-IPO - It's Still like a VC Bet but Probably Worth It

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/didi-chuxing-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27467:1" rel="noopener">DiDi Chuxing (DIDI US)</a>, the world’s largest mobility technology platform, aims to raise around US$10bn in its US listing. It is backed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>, along with other investors.</p></div><div><p>It is present in over 4,000 cities, counties and towns across 15 countries. As of twelve months ending (LTM) 1Q21, it had 493m annual active users and 15m drivers, who participated in 41m average daily transactions. It generated a gross transaction value of RMB341bn over LTM1Q21.  </p></div><div>
<p>We provided the deal background and financials overview in our previous notes<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/didi-chuxing-pre-ipo-one-of-asia-s-largest-ipos-this-year-tearsheet" target="_blank" rel="noopener"></a>:</p>
<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/didi-chuxing-pre-ipo-one-of-asia-s-largest-ipos-this-year-tearsheet" target="_blank" rel="noopener">DiDi Chuxing Pre-IPO - One of Asia’s Largest IPOs This Year - Tearsheet</a>.</li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/didi-chuxing-pre-ipo-has-a-principal-agent-problem-rumoured-target-valuation-is-a-stretch" target="_blank" rel="noopener">DiDi Chuxing Pre-IPO - Has a Principal Agent Problem, Rumoured Target Valuation Is a Stretch</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/didi-pre-ipo-competitive-in-car-hailing-uncompetitive-in-others-generally-valuable" target="_blank" rel="noopener">DIDI (滴滴) Pre-IPO: Competitive in Car Hailing, Uncompetitive In “Others”, Generally Valuable</a></li>
</ul>
</div><div><p>In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uber-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:430:1" rel="noopener">Uber (UBER US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lyft-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24423:1" rel="noopener">Lyft Inc (LYFT US)</a>. </p></div>

DiDi Chuxing (DIDI US), the world’s largest mobility technology platform, aims to raise around US$10bn in its US listing. It is backed by Softbank Group (9984 JP) and Tencent (700 HK), along with other investors.It is present in over 4,000 cities, counties and towns across 15 countries. As of twelve months ending (LTM) 1Q21, it had 493m annual active users and 15m drivers, who participated in 41m average daily transactions. It generated a gross transaction value of RMB341bn over LTM1Q21.  
We provided the deal background and financials overview in our previous notes:


DiDi Chuxing Pre-IPO - One of Asia’s Largest IPOs This Year - Tearsheet.
DiDi Chuxing Pre-IPO - Has a Principal Agent Problem, Rumoured Target Valuation Is a Stretch
DIDI (滴滴) Pre-IPO: Competitive in Car Hailing, Uncompetitive In “Others”, Generally Valuable

In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison with Uber (UBER US) and Lyft Inc (LYFT US). 

<div>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dingdong-maicia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33461:1" rel="noopener">Dingdong Maicia (DDL US) </a>(DM), a groceries on-demand e-commerce company, aims to raise up to US$500m via a US listing. It is backed by Tiger Global, General Atlantic and Softbank.</p>
<p>Dingdong Maicai is an on-demand e-commerce company in China which provides users and households with fresh produce, meat and seafood and other daily necessities via its self-operated frontline fulfillment grid. As of 1Q21, DM had 6.9m monthly transacting users, who had placed 69.7m orders during the quarter. Its FY20 gross merchandise value was RMB13bn, representing a 10%+ market share for the on-demand ecommerce fresh groceries and daily necessities market.</p>
</div><div><p>In our earlier notes, we have looked at the background and performance the company:</p></div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li dir="ltr" aria-level="1"><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/dingdong-maicai-pre-ipo-increasing-market-share-fast-growth-but-no-signs-of-profit" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Dingdong Maicai Pre-IPO - Increasing market share, fast growth but no signs of profit</a></p></li>
<li dir="ltr" aria-level="1"><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/dingdong-maicai-vs-miss-fresh-pre-ipo-one-clear-winner" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Dingdong Maicai Vs Miss Fresh Pre-IPO - One Clear Winner</a></li>
<li dir="ltr" aria-level="1"><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/dingdong-fresh-food-competition-in-and-outside-of-frontline-warehouse" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Dingdong (叮咚买菜): Fresh Food Competition in and Outside of Frontline Warehouse</a></li>
</ul></div><div><p>In this note we will provide our earnings forecast and talk about valuations.</p></div>


Dingdong Maicia (DDL US) (DM), a groceries on-demand e-commerce company, aims to raise up to US$500m via a US listing. It is backed by Tiger Global, General Atlantic and Softbank.
Dingdong Maicai is an on-demand e-commerce company in China which provides users and households with fresh produce, meat and seafood and other daily necessities via its self-operated frontline fulfillment grid. As of 1Q21, DM had 6.9m monthly transacting users, who had placed 69.7m orders during the quarter. Its FY20 gross merchandise value was RMB13bn, representing a 10%+ market share for the on-demand ecommerce fresh groceries and daily necessities market.
In our earlier notes, we have looked at the background and performance the company:
Dingdong Maicai Pre-IPO - Increasing market share, fast growth but no signs of profit
Dingdong Maicai Vs Miss Fresh Pre-IPO - One Clear Winner
Dingdong (叮咚买菜): Fresh Food Competition in and Outside of Frontline Warehouse
In this note we will provide our earnings forecast and talk about valuations.

Dingdong Maicai Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Quantitative Analysis

<div><p>The Asia Short Interest weekly looks at moves in market wide short interest and highlights movements in stock specific short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan using the last available data published by the relevant authorities.</p></div><div><p>Hong Kong saw shorts rise on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto (175 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ganfeng-lithium-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26795:1" rel="noopener">Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pharmaron-beijing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28428:1" rel="noopener">Pharmaron Beijing Co Ltd-H (3759 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunny-optical-tech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13363:1" rel="noopener">Sunny Optical (2382 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-evergrande-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:479:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande Real Estate Group (3333 HK)</a> while there was short covering on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-asset-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22650:1" rel="noopener">CK Asset Holdings (1113 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netease" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29030:1" rel="noopener">NetEase (9999 HK)</a>. Shorts increased in the Consumer Discretionary sector, while decreasing in the Communication Services, Real Estate, Financials and Industrials sectors.</p></div><div><p>In Japan, stocks increased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fujitsu-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16968:1" rel="noopener">Fujitsu Ltd (6702 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canon-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1:1" rel="noopener">Canon Inc (7751 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renesas-electronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15933:1" rel="noopener">Renesas Electronics (6723 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brother-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6114:1" rel="noopener">Brother Industries (6448 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/casio-computer-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18338:1" rel="noopener">Casio Computer (6952 JP)</a> while there was short covering on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumco-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:379:1" rel="noopener">SUMCO Corp (3436 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seiko-epson-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16793:1" rel="noopener">Seiko Epson (6724 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/symbio-pharmaceuticals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10456:1" rel="noopener">Symbio Pharmaceuticals (4582 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ebara-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4728:1" rel="noopener">Ebara Corp (6361 JP)</a>. Shorts increased on Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary stock, while reducing on Industrials and Health Care names.</p></div><div><p>In Korea, shorts increased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-display-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7145:1" rel="noopener">LG Display (034220 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hmm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13494:1" rel="noopener">HMM Co., Ltd. (011200 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mando-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8119:1" rel="noopener">Mando Corp (204320 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-hynix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16955:1" rel="noopener">SK Hynix (000660 KS)</a> while shorts were covered on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-heavy-industries-construction" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7389:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Heavy Industries &amp; Construction (034020 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15002:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Corp (035720 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pan-ocean-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5279:1" rel="noopener">Pan Ocean (028670 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ncsoft-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5169:1" rel="noopener">NCSOFT Corp (036570 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-sdi-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:503:1" rel="noopener">Samsung SDI (006400 KS)</a>.</p></div><div><p>In Taiwan, shorts increased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">TSMC (2330 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yang-ming-marine-transport" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8502:1" rel="noopener">Yang Ming Marine Transport (2609 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wan-hai-lines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14262:1" rel="noopener">Wan Hai Lines (2615 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innolux-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4509:1" rel="noopener">Innolux Corp (3481 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evergreen-marine-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15428:1" rel="noopener">Evergreen Marine Corp (2603 TT)</a> while shorts covered on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/au-optronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6704:1" rel="noopener">AU Optronics (2409 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6450:1" rel="noopener">United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hsin-kuang-steel-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19760:1" rel="noopener">Hsin Kuang Steel (2031 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genius-electronic-optical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9632:1" rel="noopener">Genius Electronic Optical (3406 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-airlines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4591:1" rel="noopener">China Airlines (2610 TT)</a>.</p></div>

The Asia Short Interest weekly looks at moves in market wide short interest and highlights movements in stock specific short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan using the last available data published by the relevant authorities.Hong Kong saw shorts rise on Geely Auto (175 HK), Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK), Pharmaron Beijing Co Ltd-H (3759 HK), Sunny Optical (2382 HK) and Evergrande Real Estate Group (3333 HK) while there was short covering on Alibaba Group (9988 HK), CK Asset Holdings (1113 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK) and NetEase (9999 HK). Shorts increased in the Consumer Discretionary sector, while decreasing in the Communication Services, Real Estate, Financials and Industrials sectors.In Japan, stocks increased on Fujitsu Ltd (6702 JP), Canon Inc (7751 JP), Renesas Electronics (6723 JP), Brother Industries (6448 JP) and Casio Computer (6952 JP) while there was short covering on Toshiba Corp (6502 JP), SUMCO Corp (3436 JP), Seiko Epson (6724 JP), Symbio Pharmaceuticals (4582 JP) and Ebara Corp (6361 JP). Shorts increased on Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary stock, while reducing on Industrials and Health Care names.In Korea, shorts increased on Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), LG Display (034220 KS), HMM Co., Ltd. (011200 KS), Mando Corp (204320 KS) and SK Hynix (000660 KS) while shorts were covered on Doosan Heavy Industries &amp; Construction (034020 KS), Kakao Corp (035720 KS), Pan Ocean (028670 KS), NCSOFT Corp (036570 KS) and Samsung SDI (006400 KS).In Taiwan, shorts increased on TSMC (2330 TT), Yang Ming Marine Transport (2609 TT), Wan Hai Lines (2615 TT), Innolux Corp (3481 TT) and Evergreen Marine Corp (2603 TT) while shorts covered on AU Optronics (2409 TT), United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT), Hsin Kuang Steel (2031 TT), Genius Electronic Optical (3406 TT) and China Airlines (2610 TT).

Asia Shorts: Geely, Ganfeng, Pharmaron, Evergrande, Fujitsu, Canon, Renesas, Toshiba, LGD, Doosan

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)

Sheng Siong: E-Groceries

Sheng Siong (SSG SP) foray into the online grocery market is exciting albeit it could be a little late therefore potential market share that it can...

Henry Soediarko

Dingdong Maicai Pre-IPO - It's Still like a VC Bet but Probably Worth It

Dingdong Maicia (DDL US) (DM), a groceries on-demand e-commerce company, aims to raise up to US$357m via a US listing. It is backed by Tiger...

Sumeet Singh

DiDi Chuxing Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

DiDi Chuxing (DIDI US), the world’s largest mobility technology platform, aims to raise around US$10bn in its US listing. It is backed by Softbank...

Sumeet Singh

Dingdong Maicai Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Dingdong Maicia (DDL US), a groceries on-demand e-commerce company, aims to raise up to US$500m via a US listing. It is backed by Tiger Global,...

Sumeet Singh

Asia Shorts: Geely, Ganfeng, Pharmaron, Evergrande, Fujitsu, Canon, Renesas, Toshiba, LGD, Doosan

The Insight looks at large short interest movements across HK, Japan, Korea and Taiwan stocks and highlights large increases/decreases in shorts to...

Brian Freitas

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