External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>With a low base, March online retail sales data demonstrated steady recovery trend as expected, with YoY growth in online physical goods GMV increased to 10.9% from 5.3% in 2M23, which indicates a two-year CAGR of 6.8%.</li><li>Aided by the constant recovery in online travel related services, YoY growth of overall online retail sales GMV of 12.9% in March continued to outpace that of online physical goods GMV.</li><li>Potential recovery in online virtual products sales in 2Q23 is likely to aid a further recovery for online retail, in our view. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

With a low base, March online retail sales data demonstrated steady recovery trend as expected, with YoY growth in online physical goods GMV increased to 10.9% from 5.3% in 2M23, which indicates a two-year CAGR of 6.8%.Aided by the constant recovery in online travel related services, YoY growth of overall online retail sales GMV of 12.9% in March continued to outpace that of online physical goods GMV.Potential recovery in online virtual products sales in 2Q23 is likely to aid a further recovery for online retail, in our view. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Internet – March online retail sales recap

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Alibaba’s core China marketplace GMV is on stable recovery track, aided by discretionary consumption recovery, macro recovery, and Alibaba’s strategy to enhance value proposition for both customers and merchants.</li><li>With the unveiling of reorganization plan on 28 March, we expect overall business agility and innovative capabilities would be better propelled, and improving shareholder return.</li><li>Taking into consideration of China e-commerce market and key business segments outlook, we adjust our forecasts and SOTP derived target price accordingly to US$154.0 (prior US$155.5), mainly reflecting near term revenue growth headwind on direct sales business due to high-base effect. Maintain BUY.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alibaba’s core China marketplace GMV is on stable recovery track, aided by discretionary consumption recovery, macro recovery, and Alibaba’s strategy to enhance value proposition for both customers and merchants.With the unveiling of reorganization plan on 28 March, we expect overall business agility and innovative capabilities would be better propelled, and improving shareholder return.Taking into consideration of China e-commerce market and key business segments outlook, we adjust our forecasts and SOTP derived target price accordingly to US$154.0 (prior US$155.5), mainly reflecting near term revenue growth headwind on direct sales business due to high-base effect. Maintain BUY.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alibaba (BABA US) – A recovery year ahead with more to expect

<ul><li>Alibaba announced (23 Feb) its 3QFY23 (March year-end) results: total revenue was RMB247.8bn, up 2% YoY, 1% ahead of both our forecast and Bloomberg consensus, mainly due to better than expected direct sales and international commerce revenue generation.</li><li>Driven by sustained operating efficiency improvement across business lines, non-GAAP net income grew 12% YoY to RMB49.9bn, 13/12% ahead of our estimate/consensus.</li><li>Regarding investment strategy for China retail business in 2023, management highlighted three key focusing points: 1) enhance user stickiness and time spend; 2) enhance value for money proposition; and 3) enhance neighbourhood digital retail business deployment. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alibaba announced (23 Feb) its 3QFY23 (March year-end) results: total revenue was RMB247.8bn, up 2% YoY, 1% ahead of both our forecast and Bloomberg consensus, mainly due to better than expected direct sales and international commerce revenue generation.Driven by sustained operating efficiency improvement across business lines, non-GAAP net income grew 12% YoY to RMB49.9bn, 13/12% ahead of our estimate/consensus.Regarding investment strategy for China retail business in 2023, management highlighted three key focusing points: 1) enhance user stickiness and time spend; 2) enhance value for money proposition; and 3) enhance neighbourhood digital retail business deployment. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alibaba (BABA US) – Operating efficiency improvement on track

<ul><li>NBS released (17 January) Dec and full year 2022 online retail sales data.</li><li>YoY growth of online physical goods GMV reaccelerated to 4.4% YoY in Dec 2022 (1.2% YoY in Nov), which in our view could be attributed to recovery in logistics and fulfilment capability in late Dec and frontloaded sales generated from the Spring Festival shopping festival due to the early Spring Festival in 2023.</li><li>But solid recovery in YoY growth trajectory likely takes time, in our view, echoed by the 4.7% YoY online retail sales growth during the first five days of the shopping festival (30 Dec 2022-3 Jan 2023; per Ministry of Commerce). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NBS released (17 January) Dec and full year 2022 online retail sales data.YoY growth of online physical goods GMV reaccelerated to 4.4% YoY in Dec 2022 (1.2% YoY in Nov), which in our view could be attributed to recovery in logistics and fulfilment capability in late Dec and frontloaded sales generated from the Spring Festival shopping festival due to the early Spring Festival in 2023.But solid recovery in YoY growth trajectory likely takes time, in our view, echoed by the 4.7% YoY online retail sales growth during the first five days of the shopping festival (30 Dec 2022-3 Jan 2023; per Ministry of Commerce). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Internet – December online retail sales recap

<ul><li>Although pandemic impact will weigh on revenue growth recovery in 1Q23, Alibaba Group (BABA)’s China retail marketplace GMV growth should recover along with overall consumption recovery aided by economic stimulus policy in 2023, in our view.</li><li>Prudent cost control and strategic move to drive operating efficiency improvement are bearing fruit, and the potential recovery in revenue growth could fuel steady earnings growth in 2023.</li><li>We remain positive on BABA’s long-term development aided by international expansion and cloud business. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Although pandemic impact will weigh on revenue growth recovery in 1Q23, Alibaba Group (BABA)’s China retail marketplace GMV growth should recover along with overall consumption recovery aided by economic stimulus policy in 2023, in our view.Prudent cost control and strategic move to drive operating efficiency improvement are bearing fruit, and the potential recovery in revenue growth could fuel steady earnings growth in 2023.We remain positive on BABA’s long-term development aided by international expansion and cloud business. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alibaba (BABA US) – Looking beyond short-term pandemic impact

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba Group Holding (BABA US)

China Internet – March online retail sales recap

With a low base, March online retail sales data demonstrated steady recovery trend as expected, with YoY growth in online physical goods GMV...

CMB International

Alibaba (BABA US) – A recovery year ahead with more to expect

With the unveiling of reorganization plan on 28 March, we expect overall business agility and innovative capabilities would be better propelled,...

CMB International

Alibaba (BABA US) – Operating efficiency improvement on track

Alibaba announced (23 Feb) its 3QFY23 (March year-end) results: total revenue was RMB247.8bn, up 2% YoY, 1% ahead of both our forecast and...

CMB International

China Internet – December online retail sales recap

YoY growth of online physical goods GMV reaccelerated to 4.4% YoY in Dec 2022 (1.2% YoY in Nov), which in our view could be attributed to recovery...

CMB International

Alibaba (BABA US) – Looking beyond short-term pandemic impact

Although pandemic impact will weigh on revenue growth recovery in 1Q23, Alibaba Group (BABA)’s China retail marketplace GMV growth should recover...

CMB International

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