Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>PDD/SHEIN/AMZN: U.S. CBP suspends customs brokers handling cross-border parcels for Temu and SHEIN (-/-/+)</li>
<li>BABA US/JD US/PDD US/3690 HK:The upcoming regulatory policies on internet platform fees should not be overly negatively interpreted(///////)</li>
<li>BABA US/JD US/3690 HK/1810 HK:Beijing Follows up with Subsidies for Replacing Old Appliances with New Ones, but National Subsidies Are Still Lacking(+/+/+/+)</li>
</ul>


PDD/SHEIN/AMZN: U.S. CBP suspends customs brokers handling cross-border parcels for Temu and SHEIN (-/-/+)
BABA US/JD US/PDD US/3690 HK:The upcoming regulatory policies on internet platform fees should not be overly negatively interpreted(///////)
BABA US/JD US/3690 HK/1810 HK:Beijing Follows up with Subsidies for Replacing Old Appliances with New Ones, but National Subsidies Are Still Lacking(+/+/+/+)


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:PDD/SHEIN/AMZN/BABA US/JD US/3690 HK/1810 HK/700 HK/MNSO US

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The June rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> and HSIII indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights at 8%/12%. This will lead to large flows.</li>
<li>The round-trip trade across all stocks across the four indices is estimated at HK$32bn (US$4.1bn).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netease-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29030:1" rel="noopener">NetEase</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-mining-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6358:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Mining</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-electronic-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1927:1" rel="noopener">BYD Electronics</a> are the largest buys while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuaishou-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hsbc-holdings-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:516:1" rel="noopener">HSBC Holdings</a> are the largest sells.</li>
</ul>


The June rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI INDEX, HSTECH and HSIII indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights at 8%/12%. This will lead to large flows.
The round-trip trade across all stocks across the four indices is estimated at HK$32bn (US$4.1bn).

Li Auto, Alibaba, NetEase, Zijin Mining, SenseTime and BYD Electronics are the largest buys while Tencent, Meituan, JD.com, Kuaishou Technology, Xiaomi and HSBC Holdings are the largest sells.


HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII: Rebalance Flows Post Capping (June 2024)

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Alipay will come out of its placement linked lockup for its remaining stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakaopay-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29675:1" rel="noopener">Kakaopay (377300 KS)</a> today.</li>
<li>Alipay (i.e. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a>) had earlier sold some of its stake in Jun 2022 and Mar 2024. It still has over US$1bn worth of shares left to sell.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


Alipay will come out of its placement linked lockup for its remaining stake in Kakaopay (377300 KS) today.
Alipay (i.e. Alibaba Group (9988 HK)) had earlier sold some of its stake in Jun 2022 and Mar 2024. It still has over US$1bn worth of shares left to sell.
In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Kakao Pay Lockup Expiry - US$1bn Overhang from Alipay

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Alibaba Pictures’ revenue increased by 44% YoY and EBTIDA increased by 61% in the March quarter.</li>
<li>Cainiao, Alibaba’s logistics network, plans to purchase fresh food from the places of origin.</li>
<li>Li Auto finished a round of layoff, in which headcount was reduced to 22,000 from 30,000.</li>
</ul>


Alibaba Pictures’ revenue increased by 44% YoY and EBTIDA increased by 61% in the March quarter.
Cainiao, Alibaba’s logistics network, plans to purchase fresh food from the places of origin.
Li Auto finished a round of layoff, in which headcount was reduced to 22,000 from 30,000.


China Consumption Weekly (3 Jun 2024): Alibaba, Alibaba Pictures, Li Auto, JD.com, JD Health

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, we undertook a peer comparison and looked at valuations for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shift-up-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36232:1" rel="noopener">Shift Up (462870 KS).</a> </li>
<li>On the placement front, it was another busy week with a number of blocks in India along with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asmedia-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15732:1" rel="noopener">Asmedia Technology (5269 TT)</a>'s GDR offering and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exedy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6516:1" rel="noopener">Exedy Corp (7278 JP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, we undertook a peer comparison and looked at valuations for Shift Up (462870 KS). 
On the placement front, it was another busy week with a number of blocks in India along with Asmedia Technology (5269 TT)'s GDR offering and Exedy Corp (7278 JP). 


ECM Weekly (3rd June 2024) - Shift Up, QuantumPharm, Telix, Sompo, ASMedia, Exedy, Barito, Zomato

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

Price Gauge
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Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:PDD/SHEIN/AMZN/BABA US/JD US/3690 HK/1810 HK/700 HK/MNSO US

US CBP suspends customs brokers for Temu and SHEIN; upcoming regulatory policies on internet platform fees should not be overly negative; Beijing...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII: Rebalance Flows Post Capping (June 2024)

The June rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH and HSIII indices will use today's closing prices for capping. The round-trip trade across the four...

Brian Freitas

Kakao Pay Lockup Expiry - US$1bn Overhang from Alipay

Alipay will come out of its placement linked lockup for its remaining stake in Kakaopay (377300 KS) today. Alipay will once again be free to...

Sumeet Singh

China Consumption Weekly (3 Jun 2024): Alibaba, Alibaba Pictures, Li Auto, JD.com, JD Health

Alibaba Pictures’ revenue increased by 44% YoY in the March quarter. Alibaba’s Cainiao plans to purchase fresh food from the places of origin. Li...

Ming Lu

ECM Weekly (3rd June 2024) - Shift Up, QuantumPharm, Telix, Sompo, ASMedia, Exedy, Barito, Zomato

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:PDD/SHEIN/AMZN/BABA US/JD US/3690 HK/1810 HK/700 HK/MNSO US

​US CBP suspends customs brokers for Temu and SHEIN; upcoming regulatory policies on internet platform fees should not be overly negative; Beijing...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII: Rebalance Flows Post Capping (June 2024)

The June rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH and HSIII indices will use today's closing prices for capping. The round-trip trade across the four...

Brian Freitas

Kakao Pay Lockup Expiry - US$1bn Overhang from Alipay

Alipay will come out of its placement linked lockup for its remaining stake in Kakaopay (377300 KS) today. Alipay will once again be free to...

Sumeet Singh

China Consumption Weekly (3 Jun 2024): Alibaba, Alibaba Pictures, Li Auto, JD.com, JD Health

Alibaba Pictures’ revenue increased by 44% YoY in the March quarter. Alibaba’s Cainiao plans to purchase fresh food from the places of origin. Li...

Ming Lu

ECM Weekly (3rd June 2024) - Shift Up, QuantumPharm, Telix, Sompo, ASMedia, Exedy, Barito, Zomato

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

US CBP suspends customs brokers for Temu and SHEIN; upcoming regulatory policies on internet platform fees should not be overly negative; Beijing...