Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a> currently has a Secondary Listing in Hong Kong and is looking to become dual primary listed in Hong Kong and the U.S.</li>
<li>The main change will be inclusion in the Southbound Stock Connect program where mainland investors will be able to buy the stock.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a> is capped at 8% in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a> and is close to 8% of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI INDEX</a>, there will be negligible impact on the dividend futures.</li>
</ul>



Alibaba Group (9988 HK) currently has a Secondary Listing in Hong Kong and is looking to become dual primary listed in Hong Kong and the U.S.
The main change will be inclusion in the Southbound Stock Connect program where mainland investors will be able to buy the stock.

Alibaba Group (9988 HK) is capped at 8% in the HSCEI INDEX and is close to 8% of the HSI INDEX, there will be negligible impact on the dividend futures.


Alibaba (9988 HK): Dual Primary Listing Implications

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We believe Alibaba’s revenue growth rate will reach historical low in 1Q23, but it will recover two quarters later.</li>
<li>Alibaba’s stock price fell from HK$300 in October 2020 to HK$100 today.</li>
<li>We believe Alibaba has at least an upside of 43%.</li>
</ul>


We believe Alibaba’s revenue growth rate will reach historical low in 1Q23, but it will recover two quarters later.
Alibaba’s stock price fell from HK$300 in October 2020 to HK$100 today.
We believe Alibaba has at least an upside of 43%.


Alibaba (9988 HK) Pre-Earnings: Lowest Growth, Will Recover in December Quarter, Buy

<ul>
<li>Alibaba’s Freshippo expands to two inland cities, which reflects its success in coastal areas.</li>
<li>Online game’s revenue and players decreased for the first time in 14 years.</li>
<li>NetEase set up the second game studios in the United States.</li>
</ul>


Alibaba’s Freshippo expands to two inland cities, which reflects its success in coastal areas.
Online game’s revenue and players decreased for the first time in 14 years.
NetEase set up the second game studios in the United States.


China Internet Weekly (25Jul2022): Alibaba, Tencent, NetEase, IQiyi, Miss Fresh

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 15th. </li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight week on week short interest increases in BYD, Fosun Pharma, GF Securities.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 15th. 
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight week on week short interest increases in BYD, Fosun Pharma, GF Securities.


HK Short Interest: BYD, Fosun Pharma, GF Securities

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

LG Energy Solution / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>There were no major IPO launches during the week. Thai Life will list early next week</li>
<li>There were no major placements apart from ANZ and a smallish one in Xtep. There are two major lock-up expiries coming up.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
There were no major IPO launches during the week. Thai Life will list early next week
There were no major placements apart from ANZ and a smallish one in Xtep. There are two major lock-up expiries coming up.


ECM Weekly (24th Jul 2022) - ANZ, Zomato, LG Energy, Xtep, SoCar, WCP, Thai Life, Beneunder, Ubox

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)

Alibaba (9988 HK): Dual Primary Listing Implications

Alibaba is looking to change its HK listing from Secondary to Dual Primary. This will make the stock eligible for Southbound Stock Connect. A...

Brian Freitas

Alibaba (9988 HK) Pre-Earnings: Lowest Growth, Will Recover in December Quarter, Buy

We believe Alibaba’s revenue growth rate will reach historical low in 1Q23, but it will recover this year. The stock price fell from HK$300 to...

Ming Lu

China Internet Weekly (25Jul2022): Alibaba, Tencent, NetEase, IQiyi, Miss Fresh

Alibaba’s Freshippo expands to two inland cities. Online game’s revenue and players decreased for the first time in 14 years. NetEase set up the...

Ming Lu

HK Short Interest: BYD, Fosun Pharma, GF Securities

We highlight week on week short interest increases in BYD, Fosun Pharma, GF Securities based on the latest HK SFC Short Aggregate report.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ECM Weekly (24th Jul 2022) - ANZ, Zomato, LG Energy, Xtep, SoCar, WCP, Thai Life, Beneunder, Ubox

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)