Materials, IPO & Equity Analyst

Venkat Ramana Nandyal

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Commodities

Grab a beer whilst it is still cheap; we expect consumers of steel and aluminum to pay a higher price because of trade and diplomatic wars. We believe there will be winners (Mostly US commodity producers) and losers (commodity producers in some countries and all direct and indirect consumers of the commodity). In the last few weeks, the Trump administration had embarked on subjecting imported steel and aluminum to a tariff of 25% and 10% respectively. This was followed last week by the…

Grab a beer whilst it is still cheap; we expect consumers of steel and aluminum to pay a higher price because of trade and diplomatic wars. We believe there will be winners (Mostly US commodity producers) and losers (commodity producers in some countries and all direct and indirect consumers of the commodity). In the last few weeks, the Trump administration had embarked on subjecting imported steel and aluminum to a tariff of 25% and 10% respectively. This was followed last week by the…

Trade and Diplomatic War Perks up Aluminum Prices

Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

Macroeconomics

Have you read economics papers from the 1950s or material Alan Greenspan wrote in his early days? Certainly nothing to write home about. But then again, have we thought about the status and impact of economic series that have been coming out over the last 10-20 years. The headline tools haven’t changed much have they?Of course this is why hedge funds and more creative types have been hunting for new data series for awhile, as seen in pieces such as this <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2017/11/28/making-millions-from-the-data-hidden-in-plain-sight.html" target="_blank">one</a>  Hey: it turns out some bulk shipping…

Have you read economics papers from the 1950s or material Alan Greenspan wrote in his early days? Certainly nothing to write home about. But then again, have we thought about the status and impact of economic series that have been coming out over the last 10-20 years. The headline tools haven’t changed much have they?Of course this is why hedge funds and more creative types have been hunting for new data series for awhile, as seen in pieces such as this one  Hey: it turns out some bulk shipping…

Fund Manager Meeting Notes: Economists Back to Drawing Board

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

I really want to get to my <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/929" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:929:1">Pacific Basin Shipping Ltd (2343 HK)</a> Meeting Notes -- which I will in a few days. But I have more to say first. Dealing with a few family issues has also sucked away time over the last two weeks. Pacific Basin is going to continue performing in 2018, from a low 2016 base. To be sure, the PB Road Back remains a tough slog.What has not been as tough a slog is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/6510" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6510:1">Alcoa Inc (AA US)</a>, which has been on a tear, in 2017 and even more recently. In early December it stood at about…

I really want to get to my Pacific Basin Shipping Ltd (2343 HK) Meeting Notes -- which I will in a few days. But I have more to say first. Dealing with a few family issues has also sucked away time over the last two weeks. Pacific Basin is going to continue performing in 2018, from a low 2016 base. To be sure, the PB Road Back remains a tough slog.What has not been as tough a slog is Alcoa Inc (AA US), which has been on a tear, in 2017 and even more recently. In early December it stood at about…

A Few Stock Picks Up 10-20% in Couple of Weeks…Why Alcoa ….

People who bought China, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/5891" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1">Nvidia Corp (NVDA US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/438" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:438:1">iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Indx (ETF) (EEM US)</a> somewhere in 2017 performed well. A bit below the radar is that commodities started doing well too from mid-17. There is more to come. A recent chance to add right around my EV pieces a month ago were materials like aluminum.My core 2017 into 2018 stocks are: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/929" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:929:1">Pacific Basin Shipping Ltd (2343 HK)</a> (continued accumulate on pullbacks, most recently a little more at HK$1.6 levels, recall some lightening…

People who bought China, Nvidia Corp (NVDA US), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Indx (ETF) (EEM US) somewhere in 2017 performed well. A bit below the radar is that commodities started doing well too from mid-17. There is more to come. A recent chance to add right around my EV pieces a month ago were materials like aluminum.My core 2017 into 2018 stocks are: Pacific Basin Shipping Ltd (2343 HK) (continued accumulate on pullbacks, most recently a little more at HK$1.6 levels, recall some lightening…

Strategy: Around the Horn 2018, the Long and Short of It. Pacific Basin Initial Notes

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

Economic data finally confirms what the charts have been saying all year: global growth in the major regions is now in sync.  We see the bullish advance in equities continuing well into 2018, a continuation of a long-term trend. However, the Sectors that propel this trend may be different.In our December International Strategy, we explore these and the following themes in further detail: <ul><li>Overweight Japan. </li><li>Cyclicals continue to lead, defensive continues to lag. </li><li>Actionable Sector/Group themes:<ol><li>Global banks are breaking out/bullishly inflecting. </li><li>Energy is bottoming – still a non-consensus view. </li><li>Pullback opportunity in metals &amp; mining.</li></ol></li></ul>

Economic data finally confirms what the charts have been saying all year: global growth in the major regions is now in sync.  We see the bullish advance in equities continuing well into 2018, a continuation of a long-term trend. However, the Sectors that propel this trend may be different.In our December International Strategy, we explore these and the following themes in further detail: Overweight Japan. Cyclicals continue to lead, defensive continues to lag. Actionable Sector/Group themes:Global banks are breaking out/bullishly inflecting. Energy is bottoming – still a non-consensus view. Pullback opportunity in metals &amp; mining.

International Equity Strategy: Bullish Big Picture

United States

Alcoa Corporation manufactures metal products. The Company produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products. Alcoa serves aluminum industry worldwide.

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Alcoa (AA US)

Trade and Diplomatic War Perks up Aluminum Prices

Grab a beer whilst it is still cheap; we expect consumers of steel and aluminum to pay a higher price because of trade and diplomatic wars. We...

Venkat Ramana Nandyal

Fund Manager Meeting Notes: Economists Back to Drawing Board

Have you read economics papers from the 1950s or material Alan Greenspan wrote in his early days? Certainly nothing to write home about. But then...

Charles De Trenck

A Few Stock Picks Up 10-20% in Couple of Weeks…Why Alcoa ….

I really want to get to my Pacific Basin Shipping Ltd (2343 HK) Meeting Notes -- which I will in a few days. But I have more to say first. Dealing...

Charles De Trenck

Strategy: Around the Horn 2018, the Long and Short of It. Pacific Basin Initial Notes

People who bought China, Nvidia Corp (NVDA US), iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Indx (ETF) (EEM US) somewhere in 2017 performed well. A bit below the...

Charles De Trenck

International Equity Strategy: Bullish Big Picture

Economic data finally confirms what the charts have been saying all year: global growth in the major regions is now in sync. We see the bullish...

Vermilion Research

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