Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Alaska Air Group recently presented its second-quarter results for 2024, reflecting robust financial and operational performance.</li><li>The airline reported a GAAP net income of $220 million, with adjusted net income reaching $327 million.</li><li>Revenue for the quarter achieved a record high, totaling $2.9 billion, bolstered by nearly a billion dollars generated from premium travel segments.</li></ul>

Alaska Air Group recently presented its second-quarter results for 2024, reflecting robust financial and operational performance.The airline reported a GAAP net income of $220 million, with adjusted net income reaching $327 million.Revenue for the quarter achieved a record high, totaling $2.9 billion, bolstered by nearly a billion dollars generated from premium travel segments.

Alaska Air Group: Initiation Of Coverage - Network Optimization & Capacity Management Efforts Driving Our Optimism! - Major Drivers

Global Mobility/Transport, Equity Long-Short

Mohshin Aziz

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Alaska Air Flight 1282 had an in-flight blowout of its mid-aft door and interior sidewall; the aircraft returned and landed safely, and there were no injuries or fatalities  </li>
<li>The U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has ordered a temporary grounding of the affected aircraft model, and we think other countries will follow suit soon   </li>
<li>These stocks will likely be under shorts attack on Monday: Boeing (BA US), Alaska Air (ALK US), Ryanair (RYA ID) and United Airlines (UAL US)</li>
</ul>


Alaska Air Flight 1282 had an in-flight blowout of its mid-aft door and interior sidewall; the aircraft returned and landed safely, and there were no injuries or fatalities  
The U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has ordered a temporary grounding of the affected aircraft model, and we think other countries will follow suit soon   
These stocks will likely be under shorts attack on Monday: Boeing (BA US), Alaska Air (ALK US), Ryanair (RYA ID) and United Airlines (UAL US)


Boeing 737 MAX 9 and MAX-8200 Grounded: Implications And Opportunities

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The surprise US$1.9 billion acquisition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hawaiian-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8296:1" rel="noopener">Hawaiian Holdings (HA US)</a> by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alaska-air-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19543:1" rel="noopener">Alaska Air Group (ALK US)</a> could potentially rerate the U.S. airline sector </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/us-global-jets-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32756:1" rel="noopener">US Global Jets ETF (JETS US)</a> is up 16% from our initiation on 13 November, a mere 5% to our target price of US$19</li>
<li>We advocate to take profits and square this trade in the upcoming days</li>
</ul>


The surprise US$1.9 billion acquisition of Hawaiian Holdings (HA US) by Alaska Air Group (ALK US) could potentially rerate the U.S. airline sector 

US Global Jets ETF (JETS US) is up 16% from our initiation on 13 November, a mere 5% to our target price of US$19
We advocate to take profits and square this trade in the upcoming days


JETS US Equity: Takeoff Accomplished, Time to Return to Base

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uber-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:430:1" rel="noopener">Uber Technologies (UBER US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jabil-circuit-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16674:1" rel="noopener">Jabil Circuit (JBL US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/builders-firstsource-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4720:1" rel="noopener">Builders Firstsource (BLDR US)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)</a> at the close on 15 December.</li>
<li>There are a bunch of inclusions. deletions and migrations across the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)</a>, the S&amp;P Midcap 400 Index, and the S&amp;P SmallCap 600 Index.</li>
<li>We estimate passive trackers will need to buy around US$18bn of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uber-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:430:1" rel="noopener">Uber Technologies (UBER US)</a>. There has been positioning in the stock for just over a month now. </li>
</ul>



Uber Technologies (UBER US), Jabil Circuit (JBL US) and Builders Firstsource (BLDR US) will be added to the S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX) at the close on 15 December.
There are a bunch of inclusions. deletions and migrations across the S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX), the S&amp;P Midcap 400 Index, and the S&amp;P SmallCap 600 Index.
We estimate passive trackers will need to buy around US$18bn of Uber Technologies (UBER US). There has been positioning in the stock for just over a month now. 


Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a> ’s AI debut was going to be a complicated one considering challenges highlighted privacy concerns over partnership with Chat GPT.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/general-motors-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18811:1" rel="noopener">General Motors (GM US)</a> Approves $6 Billion Share Buyback Amid Strong Gasoline Vehicle Demand</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alaska-air-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19543:1" rel="noopener">Alaska Air Group (ALK US)</a> Loses Appeal in $160 Million Trademark Case with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virgin-america-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17423:1" rel="noopener">Virgin America (VA US)</a> Group</li>
</ul>



Apple (AAPL US) ’s AI debut was going to be a complicated one considering challenges highlighted privacy concerns over partnership with Chat GPT.

General Motors (GM US) Approves $6 Billion Share Buyback Amid Strong Gasoline Vehicle Demand

Alaska Air Group (ALK US) Loses Appeal in $160 Million Trademark Case with Virgin America (VA US) Group


#16 Business Buzz: Apple AI, GM's Buyback, Alaska Air Case and Ola Electric IPO

United States

Alaska Air Group, Inc. is an airline holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides air service to passengers in multiple destinations. Alaska Air also provide freight and mail services, primarily to and within the state of Alaska and on the West Coast.

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Alaska Air Group (ALK US)

Alaska Air Group: Initiation Of Coverage - Network Optimization & Capacity Management Efforts Driving Our Optimism! - Major Drivers

Alaska Air Group recently presented its second-quarter results for 2024, reflecting robust financial and operational performance. The airline...

Baptista Research

Boeing 737 MAX 9 and MAX-8200 Grounded: Implications And Opportunities

Flight 1282 experienced a mid-air blowout but landed safely. The FAA has grounded the Boeing 737 MAX 9, potentially impacting stocks of Boeing,...

Mohshin Aziz

JETS US Equity: Takeoff Accomplished, Time to Return to Base

Alaska Air Group's acquisition of Hawaiian Holdings reshapes US airline sector; US Global Jets ETF nears target price, suggesting it's time to...

Mohshin Aziz

S&P500 Index Rebalance: Calling an UBER

Passive S&P500 index trackers will need to buy around US$18bn of Uber in two weeks. Positioning in the stock began a month ago and just ahead of Q3...

Brian Freitas

#16 Business Buzz: Apple AI, GM's Buyback, Alaska Air Case and Ola Electric IPO

Apple's AI debut faces challenges over privacy concerns with Chat GPT partnership. GM approves $6 Bn share buyback amid strong gasoline vehicle...

Nimish Maheshwari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Alaska Air Group: Initiation Of Coverage - Network Optimization & Capacity Management Efforts Driving Our Optimism! - Major Drivers

Alaska Air Group recently presented its second-quarter results for 2024, reflecting robust financial and operational performance. The airline...

Baptista Research

Boeing 737 MAX 9 and MAX-8200 Grounded: Implications And Opportunities

​Flight 1282 experienced a mid-air blowout but landed safely. The FAA has grounded the Boeing 737 MAX 9, potentially impacting stocks of Boeing,...

Mohshin Aziz

JETS US Equity: Takeoff Accomplished, Time to Return to Base

​Alaska Air Group's acquisition of Hawaiian Holdings reshapes US airline sector; US Global Jets ETF nears target price, suggesting it's time to...

Mohshin Aziz

S&P500 Index Rebalance: Calling an UBER

Passive S&P500 index trackers will need to buy around US$18bn of Uber in two weeks. Positioning in the stock began a month ago and just ahead of Q3...

Brian Freitas

#16 Business Buzz: Apple AI, GM's Buyback, Alaska Air Case and Ola Electric IPO

​Apple's AI debut faces challenges over privacy concerns with Chat GPT partnership. GM approves $6 Bn share buyback amid strong gasoline vehicle...

Nimish Maheshwari

Flight 1282 experienced a mid-air blowout but landed safely. The FAA has grounded the Boeing 737 MAX 9, potentially impacting stocks of Boeing,...

Alaska Air Group's acquisition of Hawaiian Holdings reshapes US airline sector; US Global Jets ETF nears target price, suggesting it's time to...

Apple's AI debut faces challenges over privacy concerns with Chat GPT partnership. GM approves $6 Bn share buyback amid strong gasoline vehicle...