High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Volatility continues to show up with the recent banking sector stress which has given market participants fresh concerns over secondary credit exposures and the Treasury/central bankers response to address the issues.</li><li>With the Fed meeting this upcoming week, never before in this interest rate hiking cycle to date has there been more diverse viewpoints coming out over whether a Fed pause, Fed hike, or even a Fed cut should be done in the next meeting.</li><li>Up until this point, the conversations have focused on how much (25bps,50bps, 75bps) the Fed should do at each of its meetings in order to get inflation back down based upon the incoming inflation data.</li></ul>

Volatility continues to show up with the recent banking sector stress which has given market participants fresh concerns over secondary credit exposures and the Treasury/central bankers response to address the issues.With the Fed meeting this upcoming week, never before in this interest rate hiking cycle to date has there been more diverse viewpoints coming out over whether a Fed pause, Fed hike, or even a Fed cut should be done in the next meeting.Up until this point, the conversations have focused on how much (25bps,50bps, 75bps) the Fed should do at each of its meetings in order to get inflation back down based upon the incoming inflation data.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>On March 2 we discussed how the pullback in global equities was in full swing as Europe/UK indexes displayed 4.5-month uptrend breaks, joining the pullback in the MSCI ACWI.</li>
<li>At the time, we expected this pullback in the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) to move down to $86-87 at minimum, and potentially $84 (December 2022 low) or $75-77 (the 2022 lows).</li>
<li>ACWI-US broke below $86 and is approaching $84. $84 will be an important support level to monitor, but if it breaks, the $75-77 level is still firmly in the cards.</li>
</ul>


On March 2 we discussed how the pullback in global equities was in full swing as Europe/UK indexes displayed 4.5-month uptrend breaks, joining the pullback in the MSCI ACWI.
At the time, we expected this pullback in the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) to move down to $86-87 at minimum, and potentially $84 (December 2022 low) or $75-77 (the 2022 lows).
ACWI-US broke below $86 and is approaching $84. $84 will be an important support level to monitor, but if it breaks, the $75-77 level is still firmly in the cards.


Global Pullback Continues; Focus on Defensives: Buys in Staples, Utilities, Precious Metals Miners

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Harmony Gold Mining Co Ltd / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dacian-gold-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5749:1" rel="noopener">Dacian Gold Ltd (DCN AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold-resource-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26517:1" rel="noopener">Gold Resource (GORO US)</a> and Wallbridge Mining Co (WM CN) will be deleted from the index at the close on 17 March.</li>
<li>One way turnover is estimated at 2.8% resulting in a one-way trade of US$96m. There is over 1 day of ADV to trade on 22 stocks.</li>
<li>The largest inflows are on Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM US), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/osisko-gold-royalties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25587:1" rel="noopener">Osisko Gold Royalties</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhaojin-mining-industry-company-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4626:1" rel="noopener">Zhaojin Mining Industry</a>, New Found Gold (NFG CN), Yamana Gold, IAMGOLD and First Majestic Silver.</li>
</ul>



Dacian Gold Ltd (DCN AU), Gold Resource (GORO US) and Wallbridge Mining Co (WM CN) will be deleted from the index at the close on 17 March.
One way turnover is estimated at 2.8% resulting in a one-way trade of US$96m. There is over 1 day of ADV to trade on 22 stocks.
The largest inflows are on Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM US), Osisko Gold Royalties, Zhaojin Mining Industry, New Found Gold (NFG CN), Yamana Gold, IAMGOLD and First Majestic Silver.


MVIS Global Junior Gold Miners Index Rebalance: Three Deletions & Float Changes

Research from Atrium Research, Atrium Research Corporation

Atrium Research

Research from Atrium Research

Atrium Research Corporation

Atrium Research provides institutional quality issuer paid research on public equities in North America. Our investment philosophy takes a 3-5 year view on equities currently being overlooked by the market. Our research process emphasizes understanding the key performance metrics for each specific company, trustworthy management teams, unit economics, and an in-depth valuation analysis. 

Our research product includes in-depth initiation reports, research notes, thematic research pieces, and company fact sheets.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Gold had strong start to the year rising over $100/oz to $1928/oz in January.</li><li>As we anticipated from our December note, the mining sector had a strong start to the year with gold and copper breaking out to near-term highs up 6% to $1928/oz and 12% to $4.20/lb, respectively, during the month of January.</li><li>The explorers, despite having a strong January, remain inexpensive and continue to trade at an average of ~$33/oz (in the ground), down ~50% from 2020 highs.</li></ul>

Gold had strong start to the year rising over $100/oz to $1928/oz in January.As we anticipated from our December note, the mining sector had a strong start to the year with gold and copper breaking out to near-term highs up 6% to $1928/oz and 12% to $4.20/lb, respectively, during the month of January.The explorers, despite having a strong January, remain inexpensive and continue to trade at an average of ~$33/oz (in the ground), down ~50% from 2020 highs.

<ul>
<li>We currently see the market indexes as consolidating within broad horizontal trading ranges, and we expect these ranges to continue for months, and quite possibly for the entirety of 2023.</li>
<li>We see the top-end of the range at 4100-4165 on the S&amp;P 500, while the bottom-end is at the 2022 lows (3490).</li>
<li>With yesterday's break above 3910 it tells us a tradable rally has begun, with 4100-4165 our target</li>
</ul>


We currently see the market indexes as consolidating within broad horizontal trading ranges, and we expect these ranges to continue for months, and quite possibly for the entirety of 2023.
We see the top-end of the range at 4100-4165 on the S&amp;P 500, while the bottom-end is at the 2022 lows (3490).
With yesterday's break above 3910 it tells us a tradable rally has begun, with 4100-4165 our target


Awaiting CPI Thursday; Expect 4100-4165 SPX to Cap Upside; Buy Ideas Within Gold Miners, Insurance

Canada

Alamos Gold Inc. is an intermediate gold producer. The Company acquires, explores and produces gold from mines located in Canada, Mexico and the United States.

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Alamos Gold Inc (AGI CN)

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 3/20

Volatility continues to show up with the recent banking sector stress which has given market participants fresh concerns over secondary credit...

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Global Pullback Continues; Focus on Defensives: Buys in Staples, Utilities, Precious Metals Miners

Europe/UK STOXX Europe 50/FTSE 100 with concerning breakdowns below 3800 and 7700, joining the pullback that had already started in the MSCI ACWI....

Vermilion Research

MVIS Global Junior Gold Miners Index Rebalance: Three Deletions & Float Changes

There are 3 deletions for the index plus plenty of float changes. One way turnover is estimated at 2.8% resulting in a one-way trade of US$96m....

Brian Freitas

Mining Monthly: January Edition

As we anticipated from our December note, the mining sector had a strong start to the year with gold and copper breaking out to near-term highs up...

Atrium Research

Awaiting CPI Thursday; Expect 4100-4165 SPX to Cap Upside; Buy Ideas Within Gold Miners, Insurance

With yesterday's break above 3910 in $SPX we see a tradable rally, but 4100-4165 is likely to cap upside; reduce risk into that area. Buy ideas...

Vermilion Research

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