External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club

External reports (aggregated public sources)

Equity Bottom-Up

Key points<ul><li>Honeywell CEO optimistic about strong performance of long-cycle Aero business, particularly aero cycle</li><li>Predicts double-digit growth in 2024 and sustained high growth rates until 2030</li><li>Airbus experiencing strong orders and growing backlog, production challenges in matching supply with demand indicate tight aircraft market</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Key pointsHoneywell CEO optimistic about strong performance of long-cycle Aero business, particularly aero cyclePredicts double-digit growth in 2024 and sustained high growth rates until 2030Airbus experiencing strong orders and growing backlog, production challenges in matching supply with demand indicate tight aircraft marketThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Founder, BWS Financial Inc

Hamed Khorsand

Founder

Independent Stock Specific Research

BWS Financial Inc

BWS provides independent stock specific research focused on companies with distinct value that are going through a special situation where there is a tangible catalyst not priced in. The catalyst can be anything from new product, restructuring, M&A, management change, change in business strategy, etc. BWS’s focus is to understand the change and evaluate the potential return for investors.

BWS utilizes a self formed proprietary approach in discovering stocks by putting great emphasis on deep research. BWS does generate short recommendations following a similar criteria.

<ul>
<li>TRS has three operating segments where the smallest has already been going through a sales restructuring period and we are now expecting a slowdown in TRS’s aerospace business.  </li>
<li>Aerospace had been growing at double-digit rates in recent years, but in recent months the two largest aerospace customers have been going through their own ordeals</li>
<li>TRS’s current valuation gives little value for what each segment could be worth. There have been two aerospace IPOs with similar businesses to TRS’s aerospace business. </li>
</ul>


TRS has three operating segments where the smallest has already been going through a sales restructuring period and we are now expecting a slowdown in TRS’s aerospace business.  
Aerospace had been growing at double-digit rates in recent years, but in recent months the two largest aerospace customers have been going through their own ordeals
TRS’s current valuation gives little value for what each segment could be worth. There have been two aerospace IPOs with similar businesses to TRS’s aerospace business. 


APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cirrus-aircraft" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39858:1" rel="noopener">Cirrus Aircraft (0153126D US)</a> seeks to raise up to US$197m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Cirrus Aircraft designs, develops, manufactures, and sells premium aircrafts. Its two aircraft product lines, the SR2X Series and the Vision Jet, are currently certified and validated in over 60 countries.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we talked about the company’s historical performance and PHIP updates. In this note, we undertake a quick peer comparison and share our thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



Cirrus Aircraft (0153126D US) seeks to raise up to US$197m in its Hong Kong IPO.
Cirrus Aircraft designs, develops, manufactures, and sells premium aircrafts. Its two aircraft product lines, the SR2X Series and the Vision Jet, are currently certified and validated in over 60 countries.
In our previous notes, we talked about the company’s historical performance and PHIP updates. In this note, we undertake a quick peer comparison and share our thoughts on valuation.


Cirrus Aircraft IPO - Fundamentally Sound but Parent Still Under Sanction

Clarence Chu

Novelis Corporation / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/novelis-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39969:1" rel="noopener">Novelis Corporation (0620365D US)</a> Novelis is looking to raise US$1.2bn in its upcoming US IPO. The firm is owned by Indian-listed Hindalco. The deal will consist of 100% secondary shares.</li>
<li>Novelis is a global provider of aluminum solutions for the beverage packaging, automotive markets, specialties markets and aerospace.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.</li>
</ul>



Novelis Corporation (0620365D US) Novelis is looking to raise US$1.2bn in its upcoming US IPO. The firm is owned by Indian-listed Hindalco. The deal will consist of 100% secondary shares.
Novelis is a global provider of aluminum solutions for the beverage packaging, automotive markets, specialties markets and aerospace.
In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.


Novelis Pre-IPO - Leader in Most Categories, Although End Markets’ Aren’t Really Growing Much

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to view the latest pullback as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and the EURO STOXX 50, as discussed April 18</li>
<li>Discussed last Thursday(4/18/24) how further downside may be limited with these indexes 4-5% off their highs, combined with ACWI-US testing gap support ($105) and the EURO STOXX50 testing 6-month uptrend. </li>
<li>So far, these supports have held strong, and Japan's TOPIX has also held strong above 2615 support -- with all producing strong bounces far this week.</li>
</ul>


We continue to view the latest pullback as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and the EURO STOXX 50, as discussed April 18
Discussed last Thursday(4/18/24) how further downside may be limited with these indexes 4-5% off their highs, combined with ACWI-US testing gap support ($105) and the EURO STOXX50 testing 6-month uptrend. 
So far, these supports have held strong, and Japan's TOPIX has also held strong above 2615 support -- with all producing strong bounces far this week.


Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Supports Holding on MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE, and EM

France

Airbus SE manufactures airplanes and military equipment. The Company produces military fighter aircraft, military and commercial helicopters, missiles, satellites, and telecommunications and defense systems, as well as offers military and commercial aircraft conversion and maintenance services. Airbus serves customers worldwide.

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Airbus (EADSY US)

Airbus Se (EADSY) - Sunday, Nov 26, 2023

Airbus experiencing strong orders and growing backlog, production challenges in matching supply with demand indicate tight aircraft market

Value Investors Club

TRS: Bent Aero

TRS's aerospace segment could experience a slowdown due to operating issues at Boeing (BA) and Airbus (EADSY). We are adjusting our fourth quarter...

BWS Financial Inc

Cirrus Aircraft IPO - Fundamentally Sound but Parent Still Under Sanction

Cirrus Aircraft (0153126D US) seeks to raise up to US$197m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we undertake a quick peer comparison and share our...

Ethan Aw

Novelis Pre-IPO - Leader in Most Categories, Although End Markets’ Aren’t Really Growing Much

Novelis Corporation (0620365D US) Novelis is looking to raise US$1.2bn in its upcoming US IPO. The firm is owned by Indian-listed Hindalco. The...

Clarence Chu

Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Supports Holding on MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE, and EM

Upgrading Europe to Overweight EURO $STOXX 50 $FEZ; Supports Holding on MSCI $ACWI, $ACWX, $EFA, and $EEM. Latest 4-6% pullback remains healthy...

Vermilion Research

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