Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

I received a number of great responses following up on my 4 August personal take on building a long-term portfolio . Two detailed pieces coming from senior PMs at large funds which I think add value, and which I therefore reproduce below. The two commentaries are tremendous, and I am grateful for their in-depth contributions. … “CDT View” added briefly to clarify my view if needed.*** Response #1 ***Thanks for the piece…  A few responses:-- Know yourself.  Know your style, know your risk…

I received a number of great responses following up on my 4 August personal take on building a long-term portfolio . Two detailed pieces coming from senior PMs at large funds which I think add value, and which I therefore reproduce below. The two commentaries are tremendous, and I am grateful for their in-depth contributions. … “CDT View” added briefly to clarify my view if needed.*** Response #1 ***Thanks for the piece…  A few responses:-- Know yourself.  Know your style, know your risk…

PM Views & Responses on Portfolio Construction

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

As <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/2" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:2">Raghav Kapoor</a>  mentioned this morning, "Smartkarma aims to be a disruptive force not only by changing economics, but by empowering independent thought leaders with a platform that doesn't mind being the lone voice keeping others accountable."Using this post I wanted to highlight how we are in complete sync with that thought process and independent research driven by great platform like SK will continue to evolve and will lead a change in investing landscape keeping investors interest in the…

As Raghav Kapoor  mentioned this morning, "Smartkarma aims to be a disruptive force not only by changing economics, but by empowering independent thought leaders with a platform that doesn't mind being the lone voice keeping others accountable."Using this post I wanted to highlight how we are in complete sync with that thought process and independent research driven by great platform like SK will continue to evolve and will lead a change in investing landscape keeping investors interest in the…

"Reports Were Prematurely Conceived and Greatly Exaggerated"

With Korea’s Hanjin Shipping filing for court receivership last week, the assumption that major container lines will always find a way to survive has been rockedIn 2009 when the container industry posted operating losses of nearly $20 billion and many lines were said to be minutes from bankruptcy, none died. The “zombie” carriers’ survival methods were varied and complex, ranging from off-hiring ships to requesting government support, but ultimately they worked.Having survived the worst crisis…

With Korea’s Hanjin Shipping filing for court receivership last week, the assumption that major container lines will always find a way to survive has been rockedIn 2009 when the container industry posted operating losses of nearly $20 billion and many lines were said to be minutes from bankruptcy, none died. The “zombie” carriers’ survival methods were varied and complex, ranging from off-hiring ships to requesting government support, but ultimately they worked.Having survived the worst crisis…

Collapse of Hanjin Shipping - Carriers Do Have Breaking Points

China Macroeconomics & Academia

Christopher Balding

Macroeconomics

POST PMI OF AUGUST IS VERY INTERESTINGThe PMI for August is out and intriguing. Compared to last month’s PMI of 49.9, this month’s PMI is .5 points higher at 50.4 so far the best this year. But like always, Chinese data is heavily manipulated and doesn’t actually represent what is happening in the economy. Nevertheless, the latest PMI release commensurate with our belief about impact of fiscal stimulus on the economy as the primary driver of current activity. In order to understand the broader…

  POST PMI OF AUGUST IS VERY INTERESTINGThe PMI for August is out and intriguing. Compared to last month’s PMI of 49.9, this month’s PMI is .5 points higher at 50.4 so far the best this year. But like always, Chinese data is heavily manipulated and doesn’t actually represent what is happening in the economy. Nevertheless, the latest PMI release commensurate with our belief about impact of fiscal stimulus on the economy as the primary driver of current activity. In order to understand the broader…

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Equity Bottom-Up

After listening to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/180" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:180:1">Ctrip.com International (ADR) (CTRP US)</a>'s Q2 earning conference call, we are convinced that competitive pressures are increasing for China's giant online travel group. In our view, competition (and related pressure on margins) remains intense, but it appears to be coming mainly from indirect competitors and rivals that weren't even on CTRP's radar 1-2 years ago. We therefore retain our negative view on CTRP.Competition appears to be increasing despite the company's dominant…

After listening to Ctrip.com International (ADR) (CTRP US)'s Q2 earning conference call, we are convinced that competitive pressures are increasing for China's giant online travel group. In our view, competition (and related pressure on margins) remains intense, but it appears to be coming mainly from indirect competitors and rivals that weren't even on CTRP's radar 1-2 years ago. We therefore retain our negative view on CTRP.Competition appears to be increasing despite the company's dominant…

More on Ctrip.com Q2 Results; Competition Increasing On All Fronts

China

Air China Limited provides passenger, cargo, and airline-related services in China.  The Company is primarily based in Beijing and a major hub for domestic and international air transportation.  Air China's airline-related services include aircraft maintenance, repair, overhaul service, ground services, and in-flight catering services.

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Air China Ltd (H) (753 HK)

PM Views & Responses on Portfolio Construction

I received a number of great responses following up on my 4 August personal take on building a long-term portfolio . Two detailed pieces coming...

Charles De Trenck

"Reports Were Prematurely Conceived and Greatly Exaggerated"

As Raghav Kapoor mentioned this morning, "Smartkarma aims to be a disruptive force not only by changing economics, but by empowering independent...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Collapse of Hanjin Shipping - Carriers Do Have Breaking Points

With Korea’s Hanjin Shipping filing for court receivership last week, the assumption that major container lines will always find a way to survive...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Chinese PMI Data Mildly Surprising

POST PMI OF AUGUST IS VERY INTERESTINGThe PMI for August is out and intriguing. Compared to last month’s PMI of 49.9, this month’s PMI is .5...

Christopher Balding

More on Ctrip.com Q2 Results; Competition Increasing On All Fronts

After listening to Ctrip.com International (ADR) (CTRP US)'s Q2 earning conference call, we are convinced that competitive pressures are increasing...

Daniel Hellberg

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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