Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

Our outlook for ex-U.S. markets (MSCI ACWI ex-U.S. index, local currency) remains neutral - bordering on cautious. Our concern stems from the recent pattern of lower highs and continued underperformance relative to MSCI ACWI - remain underweight.  Two bright spots: we are seeing bullish inflections in Japan (TOPIX and Nikkei 225), and India's SENSEX.  We unpack these, and also highlight actionable set ups in our global Communications, and Transportation Sectors.

Our outlook for ex-U.S. markets (MSCI ACWI ex-U.S. index, local currency) remains neutral - bordering on cautious. Our concern stems from the recent pattern of lower highs and continued underperformance relative to MSCI ACWI - remain underweight.  Two bright spots: we are seeing bullish inflections in Japan (TOPIX and Nikkei 225), and India's SENSEX.  We unpack these, and also highlight actionable set ups in our global Communications, and Transportation Sectors.

Global Equity Strategy: Opportunities in Japan and India

Founder, Riedel Research

David Riedel

Founder

Independent equity research on GEM Markets

Riedel Research

Riedel provides equity research and analysis to leading financial organizations. By becoming members of a region (Asia, Latin America, Emerging Europe or Global), organizations have access to an integrated set of services including:

Regular company coverage reports
Up-to-date investment decision advice (buy, hold, sell)
Monthly regional and global conference calls
Customized company reports and unlimited on-line access to the program's services.

Riedel provides research coverage of companies across the full range of market capitalization. Experienced research professionals in each market develop company reports and analysis as well as earnings models and projections. Ratings are Buy, Hold and Sell with a focus on compelling investment ideas - both long and short. Downloadable, dynamic earnings models are built to facilitate sensitivity analysis.

Please feel free to contact us for complimentary access to our written research.  We want to show you that our unique research flow can add value and help develop a long-term, high value-add relationship.

Riedel's model focuses on providing clients with unique insights and consulting in addition to unlimited access to all produced research This model allows members to receive exponential benefits for their retainer fees.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>RRG Global Macro Insights - China Downgrade Good for Markets - 300 Year Old Idea for a Canal Across Thailand May Actually Happen with China's Help</li>
<li>China: S&amp;P ratings cut was nothing new as it follows Moody’s in May and their own warning in June,  Beijing will keep markets strong.</li>
<li>India: Finance Minister hints at stimulus spending in 2017/18 with a focus on helping small companies hit by de-monetization and GST.</li>
<li>Thailand: A shipping canal across southern Thailand has been discussed since 1677…</li>
</ul>


RRG Global Macro Insights - China Downgrade Good for Markets - 300 Year Old Idea for a Canal Across Thailand May Actually Happen with China's Help
China: S&amp;P ratings cut was nothing new as it follows Moody’s in May and their own warning in June,  Beijing will keep markets strong.
India: Finance Minister hints at stimulus spending in 2017/18 with a focus on helping small companies hit by de-monetization and GST.
Thailand: A shipping canal across southern Thailand has been discussed since 1677…


China's Downgrade Good News for Investors - Watch the Third Round of NAFTA Talks for Mexico Outlook

<ul>
<li>This 5 minute interview on Bloomberg's DayBreak Asia show reviews current actionable ideas in India and China including some lesser-known tech and manufacturing companies.</li>
<li>China:  Find opportunities in the areas of focus for President Xi's second term.  Robotics and Digital Payments. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/16185" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1">Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/11467" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11467:1">China Innovationpay Group (8083 HK)</a>
</li>
<li>Yuan likely to be stable going into October meetings.</li>
<li>India: Focus on niche manufacturers <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/6958" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6958:1">Essel Propack Ltd (ESEL IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/16586" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16586:1">Aia Engineering Ltd</a>…</li>
</ul>


This 5 minute interview on Bloomberg's DayBreak Asia show reviews current actionable ideas in India and China including some lesser-known tech and manufacturing companies.
China:  Find opportunities in the areas of focus for President Xi's second term.  Robotics and Digital Payments. Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH) and China Innovationpay Group (8083 HK)

Yuan likely to be stable going into October meetings.
India: Focus on niche manufacturers Essel Propack Ltd (ESEL IN) and Aia Engineering Ltd…


Under the Radar Tech and Mfg Ideas in India and China - Riedel Interview on Bloomberg Daybreak Asia

Asia-Focused Industry Research, Speeda Research

Speeda

Asia-Focused Industry Research

Speeda Research

Speeda Research analysts cover China, Japan, India and SEA on the latest trends and topics. We have analysts of diverse nationalities who are able to access information in their respective local languages to provide customers with comprehensive reports. With access to private company data in these regions, Speeda Research is also able to provide insights into niche sectors which are not usually covered by other parties. We are also able to undertake ad hoc company and industry research reports.

In July 2015, the Indian government set a target of 10 million PNG (piped natural gas) connections to be made within two years. But as of September 2016, the government was 7 million short of its goal with the odds of achieving it in less than a year seeming very low. Increasing PNG and CNG (compressed natural gas) connections are part of the government’s wider plan to more than double the share of natural gas in India’s energy mix to 20% by 2025. To achieve this goal, the government needs to ramp up transmission infrastructure and increase capacity of import infrastructure to cater to the expected surge in natural gas imports, apart from introducing key policies with regards to pricing, taxation and regulation. Based on past evidence and the information provided within this report, we think the government will fall short of its energy mix targets, just like it did in the PNG segment.

In July 2015, the Indian government set a target of 10 million PNG (piped natural gas) connections to be made within two years. But as of September 2016, the government was 7 million short of its goal with the odds of achieving it in less than a year seeming very low. Increasing PNG and CNG (compressed natural gas) connections are part of the government’s wider plan to more than double the share of natural gas in India’s energy mix to 20% by 2025. To achieve this goal, the government needs to ramp up transmission infrastructure and increase capacity of import infrastructure to cater to the expected surge in natural gas imports, apart from introducing key policies with regards to pricing, taxation and regulation. Based on past evidence and the information provided within this report, we think the government will fall short of its energy mix targets, just like it did in the PNG segment.

Falling Natural Gas Production and Poor Import Infra Make PNG a Distant Dream for Most Indians

Containerisation of generalised cargo in India is stated to be only about 22%, a very low figure compared to the 80% in developed nations. The segment remains in a sorry state with the logistics sector largely inundated by unorganised players. Nevertheless, we think the introduction of GST, multimodal logistics parks and the dedicated freight corridors could prove to be a game changer. Also the container manufacturing sector in India is almost negligent and new players could easily gain market share over the current market which is dominated by Chinese containers being imported into the country at a premium.

Containerisation of generalised cargo in India is stated to be only about 22%, a very low figure compared to the 80% in developed nations. The segment remains in a sorry state with the logistics sector largely inundated by unorganised players. Nevertheless, we think the introduction of GST, multimodal logistics parks and the dedicated freight corridors could prove to be a game changer. Also the container manufacturing sector in India is almost negligent and new players could easily gain market share over the current market which is dominated by Chinese containers being imported into the country at a premium.

Containerisation: Prerequisite to Efficient Inter-Modal and Multi-Modal Transportation in India

India

AIA Engineering Ltd. manufactures high chromium wear, corrosion, and abrasion resistant parts used by the cement, mining, and thermal power generation industries.

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Aia Engineering (AIAE IN)

Global Equity Strategy: Opportunities in Japan and India

Our outlook for ex-U.S. markets (MSCI ACWI ex-U.S. index, local currency) remains neutral - bordering on cautious. Our concern stems from the...

Vermilion Research

China's Downgrade Good News for Investors - Watch the Third Round of NAFTA Talks for Mexico Outlook

RRG Global Macro Insights - China Downgrade Good for Markets - 300 Year Old Idea for a Canal Across Thailand May Actually Happen with China's...

David Riedel

Under the Radar Tech and Mfg Ideas in India and China - Riedel Interview on Bloomberg Daybreak Asia

This 5 minute interview on Bloomberg's DayBreak Asia show reviews current actionable ideas in India and China including some lesser-known tech and...

David Riedel

Falling Natural Gas Production and Poor Import Infra Make PNG a Distant Dream for Most Indians

In July 2015, the Indian government set a target of 10 million PNG (piped natural gas) connections to be made within two years. But as of September...

Speeda Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Global Equity Strategy: Opportunities in Japan and India

Our outlook for ex-U.S. markets (MSCI ACWI ex-U.S. index, local currency) remains neutral - bordering on cautious. Our concern stems from the...

Vermilion Research

China's Downgrade Good News for Investors - Watch the Third Round of NAFTA Talks for Mexico Outlook

RRG Global Macro Insights - China Downgrade Good for Markets - 300 Year Old Idea for a Canal Across Thailand May Actually Happen with China's...

David Riedel

Under the Radar Tech and Mfg Ideas in India and China - Riedel Interview on Bloomberg Daybreak Asia

This 5 minute interview on Bloomberg's DayBreak Asia show reviews current actionable ideas in India and China including some lesser-known tech and...

David Riedel

Falling Natural Gas Production and Poor Import Infra Make PNG a Distant Dream for Most Indians

In July 2015, the Indian government set a target of 10 million PNG (piped natural gas) connections to be made within two years. But as of September...

Speeda Research

Containerisation: Prerequisite to Efficient Inter-Modal and Multi-Modal Transportation in India

Containerisation of generalised cargo in India is stated to be only about 22%, a very low figure compared to the 80% in developed nations. The...

Speeda Research