Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

Rex International Holding / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Last month a new options program was announced, board members have two milestones to meet by 8/4/2024: get the stock over 0.45 SGD (50% vesting) &amp; 0.60 SGD (50% vesting)</li>
<li>Rex's production in Oman has disappointed but AGM commentary makes us believe the worst is now behind us. A recent Straits Times interview confirms 20K BPD remains the LT target.</li>
<li>Rex has instituted a good dividend policy and should now max out its 10% annual buyback authorization before dividends are paid later in FY22; win-win situation for shareholders and board.</li>
</ul>


Last month a new options program was announced, board members have two milestones to meet by 8/4/2024: get the stock over 0.45 SGD (50% vesting) &amp; 0.60 SGD (50% vesting)
Rex's production in Oman has disappointed but AGM commentary makes us believe the worst is now behind us. A recent Straits Times interview confirms 20K BPD remains the LT target.
Rex has instituted a good dividend policy and should now max out its 10% annual buyback authorization before dividends are paid later in FY22; win-win situation for shareholders and board.


Rex: Show Me the Incentives and I Will Show You the Outcome

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>UMS Holdings' stock price has been oversold in the past several weeks. It posted excellent results in 4Q 2021 and its valuations have become more attractive. </li>
<li>If the global semiconductor cycle undergoes a major downtrend, UMS Holdings would not be immune from such downturn and the company is likely to experience lower sales and profit growth.</li>
<li>We believe that UMS Holdings has 20% to 40%+ upside from current levels over the next one year, based on historical valuation multiples in the past three years. </li>
</ul>


UMS Holdings' stock price has been oversold in the past several weeks. It posted excellent results in 4Q 2021 and its valuations have become more attractive. 
If the global semiconductor cycle undergoes a major downtrend, UMS Holdings would not be immune from such downturn and the company is likely to experience lower sales and profit growth.
We believe that UMS Holdings has 20% to 40%+ upside from current levels over the next one year, based on historical valuation multiples in the past three years. 


UMS Holdings: Excellent Results in 2021 & Valuation Has Become More Attractive After Recent Sell-Off

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia.</li>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata (EXCL IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalbe-farma-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6303:1" rel="noopener">Kalbe Farma (KLBF IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a> post recent results. </li>
<li>We also take a close look at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siam-commercial-bank-pub-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:214:1" rel="noopener">Siam Commercial Bank Pub Co (SCB TB)</a> after its numbers but also look more closely at its upcoming restructuring.</li>
</ul>


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia.
The past week saw insights on XL Axiata (EXCL IJ), Kalbe Farma (KLBF IJ), BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ), and Astra International (ASII IJ) post recent results. 
We also take a close look at Siam Commercial Bank Pub Co (SCB TB) after its numbers but also look more closely at its upcoming restructuring.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - XL Coverging, Kalbe Rebalancing, and SCB Refocusing

<ul>
<li>UMS Holdings is a beneficiary of continued strong global demand for semiconductor chips and equipment. </li>
<li>The company had excellent results in 3Q 2021. Its total sales rose by 50% YoY to SGD 67.6 million net profit also increased by 17% YoY in 3Q 2021.</li>
<li>There has been an increasing bullish sentiment on the global aerospace sector and the company's tuck-in acquisitions in the aerospace sector in the past several years now appear more attractive.</li>
</ul>


UMS Holdings is a beneficiary of continued strong global demand for semiconductor chips and equipment. 
The company had excellent results in 3Q 2021. Its total sales rose by 50% YoY to SGD 67.6 million net profit also increased by 17% YoY in 3Q 2021.
There has been an increasing bullish sentiment on the global aerospace sector and the company's tuck-in acquisitions in the aerospace sector in the past several years now appear more attractive.


UMS Holdings: Attractive Valuations & Continued Strong Global Demand for Semiconductor Equipment

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aem-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11019:1" rel="noopener">AEM (AEM SP)</a> reported weak results last week but subsequently announced a 103 million SGD investment by Temasek. The Temasek investment comes ahead of an expected strong 2H21 and 2022 but more importantly right ahead of probable new major customer wins. As well documented AEM is highly dependent on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel Corp (INTC US)</a> for 80% of its revenues and needs new customers to diversify. Management has quietly been forming new relationships and is in various trial phases with some of the largest semiconductor companies other than Intel. During 1Q21's conf call we first heard of management's growing optimism and this was again reiterated in 2Q21.On the 3Q20 call AEM's Chairman Loke Wai San was asked if he would consider a Nasdaq listing. His answer at the time was "once we get to a billion USD market cap we can consider it". The combination of the Temasek investment and the anticipated major new customer wins will likely get us there. In this regard <a href="https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/sgx-and-nasdaq-extend-partnership-to-help-firms-access-capital" target="_blank" rel="noopener">please recall</a> that in July 2020 SGX and Nasdaq agreed to make "dual-listings" between both exchanges easier. What better company to kick-off this agreement than AEM?Fair Value increases to 8 SGD (20x P/E on 0.40 SGD FY22 EPS). Recall, AEM already earned 0.35 SGD EPS in 2020, so assuming new customer wins materialize 0.40 SGD is not a stretch.

AEM (AEM SP) reported weak results last week but subsequently announced a 103 million SGD investment by Temasek. The Temasek investment comes ahead of an expected strong 2H21 and 2022 but more importantly right ahead of probable new major customer wins. As well documented AEM is highly dependent on Intel Corp (INTC US) for 80% of its revenues and needs new customers to diversify. Management has quietly been forming new relationships and is in various trial phases with some of the largest semiconductor companies other than Intel. During 1Q21's conf call we first heard of management's growing optimism and this was again reiterated in 2Q21.On the 3Q20 call AEM's Chairman Loke Wai San was asked if he would consider a Nasdaq listing. His answer at the time was "once we get to a billion USD market cap we can consider it". The combination of the Temasek investment and the anticipated major new customer wins will likely get us there. In this regard please recall that in July 2020 SGX and Nasdaq agreed to make "dual-listings" between both exchanges easier. What better company to kick-off this agreement than AEM?Fair Value increases to 8 SGD (20x P/E on 0.40 SGD FY22 EPS). Recall, AEM already earned 0.35 SGD EPS in 2020, so assuming new customer wins materialize 0.40 SGD is not a stretch.

AEM: Temasek Investment + New Customers = Pre-Cursor to Nasdaq Listing? Fair Value to 8 SGD

Singapore

UMS Holdings Limited provides equipment manufacturing and engineering services to Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) of semiconductors and related products. The Company manufactures high precision components and complex electromechanical assembly and final testing services. UMS supports the electronic, machine tools and oil and gas industries.

Micro-Mechanics Holdings Limited designs and manufactures precision tools.  The Company also provides effective solutions and total support services to its customers.

Global Testing Corporation Ltd. offers testing services for the semiconductor manufacturing industry.  The Company offers wafer sorting and final testing services for logic and mixed signal semiconductors used in consumer electronics and communications devices.

Ellipsiz Ltd. offers products and services to the semiconductor industry. The Company manufactures probe cards used to test semiconductor wafers, and provides wafer reclaim services, equipment distribution and support services for the semiconductor and electronics manufacturing services (EMS) industries.

Sunright Limited provides management services and research and development in burn-in and test-related activities. The Company also manufactures burn-in equipment and substrates, assembles electronic, and electrical components, as well as provides semiconductor testing services.  In addition, Sunright trades and distributes high-technology electronic products.

Advanced Systems Automation Limited designs and manufactures automatic molding machines and other back-end assembly equipment for the semiconductor industry. The Company also manufactures precision tools, dies, and encapsulation molds, and provides wafer bumping services and packaging technology consulting.

Asia Vets Holdings Ltd. assembles integrated circuits.  The Company assembles and tests smart card modules, and loads onto them customer specific data or software.  Smartflex produces smart cards for the telecommunications, banking, financial services, and pay television industries.

Manufacturing Integration Technology Limited designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes automated equipment for the semiconductor industry.  The Company also designs and manufactures vision inspection system and precision engineering.

Manufacturing Integration Technology (MIT SP)

IGG Inc. is an online games developer and operator. The Company offers multi-language browser games, client-based games and mobile games to players globally.

Motech Industries Inc. manufactures and markets solar cells as well as testing and measuring instruments.

Winstek Semiconductor Co Ltd provides wafer and IC (Integrated Circuit) testing services for mixed signal, digital, optical, and radio frequency (RF) devices.

Land Mark Optoelectronics Corporation is a supplier in GaAs and InP based epitaxial wafers for optical communication, industrial application, and special-purpose usage. The Company specializes in using the MOVPE (or MOCVD) reactors for epitaxial growth of compound semiconductor material.

Zhejiang Sunflower Light Energy Science & Technology LLC develops, produces and sells photovoltaic products. The Company manufactures crystalline silicon photovoltaic solar cells, wafers, modules and other related solar energy parts.

E&R Engineering Corporation designs and manufactures machines and packing materials for semiconductors, SMT, IC substrate, LED and passive components. The Company's machines consist of automation equipment, UV lasers, dispensers, printers and plasma chambers. E&R also offers carrier tape and plastic reels.

Gigasolar Materials Corp. manufactures solar conductive paste to provide solar energy.

Genetech Technology Berhad designs and develops both customized and standardized industrial automated equipments for high technology related manufacturing companies. The Company also provides integrated engineering solutions that incorporates mechanical, engineering and software functions.

EGing Photovoltaic Technology Company Ltd. manufactures solar energy equipment. The Company produces mono crystalline and polycrystalline solar modules.  EGing sells its products in Germany, Spain, Italy, the Czech Republic, Australia, South Korea and South Africa.

Seoul Semiconductor Co., Ltd. manufactures parts for electronic products.  The Company's products include light emitting diode (LED) custom display, LED dot matrix, LED back light, photo diode, photo transistor, LED IR lamp, LED display with controller, and LED array.

Holtek Semiconductor Inc. develops and manufactures integrated circuit (IC) products. The Company's products include microcontrollers, and other peripheral devices in the communication, remote control, computer peripheral, and memory industries.

AEM Holdings Limited designs and manufactures semiconductor manufacturing equipment and related tooling parts and precision machining of components for semiconductor industry.  The Company also manufactures and distributes electronics, engineering, chemical and related products. AEM provides engineering services.

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AEM (AEM SP)

Rex: Show Me the Incentives and I Will Show You the Outcome

Rex share awards show clear incentives for the board to maximize value over the coming two years. Buying back 10% of shares outstanding would be...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

UMS Holdings: Excellent Results in 2021 & Valuation Has Become More Attractive After Recent Sell-Off

UMS Holdings' stock price has been oversold in the past several weeks. It posted excellent results in 4Q 2021 and its valuations have become more...

Douglas Kim

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - XL Coverging, Kalbe Rebalancing, and SCB Refocusing

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

UMS Holdings: Attractive Valuations & Continued Strong Global Demand for Semiconductor Equipment

Three key catalysts of UMS Holdings include continued strong global demand for semiconductor chips, bullish sentiment on the global aerospace...

Douglas Kim

AEM: Temasek Investment + New Customers = Pre-Cursor to Nasdaq Listing? Fair Value to 8 SGD

AEM remains a top pick as it digests the Temasek investment and gets ready to list on Nasdaq in 2022. Major new customer wins are likely as...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

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