Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The semiconductor market is now 45% above its normal revenue trend.</li>
<li>This situation is driven mostly by today's COVID-related demand changes.</li>
<li>Eventually the market will return to its normal growth, with revenues dropping by over 30%.</li>
</ul>


The semiconductor market is now 45% above its normal revenue trend.
This situation is driven mostly by today's COVID-related demand changes.
Eventually the market will return to its normal growth, with revenues dropping by over 30%.


Semiconductor Revenues Remain Well Above Trend

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Capital Markets

Advanced Micro Devices / Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>AMD delivered another record year with outstanding growth in all key business lines.</li><li>Its datacenter revenue has been doubling year after year given the increased shift from on-premise to cloud offerings.</li><li>The company’s gross margin is expanding and there has been a strong demand for AMD's higher-end desktop CPUs and AMD notebooks.</li></ul>

AMD delivered another record year with outstanding growth in all key business lines.Its datacenter revenue has been doubling year after year given the increased shift from on-premise to cloud offerings.The company’s gross margin is expanding and there has been a strong demand for AMD's higher-end desktop CPUs and AMD notebooks.

Advanced Micro Devices Inc.: Financial & Price Forecasts

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We expect TSMC will grow ~4.7% QoQ in 2Q22, and the revenue/GM/OPG is around US$17.7bn/55.1%/43.8%.</li>
<li>We highlighted TSMC was considering to increase the wafer price nearly 2 months ago, but TSMC has still not made the final decision yet.  </li>
<li>TSMC 4/5nm capacity will be ready for for 150k/month within 4Q22. We think the new iPhone 14 would request more than half of the capacity.</li>
</ul>


We expect TSMC will grow ~4.7% QoQ in 2Q22, and the revenue/GM/OPG is around US$17.7bn/55.1%/43.8%.
We highlighted TSMC was considering to increase the wafer price nearly 2 months ago, but TSMC has still not made the final decision yet.  
TSMC 4/5nm capacity will be ready for for 150k/month within 4Q22. We think the new iPhone 14 would request more than half of the capacity.


TSMC (TSM.US; 2330.TT): The Outlook Is Positive in 2Q22, and Wafer Price Lift Is Not Decided Yet.

House of Market Insights, Market Radar

Market Radar

House of Market Insights

Quick market updates and lot of ideas for your investments from a multi-asset portfolio manager working for a family office.

Quick Market Updates

Technical Analysis

Advanced Micro Devices / Technical Analysis

<ul><li>The Chinese Government has not been very friendly with the Chinese tech companies in the last year: it imposed several fines and introduced new anti-monopoly laws, that hurt company business and profitability</li><li>Now the SEC is trying to look better into the balance sheet of these companies, threatening a possible delisting from U.S. exchanges. This is another big risk for chinese tech stocks.</li><li>An almost 70% drawdown already happened. Will there ever be a reversal?</li></ul>

The Chinese Government has not been very friendly with the Chinese tech companies in the last year: it imposed several fines and introduced new anti-monopoly laws, that hurt company business and profitabilityNow the SEC is trying to look better into the balance sheet of these companies, threatening a possible delisting from U.S. exchanges. This is another big risk for chinese tech stocks.An almost 70% drawdown already happened. Will there ever be a reversal?

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

<ul>
<li>The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.</li>
<li>
 Macro data points: Russian attempts at financial stability, Indian GDP growth, Chinese PMI data</li>
<li>
 Companies mentioned:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc-2d526675-c878-4104-840f-87fed1735e85" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35652:1" rel="noopener">NIO Inc (9866 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bytedance-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27936:1" rel="noopener">ByteDance (1439927D CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">TSMC (2330 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a>
</li>
</ul>


The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.

 Macro data points: Russian attempts at financial stability, Indian GDP growth, Chinese PMI data

 Companies mentioned:NIO Inc (9866 HK), ByteDance (1439927D CH), TSMC (2330 TT), Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)



GEM Weekly (4 Mar 2022): Russian Interest Rates, Chinese PMI; NIO, ByteDance, TSMC, Samsung

United States

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) produces semiconductor products and devices. The Company offers products such as microprocessors, embedded microprocessors, chipsets, graphics, video and multimedia products and supplies it to third-party foundries, as well as provides assembling, testing, and packaging services. AMD serves customers worldwide.

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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US)

Semiconductor Revenues Remain Well Above Trend

Semiconductors are 45% above their long-term revenue trend. This is poised to continue for the near term, but a big change will occur further out.

Jim Handy

Advanced Micro Devices Inc.: Financial & Price Forecasts

AMD delivered another record year with outstanding growth in all key business lines. Its datacenter revenue has been doubling year after year...

Baptista Research

TSMC (TSM.US; 2330.TT): The Outlook Is Positive in 2Q22, and Wafer Price Lift Is Not Decided Yet.

We expect TSMC will grow ~4.7% QoQ in 2Q22, and the revenue/GM/OPG is around US$17.7bn/55.1%/43.8%. TSMC 4/5nm capacity will be ready for 150k...

Patrick Liao

Charts to Watch

The Chinese Government has not been very friendly with the Chinese tech companies in the last year: it imposed several fines and introduced new...

Market Radar

GEM Weekly (4 Mar 2022): Russian Interest Rates, Chinese PMI; NIO, ByteDance, TSMC, Samsung

The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of...

Wium Malan, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)