Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>US DoD &amp; AWS deals are little more than distractions from the main event</li>
<li>Making Intel Foundry a subsidiary won't make one whit of a difference but may just be the next step in its eventual spin-off</li>
<li>The core issue, the GM collapse in Q224, was not addressed in the BM update from the CEO. That's a problem. </li>
</ul>


US DoD &amp; AWS deals are little more than distractions from the main event
Making Intel Foundry a subsidiary won't make one whit of a difference but may just be the next step in its eventual spin-off
The core issue, the GM collapse in Q224, was not addressed in the BM update from the CEO. That's a problem. 


Intel. US DoD & AWS Deals Are Distractions While The Head Remains Firmly In The Sand

Podcast from BlackRock, The Bid

The Bid

Podcast from BlackRock

The Bid breaks down what’s happening in the world of investing and explores the forces changing the economy and finance. From stock market outlooks and megatrends to geopolitics and technology, BlackRock speaks to thought leaders and industry experts from around the globe about the biggest trends moving markets.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>AI has become a dominant topic of discussion among industry leaders, signaling a significant shift in focus over the past year</li><li>Investment opportunities in AI extend beyond just a few mega cap stocks, with opportunities in chips, infrastructure, data and models, software applications, and services and solutions</li><li>Tony emphasizes the importance of building a new computing infrastructure for AI, which is transforming industries and creating new opportunities for tech investors.</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

AI has become a dominant topic of discussion among industry leaders, signaling a significant shift in focus over the past yearInvestment opportunities in AI extend beyond just a few mega cap stocks, with opportunities in chips, infrastructure, data and models, software applications, and services and solutionsTony emphasizes the importance of building a new computing infrastructure for AI, which is transforming industries and creating new opportunities for tech investors.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Tech and AI Investing Trends: A Stock Picker’s Take

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-semiconductor" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32807:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US)</a> ETF in September but there are a lot of float and capping changes.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">TSMC - ADR</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA</a> are the largest sells with buying spread across <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asml-holding-nv-b0092428-e3ec-4a92-bdd6-2f6eff7f1879" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28204:1" rel="noopener">ASML Holding NV</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qualcomm-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:969:1" rel="noopener">Qualcomm Inc</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applied-materials-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:283:1" rel="noopener">Applied Materials</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/micron-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13382:1" rel="noopener">Micron Technology</a>.</li>
<li>The selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a> will add to the selling from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/technology-select-sector-spdr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27543:1" rel="noopener">Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US)</a> due to the market consultation.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US) ETF in September but there are a lot of float and capping changes.

TSMC - ADR and NVIDIA are the largest sells with buying spread across ASML Holding NV, Qualcomm Inc, Applied Materials and Micron Technology.
The selling in NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) will add to the selling from the Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US) due to the market consultation.


MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade Over US$2bn

Global TMT Analyst, Ex-PM, 30 years experience

Neil Campling

<ul>
<li>EV demand slump prompts CATL production cuts, lithium prices fall below breakeven</li>
<li>What happened to Nvidia's MOAT? AMD is gaining inference traction </li>
<li>Samsung issues at 2nm and 4nm and TSM continues to widen tech leadership. TSM as a Monopsony could hurt TEL and ASML in time</li>
</ul>


EV demand slump prompts CATL production cuts, lithium prices fall below breakeven
What happened to Nvidia's MOAT? AMD is gaining inference traction 
Samsung issues at 2nm and 4nm and TSM continues to widen tech leadership. TSM as a Monopsony could hurt TEL and ASML in time


TMT Daily - EVs, CATL, AMD V NVDA, Samsung V TSM Tokyo Electron, ASML, Telco, Shopify, Match, Bumble

<ul>
<li>Intel's CFO says the company is going to "kind of skip over productizing 20A"</li>
<li>This decision removes an important, looming milestone from Intel's roadmap, i.e. the ramp of Arrow Lake later this year</li>
<li>The decision to outsource all Arrow Lake tiles, apart from final packaging, strongly suggests that Intel 3 and Intel 18A are not capable of a cost-competitive volume ramp</li>
</ul>


Intel's CFO says the company is going to "kind of skip over productizing 20A"
This decision removes an important, looming milestone from Intel's roadmap, i.e. the ramp of Arrow Lake later this year
The decision to outsource all Arrow Lake tiles, apart from final packaging, strongly suggests that Intel 3 and Intel 18A are not capable of a cost-competitive volume ramp


Intel Cancels 20A. Now Why Would They Go & Do That?

United States

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) produces semiconductor products and devices. The Company offers products such as microprocessors, embedded microprocessors, chipsets, graphics, video and multimedia products and supplies it to third-party foundries, as well as provides assembling, testing, and packaging services. AMD serves customers worldwide.

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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US)

Intel. US DoD & AWS Deals Are Distractions While The Head Remains Firmly In The Sand

US DoD & AWS deals are little more than distractions from the main event. Making IFS a subsidiary will make no difference.The GM collapse in Q224...

William Keating

Tech and AI Investing Trends: A Stock Picker’s Take

Tony's 11th annual tech tour focused on AI as the dominant topic of discussion, reflecting its evolution from a background tool to a primary focus...

The Bid

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade Over US$2bn

No constituent changes but a lot of capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 4.9% resulting in a one-way trade of US$1.04bn. The selling in...

Brian Freitas

TMT Daily - EVs, CATL, AMD V NVDA, Samsung V TSM Tokyo Electron, ASML, Telco, Shopify, Match, Bumble

CATL cuts as lithium falls below cash cost as EVs slump. AMD traction in inference v Nvidia. Samsung woes at both 4nm and 2nm, TSM widens lead....

Neil Campling

Intel Cancels 20A. Now Why Would They Go & Do That?

The de-facto cancellation of Intel 20A removes a critical milestone from the company's roadmap, namely the ramp of Arrow Lake on that process node...

William Keating

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Intel. US DoD & AWS Deals Are Distractions While The Head Remains Firmly In The Sand

US DoD & AWS deals are little more than distractions from the main event. Making IFS a subsidiary will make no difference.The GM collapse in Q224...

William Keating

Tech and AI Investing Trends: A Stock Picker’s Take

Tony's 11th annual tech tour focused on AI as the dominant topic of discussion, reflecting its evolution from a background tool to a primary focus...

The Bid

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade Over US$2bn

No constituent changes but a lot of capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 4.9% resulting in a one-way trade of US$1.04bn. The selling in...

Brian Freitas

TMT Daily - EVs, CATL, AMD V NVDA, Samsung V TSM Tokyo Electron, ASML, Telco, Shopify, Match, Bumble

​CATL cuts as lithium falls below cash cost as EVs slump. AMD traction in inference v Nvidia. Samsung woes at both 4nm and 2nm, TSM widens lead....

Neil Campling

Intel Cancels 20A. Now Why Would They Go & Do That?

The de-facto cancellation of Intel 20A removes a critical milestone from the company's roadmap, namely the ramp of Arrow Lake on that process node...

William Keating

CATL cuts as lithium falls below cash cost as EVs slump. AMD traction in inference v Nvidia. Samsung woes at both 4nm and 2nm, TSM widens lead....