Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We maintain our Neutral rating, as the attractiveness of the valuation based on the fundamentals (with the share price implying 12% upside to the fair value) is offset by the relatively modest average EPS growth of a 7% CAGR during 2025-27E, which is at the lower end compared to regional peers. In addition, the tactical view is neutral.</li><li>The 12-month forward fair value has been revised to Bt314 (previously Bt317), reflecting adjustments to the macroeconomic variables in the beta estimation based on our new house view.</li><li>This adjustment immaterially impacted the required return, which remains almost unchanged at 4.0%.</li></ul>

We maintain our Neutral rating, as the attractiveness of the valuation based on the fundamentals (with the share price implying 12% upside to the fair value) is offset by the relatively modest average EPS growth of a 7% CAGR during 2025-27E, which is at the lower end compared to regional peers. In addition, the tactical view is neutral.The 12-month forward fair value has been revised to Bt314 (previously Bt317), reflecting adjustments to the macroeconomic variables in the beta estimation based on our new house view.This adjustment immaterially impacted the required return, which remains almost unchanged at 4.0%.

Advanced Info Service - Continued Earnings Momentum 1Q25E

<ul><li>We reinitiate our coverage on ADVANC with a Neutral rating.</li><li>While the valuation appears attractive from a fundamental perspective, with 13% upside to its fair value, this is offset by its earnings growth outlook, which remains below the average of major regional operators.</li><li>In addition, the tactical outlook remains neutral.</li></ul>

We reinitiate our coverage on ADVANC with a Neutral rating.While the valuation appears attractive from a fundamental perspective, with 13% upside to its fair value, this is offset by its earnings growth outlook, which remains below the average of major regional operators.In addition, the tactical outlook remains neutral.

ADVANCED INFO SERVICE - Resuming Normal Growth Mode in 2025E

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The SET rallied for the fourth consecutive day, supported by optimism over US-China trade negotiations, enthusiasm surrounding the Thai ESGX fund, and notably, the MPC’s decision to cut the policy rate by 0.25%.</li><li>This rate cut accelerated the index’s gains, particularly in the afternoon session.</li><li>Key stocks such as DELTA, ADVANC, SCC, GULF, and major banking shares recorded strong gains, while fund inflows helped sustain solid upward momentum.</li></ul>

The SET rallied for the fourth consecutive day, supported by optimism over US-China trade negotiations, enthusiasm surrounding the Thai ESGX fund, and notably, the MPC’s decision to cut the policy rate by 0.25%.This rate cut accelerated the index’s gains, particularly in the afternoon session.Key stocks such as DELTA, ADVANC, SCC, GULF, and major banking shares recorded strong gains, while fund inflows helped sustain solid upward momentum.

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,208/1,220 points (75-day EMA) and the support at 1,190 points (50-day EMA)/1,180 points.</li><li>In the short term, the index remains in a bullish flag rally phase, aiming to retest the previous resistance levels at 1,200/1,220 points after setting a new low for the year at 1,056.41 points on April 8.</li><li>This upward movement signals a medium-term trend reversal to an uptrend (bottoming out). Next, the index is expected to enter a consolidation phase to confirm a higher low in the long term (the major buying zone lies at 1,145/1,128 points). </li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,208/1,220 points (75-day EMA) and the support at 1,190 points (50-day EMA)/1,180 points.In the short term, the index remains in a bullish flag rally phase, aiming to retest the previous resistance levels at 1,200/1,220 points after setting a new low for the year at 1,056.41 points on April 8.This upward movement signals a medium-term trend reversal to an uptrend (bottoming out). Next, the index is expected to enter a consolidation phase to confirm a higher low in the long term (the major buying zone lies at 1,145/1,128 points). 

KTX Zoom: US Non-Farm Payrolls - May 2, 2025

<ul><li>The SET initially traded within a narrow range as investors awaited the outcome of the MPC meeting and remained hopeful about progress in US-China trade negotiations.</li><li>However, in the afternoon session, the index advanced sharply, supported by strong buying in DELTA, ADVANC, BH, energy, and banking stocks, reinforcing a continued upward trend.</li><li>Foreign investors also returned as net buyers.</li></ul>

The SET initially traded within a narrow range as investors awaited the outcome of the MPC meeting and remained hopeful about progress in US-China trade negotiations.However, in the afternoon session, the index advanced sharply, supported by strong buying in DELTA, ADVANC, BH, energy, and banking stocks, reinforcing a continued upward trend.Foreign investors also returned as net buyers.

Thailand

Advanced Info Service Public Company Limited is granted a 25-year concession expiring the year 2015 by the Telephone Organization of Thailand to provide cellular phone services.  The Company provides analog mobile phone services through the Nordic Mobile Telephone (NMT900) network, and digital phone services through the Global Systems for Mobile Communication (GSM) network.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Advanced Info Service (ADVANC-R TB)

Advanced Info Service - Continued Earnings Momentum 1Q25E

The 12-month forward fair value has been revised to Bt314 (previously Bt317), reflecting adjustments to the macroeconomic variables in the beta...

Krungthai XSpring

ADVANCED INFO SERVICE - Resuming Normal Growth Mode in 2025E

While the valuation appears attractive from a fundamental perspective, with 13% upside to its fair value, this is offset by its earnings growth...

Krungthai XSpring

Technical Analysis - MAY 2, 2025

Key stocks such as DELTA, ADVANC, SCC, GULF, and major banking shares recorded strong gains, while fund inflows helped sustain solid upward momentum.

Krungthai XSpring

KTX Zoom: US Non-Farm Payrolls - May 2, 2025

We maintain our recommendation to take profit on rallies for short-term investors, while long-term investors are advised to selectively buy on dips.

Krungthai XSpring

Technical Analysis - APRIL 30, 2025

The SET initially traded within a narrow range as investors awaited the outcome of the MPC meeting and remained hopeful about progress in US-China...

Krungthai XSpring

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