Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this Insight, we highlight industry and company-specific developments based on the annual reports of various companies related to the apparel industry.</li>
<li>The industry has encountered challenges, primarily due to a slowdown in demand and rising inflation. Most companies are now hoping for a turnaround.</li>
<li>Companies in Focus <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aditya-birla-fashion-and-retail-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19048:1" rel="noopener">Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd (ABFRL IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arvind-fashions" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28960:1" rel="noopener">Arvind Fashions (ARVINDFA IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedant-fashions-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34260:1" rel="noopener">Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/go-fashion-india-private-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36625:1" rel="noopener">Go Fashion India (GOCOLORS IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/credo-brands-marketing-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40400:1" rel="noopener">Credo Brands Marketing (CREDO IN)</a>.  </li>
</ul>


In this Insight, we highlight industry and company-specific developments based on the annual reports of various companies related to the apparel industry.
The industry has encountered challenges, primarily due to a slowdown in demand and rising inflation. Most companies are now hoping for a turnaround.
Companies in Focus Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd (ABFRL IN), Arvind Fashions (ARVINDFA IN), Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN), Go Fashion India (GOCOLORS IN) and Credo Brands Marketing (CREDO IN).  


Namaste India 🙏 | Catching up with Fashion

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Cummins: Cummins India Ltd (CIL) reported in-line/below performance vs consensus/our estimates with revenue/EBITDA/APAT missing our estimates by 7/13/12%</li><li>Domestic business grew 12% YoY whilst exports declined 22% on the back of weak overseas demand.</li><li>CPCB 4+ implementation seems to be a game changer as it forces demand to move from commodity players to technology players and opens up service opportunities</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cummins: Cummins India Ltd (CIL) reported in-line/below performance vs consensus/our estimates with revenue/EBITDA/APAT missing our estimates by 7/13/12%Domestic business grew 12% YoY whilst exports declined 22% on the back of weak overseas demand.CPCB 4+ implementation seems to be a game changer as it forces demand to move from commodity players to technology players and opens up service opportunitiesContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Cummins, Lupin, Shree Cement, Gujarat Gas, Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>Overall, Cantabil Retail is a well-managed company with a solid track record and a clear growth strategy. </li>
<li>With a focus on expanding into new markets, maintaining high profitability, and strong promoter and FII confidence, Cantabil is poised for continued success in the Indian retail sector. </li>
<li>Investors looking for a promising investment opportunity in the apparel industry should consider Cantabil Retail for its strong financial performance and growth potential.</li>
</ul>


Overall, Cantabil Retail is a well-managed company with a solid track record and a clear growth strategy. 
With a focus on expanding into new markets, maintaining high profitability, and strong promoter and FII confidence, Cantabil is poised for continued success in the Indian retail sector. 
Investors looking for a promising investment opportunity in the apparel industry should consider Cantabil Retail for its strong financial performance and growth potential.


The Beat Ideas: What Makes Cantabil Retail an Interesting Bet on the Apparel Market?

<ul><li>Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~11% YoY in Q1FY25</li><li>However, a few exceptional names drive up the average</li><li>In retail, ex-F&amp;G and value fashion, growth pencilled in is an anaemic 6% as footfalls/demand gets impacted due to (1) the heatwave and (2) fewer wedding days</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~11% YoY in Q1FY25However, a few exceptional names drive up the averageIn retail, ex-F&amp;G and value fashion, growth pencilled in is an anaemic 6% as footfalls/demand gets impacted due to (1) the heatwave and (2) fewer wedding daysContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Discretionary: Muted Demand, Value Plays Remain Outliers

<ul><li>Samvardhana Motherson International: SAMIL’s Q4 revenue was marginally above our estimate, led by the modules and polymer products division</li><li>PAT at INR 13.7bn was higher than our estimates (INR 7.2bn) due to lower finance costs and ETR</li><li>Our faith in the company is undeterred given its well-diversified presence across components, geographies and customers</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Samvardhana Motherson International: SAMIL’s Q4 revenue was marginally above our estimate, led by the modules and polymer products divisionPAT at INR 13.7bn was higher than our estimates (INR 7.2bn) due to lower finance costs and ETROur faith in the company is undeterred given its well-diversified presence across components, geographies and customersContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Samvardhana Motherson International

India

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd provides a wide range of mid-priced garments for men. The Company's collection includes internationally styled formal, elite, casual, party, and wedding apparel.

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd (ABFRL IN)

Price Gauge
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Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
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Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd (ABFRL IN)

Namaste India 🙏 | Catching up with Fashion

Exploring the challenges and growth projections of the Indian apparel industry, with companies like Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd and Arvind...

Pranav Bhavsar

HSIE Results Daily: Cummins, Lupin, Shree Cement, Gujarat Gas, Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail

Cummins India Ltd (CIL) reported in-line/below performance vs consensus/our estimates with revenue/EBITDA/APAT missing our estimates by 7/13/12%

HDFC Securities

The Beat Ideas: What Makes Cantabil Retail an Interesting Bet on the Apparel Market?

Cantabil Retail is a well-managed company with a clear growth strategy, poised for success in the Indian retail sector, making it a promising...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Consumer Discretionary: Muted Demand, Value Plays Remain Outliers

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~11% YoY in Q1FY25. However, a few exceptional names drive up the average

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Samvardhana Motherson International

Samvardhana Motherson International: SAMIL’s Q4 revenue was marginally above our estimate, led by the modules and polymer products division

HDFC Securities

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Namaste India 🙏 | Catching up with Fashion

​Exploring the challenges and growth projections of the Indian apparel industry, with companies like Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd and Arvind...

Pranav Bhavsar

HSIE Results Daily: Cummins, Lupin, Shree Cement, Gujarat Gas, Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail

Cummins India Ltd (CIL) reported in-line/below performance vs consensus/our estimates with revenue/EBITDA/APAT missing our estimates by 7/13/12%

HDFC Securities

The Beat Ideas: What Makes Cantabil Retail an Interesting Bet on the Apparel Market?

​Cantabil Retail is a well-managed company with a clear growth strategy, poised for success in the Indian retail sector, making it a promising...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Consumer Discretionary: Muted Demand, Value Plays Remain Outliers

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~11% YoY in Q1FY25. However, a few exceptional names drive up the average

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Samvardhana Motherson International

Samvardhana Motherson International: SAMIL’s Q4 revenue was marginally above our estimate, led by the modules and polymer products division

HDFC Securities

Exploring the challenges and growth projections of the Indian apparel industry, with companies like Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd and Arvind...

Cantabil Retail is a well-managed company with a clear growth strategy, poised for success in the Indian retail sector, making it a promising...