Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

While 2020 began on an optimistic note, sentiment has changed significantly with the outbreak of the COVID-19 coronavirus, which has spread rapidly across continents.آ  In our view, key concerns include: [1] potential demand impact on industries with significant human interaction; [2] potential impact on the economy if consumer sentiment deteriorates materially; [3] potential impact on labour force productivity; [4] potential impact on the supply chains of industries; and [5] potential impact on financial markets. We are cautious on companies which are highly levered, cyclical, have limited liquidity or significant debt maturities in the near term. In the report, we assess the impact of COVID-19 on: [1] Europe, China/Asia and the Americas; [2] supply chains; and [3] the sectors and companies under our coverage.

  While 2020 began on an optimistic note, sentiment has changed significantly with the outbreak of the COVID-19 coronavirus, which has spread rapidly across continents.آ    In our view, key concerns include: [1] potential demand impact on industries with significant human interaction; [2] potential impact on the economy if consumer sentiment deteriorates materially; [3] potential impact on labour force productivity; [4] potential impact on the supply chains of industries; and [5] potential impact on financial markets. We are cautious on companies which are highly levered, cyclical, have limited liquidity or significant debt maturities in the near term.   In the report, we assess the impact of COVID-19 on: [1] Europe, China/Asia and the Americas; [2] supply chains; and [3] the sectors and companies under our coverage. 

COVID-19: Impact On Global High Yield - Lucror Analytics

Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone / Credit

We view Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone (APSEZ)آ as â€œLow Riskâ€‌ on the LARA scale. This is supported by the companyâ€™s: (1) established position as the largest independent port operator in India; (2) diversification in terms of cargo type and business segments; and (3) relatively stable margins and financial metrics.آ The main risk revolves around its related-party transactions, albeit these have decreased. Our fundamental Credit Bias on APSEZ is â€œStableâ€‌.آ The Portsآ business generates stable earnings and cash flow, which would help fund part of the companyâ€™s sizeable capex and acquisition plans. That said, we view negatively the increasingly aggressive shareholder distributions.آ  We view APSEZ as â€œWeakâ€‌ on the LAGA scale. The company is effectively controlled by founder and Chairman Gautam Adani and his family. It also has a history of related party transactions. That said, major businesses within the Adani Group are listed, which improves corporate transparency.

  We view Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone (APSEZ)آ as â€œLow Riskâ€‌ on the LARA scale. This is supported by the companyâ€™s: (1) established position as the largest independent port operator in India; (2) diversification in terms of cargo type and business segments; and (3) relatively stable margins and financial metrics.آ The main risk revolves around its related-party transactions, albeit these have decreased.   Our fundamental Credit Bias on APSEZ is â€œStableâ€‌.آ The Portsآ business generates stable earnings and cash flow, which would help fund part of the companyâ€™s sizeable capex and acquisition plans. That said, we view negatively the increasingly aggressive shareholder distributions.آ    We view APSEZ as â€œWeakâ€‌ on the LAGA scale. The company is effectively controlled by founder and Chairman Gautam Adani and his family. It also has a history of related party transactions. That said, major businesses within the Adani Group are listed, which improves corporate transparency. 

Adani Ports - Tear Sheet - Lucror Analytics

In this month's “In-Focus”, we discuss Chinese offshore bond defaults in 2019. We look at the broader trends as well as select cases, and give our key takeaways on how best to assess the credit profiles of Chinese companies. The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.

  In this month's “In-Focus”, we discuss Chinese offshore bond defaults in 2019. We look at the broader trends as well as select cases, and give our key takeaways on how best to assess the credit profiles of Chinese companies.   The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.  

Asia HY Monthly - Chinese Offshore Bond Defaults - Lucror Analytics

The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for January includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. We also provide relative-value charts and lists of the bonds in the Lucror Asia HY index.

  The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for January includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. We also provide relative-value charts and lists of the bonds in the Lucror Asia HY index.  

Asia HY Trade Recommendations - January 2020 - Lucror Analytics

This month, we look at the developments of 2019, and in the “In-Focus” section, we discuss the outlook for Asian HY in 2020. The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the "In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.

  This month, we look at the developments of 2019, and in the “In-Focus” section, we discuss the outlook for Asian HY in 2020.   The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the "In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market. 

Asia HY Monthly - 2019 In Review And 2020 Outlook - Lucror Analytics

India

Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone operates a shipping port on the west coast of India.  The Company's port provides services for bulk and container cargo, crude oil, and railway and other added services.

Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone (ADSEZ IN)

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Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone (ADSEZ IN)

COVID-19: Impact On Global High Yield - Lucror Analytics

While 2020 began on an optimistic note, sentiment has changed significantly with the outbreak of the COVID-19 coronavirus, which has spread...

Lucror Analytics

Adani Ports - Tear Sheet - Lucror Analytics

We view Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone (APSEZ)آ as â€œLow Riskâ€‌ on the LARA scale. This is supported by the companyâ€™s: (1) established...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Monthly - Chinese Offshore Bond Defaults - Lucror Analytics

In this month's “In-Focus”, we discuss Chinese offshore bond defaults in 2019. We look at the broader trends as well as select cases, and give our...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Trade Recommendations - January 2020 - Lucror Analytics

The Asia HY Trade Recommendations report for January includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. We also...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Monthly - 2019 In Review And 2020 Outlook - Lucror Analytics

This month, we look at the developments of 2019, and in the “In-Focus” section, we discuss the outlook for Asian HY in 2020. The Asia Monthly...

Lucror Analytics

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)