External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Ambuja Cement: We maintain ADD with an unchanged TP of INR 620/share (16.5x its consolidated FY26E EBITDA)</li><li>During Q4FY24, consolidated volumes rose 17% YoY owing to the low base and ramp-up of recently acquired Sanghi plants</li><li>Weak pricing across markets drove down NSR by INR 394/MT QoQ (-7%)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Ambuja Cement: We maintain ADD with an unchanged TP of INR 620/share (16.5x its consolidated FY26E EBITDA)During Q4FY24, consolidated volumes rose 17% YoY owing to the low base and ramp-up of recently acquired Sanghi plantsWeak pricing across markets drove down NSR by INR 394/MT QoQ (-7%)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Ambuja Cement, Havells India, Dabur, ACC

<ul><li>Demand firmed up but at the expense of pricing: In our view, cement demand again firmed up in Q4FY24 on a strong pick-up in non-trades sales</li><li>We estimate aggregate volumes will grow 10% YoY in Q4FY24 (as against 8% YoY in Q3)</li><li>However, owing to aggressive volume push in non-trade segments (channel check suggests major players pushed volumes hard in Q4), cement pricing took a beating during the peak demand quarter</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Demand firmed up but at the expense of pricing: In our view, cement demand again firmed up in Q4FY24 on a strong pick-up in non-trades salesWe estimate aggregate volumes will grow 10% YoY in Q4FY24 (as against 8% YoY in Q3)However, owing to aggressive volume push in non-trade segments (channel check suggests major players pushed volumes hard in Q4), cement pricing took a beating during the peak demand quarterContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement (Q4FY24 Results Preview): Weak pricing dampens industry margin

<ul><li>Growth tapers after six consecutive quarters of robust show: We estimate cement demand cooled off to ~7% YoY in Q3FY24, after delivering ~9-16% growth rate (average 12%) in the preceding six quarters</li><li>While demand remained strong in Oct, it slipped off in Nov/Dec—attributable to multiple reasons: elections in four states, flooding in the southern region, sand issues in certain states, and festivals</li><li>Thus, as against general expectations of demand firming up post-monsoon by ~10-15% QoQ, cement sales recovered a modest 4% QoQ, leading to demand tapering.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Growth tapers after six consecutive quarters of robust show: We estimate cement demand cooled off to ~7% YoY in Q3FY24, after delivering ~9-16% growth rate (average 12%) in the preceding six quartersWhile demand remained strong in Oct, it slipped off in Nov/Dec—attributable to multiple reasons: elections in four states, flooding in the southern region, sand issues in certain states, and festivalsThus, as against general expectations of demand firming up post-monsoon by ~10-15% QoQ, cement sales recovered a modest 4% QoQ, leading to demand tapering.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement (Q3FY24 Results Preview): Industry Margin Surges to a Nine-Quarter High

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Cement demand momentum moderated in Q3FY24: After witnessing double-digit volume growth in H1FY24, cement demand momentum moderated in Q3FY24.</li><li>This was on account of Diwali festivity, labour shortage, construction ban in NCR, and Assembly election in key States of MP, CG, Rajasthan, and Telangana.</li><li>After witnessing double-digit growth in Oct’23, cement demand moderated sharply in Nov’23 and remained subdued in Dec’23, though a slight pick-up towards the end of the month was observed. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement demand momentum moderated in Q3FY24: After witnessing double-digit volume growth in H1FY24, cement demand momentum moderated in Q3FY24.This was on account of Diwali festivity, labour shortage, construction ban in NCR, and Assembly election in key States of MP, CG, Rajasthan, and Telangana.After witnessing double-digit growth in Oct’23, cement demand moderated sharply in Nov’23 and remained subdued in Dec’23, though a slight pick-up towards the end of the month was observed. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELETEs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 Indices in the December 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>At present, I do not see any changes for the SENSEX index. For the BSE 100 and BSE 200 indices I see six and five changes respectively.</li>
<li>Some of these changes are different from those expected in my last insight. However, the changes expected in this insight will be my final expectations for the December 2023 Rebalance.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELETEs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 Indices in the December 2023 Rebalance.
At present, I do not see any changes for the SENSEX index. For the BSE 100 and BSE 200 indices I see six and five changes respectively.
Some of these changes are different from those expected in my last insight. However, the changes expected in this insight will be my final expectations for the December 2023 Rebalance.


Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 23: Bandhan Bank Could Underperform State Bank

India

ACC Limited  manufactures a range of cements and blended cements. The Company also manufactures gypsum and refractory products such as Brown Tabular Alumina. The Company provides turnkey and application consulting services for setting up and operating cement plants and refractories. The Company owns cement plants throughout India.

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ACC Ltd (ACC IS)

HSIE Results Daily: Ambuja Cement, Havells India, Dabur, ACC

During Q4FY24, consolidated volumes rose 17% YoY owing to the low base and ramp-up of recently acquired Sanghi plants. Weak pricing across markets...

HDFC Securities

Cement (Q4FY24 Results Preview): Weak pricing dampens industry margin

Demand firmed up but at the expense of pricing: In our view, cement demand again firmed up in Q4FY24 on a strong pick-up in non-trades sales

HDFC Securities

Cement (Q3FY24 Results Preview): Industry Margin Surges to a Nine-Quarter High

We estimate cement demand cooled off to ~7% YoY in Q3FY24, after delivering ~9-16% growth rate (average 12%) in the preceding six quarters

HDFC Securities

Cement - Q3FY24 Earnings Preview

Cement demand momentum moderated in Q3FY24: After witnessing double-digit volume growth in H1FY24, cement demand momentum moderated in Q3FY24.

Axis Direct

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Dec 23: Bandhan Bank Could Underperform State Bank

The BSE SENSEX and BSE 100 index changes for Dec 23 could be announced in a few days. This might be good time to revisit Quiddity's final...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HSIE Results Daily: Ambuja Cement, Havells India, Dabur, ACC

During Q4FY24, consolidated volumes rose 17% YoY owing to the low base and ramp-up of recently acquired Sanghi plants. Weak pricing across markets...

HDFC Securities

Cement (Q4FY24 Results Preview): Weak pricing dampens industry margin

Demand firmed up but at the expense of pricing: In our view, cement demand again firmed up in Q4FY24 on a strong pick-up in non-trades sales

HDFC Securities

Cement (Q3FY24 Results Preview): Industry Margin Surges to a Nine-Quarter High

We estimate cement demand cooled off to ~7% YoY in Q3FY24, after delivering ~9-16% growth rate (average 12%) in the preceding six quarters

HDFC Securities

Cement - Q3FY24 Earnings Preview

Cement demand momentum moderated in Q3FY24: After witnessing double-digit volume growth in H1FY24, cement demand momentum moderated in Q3FY24.

Axis Direct

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 23: Bandhan Bank Could Underperform State Bank

The BSE SENSEX and BSE 100 index changes for Dec 23 could be announced in a few days. This might be good time to revisit Quiddity's final...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Dec 23: Bandhan Bank Could Underperform State Bank