Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>AbbVie has witnessed a strong correction over the past few months and its results have also not been the best.</li><li>The company’s revenues in the last result were below market expectations though it did deliver an earnings beat.</li><li>The silver lining for AbbVie has been the strong growth in double-digit operational sales from immunology, where Skyrizi exceeded the expectation of the company with its impressive market share gains in both PSA and psoriasis.</li></ul>

AbbVie has witnessed a strong correction over the past few months and its results have also not been the best.The company’s revenues in the last result were below market expectations though it did deliver an earnings beat.The silver lining for AbbVie has been the strong growth in double-digit operational sales from immunology, where Skyrizi exceeded the expectation of the company with its impressive market share gains in both PSA and psoriasis.

AbbVie Inc: Agreement With Cugene & Other Developments

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>Comirnaty had had a significant positive impact on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pfizer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1131:1" rel="noopener">Pfizer Inc (PFE US)</a>’s revenue in 2021. 2022 will be no different. However, outlook for COVID-19 vaccine is uncertain beyond 2022.</li>
<li>Apart from the existing blockbuster fast-growing drugs, Pfizer has a rich late-stage pipeline. Its alopecia areata drug candidate, ritlecitinib has potential to become a blockbuster drug.  </li>
<li>Pfizer aims to add $25 billion revenue to its 2030 top-line expectations. Thus far, the company has announced two deals toward this ambition, entailing potential revenue addition of $7.5 billion.</li>
</ul>


Comirnaty had had a significant positive impact on Pfizer Inc (PFE US)’s revenue in 2021. 2022 will be no different. However, outlook for COVID-19 vaccine is uncertain beyond 2022.
Apart from the existing blockbuster fast-growing drugs, Pfizer has a rich late-stage pipeline. Its alopecia areata drug candidate, ritlecitinib has potential to become a blockbuster drug.  
Pfizer aims to add $25 billion revenue to its 2030 top-line expectations. Thus far, the company has announced two deals toward this ambition, entailing potential revenue addition of $7.5 billion.


Pfizer Inc (PFE US): What’s Lie Ahead of Comirnaty? Potential Blockbuster Drugs in Pipeline

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to view the price action over the past month as a bear market bounce in the S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM).</li>
<li>Each index appears to be forming a bearish flag pattern. Until the S&amp;P 500, QQQ, and IWM can break above their YTD downtrends, we remain bearish.</li>
<li>We continue to believe that this bear market is being fueled by the rising U.S. dollar (DXY), rising 10-yr Treasury yield, and the move higher in WTI crude oil.</li>
</ul>


We continue to view the price action over the past month as a bear market bounce in the S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM).
Each index appears to be forming a bearish flag pattern. Until the S&amp;P 500, QQQ, and IWM can break above their YTD downtrends, we remain bearish.
We continue to believe that this bear market is being fueled by the rising U.S. dollar (DXY), rising 10-yr Treasury yield, and the move higher in WTI crude oil.


U.S. Indexes Form Bear Flag Patterns Within Downtrends; Opportunities Within Health Care

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>2021 saw a significant jump in RNA based trials. Large sequencing projects and the success of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines should drive the growth of the global RNA therapeutics market. </li>
<li>Our analysis suggests that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/moderna-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28744:1" rel="noopener">Moderna Inc (MRNA US)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vertex-pharmaceuticals-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4864:1" rel="noopener">Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX US),</a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/incyte-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20576:1" rel="noopener">Incyte Corp (INCY US), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alnylam-pharmaceuticals-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2191:1" rel="noopener">Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY US), </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/isis-pharmaceuticals-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7017:1" rel="noopener">Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS US)</a> lead in RNA therapy related innovations.</li>
<li>R&amp;D collaboration, licensing deals, strategic investments and buyouts between RNA specialists and big pharma will increase as sitting on the sidelines might no longer be an option.</li>
</ul>


2021 saw a significant jump in RNA based trials. Large sequencing projects and the success of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines should drive the growth of the global RNA therapeutics market. 
Our analysis suggests that Moderna Inc (MRNA US) , Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX US), Incyte Corp (INCY US), Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY US), Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS US) lead in RNA therapy related innovations.
R&amp;D collaboration, licensing deals, strategic investments and buyouts between RNA specialists and big pharma will increase as sitting on the sidelines might no longer be an option.


Data Mining Technical Publications to Rank the Innovators in RNA Therapeutics

<ul>
<li>The U.S. International Trade Commission is starting an official investigation based on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medy-tox-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11403:1" rel="noopener">Medy Tox Inc (086900 KS)</a>’s complaint against Hugel for the alleged theft of its botulinum toxin strain.  </li>
<li>The verdict is expected in H12023. Hugel is expected to receive FDA approval for botulinum toxin by the end of 2022, while Medytox plans to file to FDA in H12023.  </li>
<li>Medytox’s export revenue has still not recovered. However, Q1 sales jumped 25%, on the back of 89% increase in domestic revenue. Medytox shares has declined 20% YTD.</li>
</ul>


The U.S. International Trade Commission is starting an official investigation based on Medy Tox Inc (086900 KS)’s complaint against Hugel for the alleged theft of its botulinum toxin strain.  
The verdict is expected in H12023. Hugel is expected to receive FDA approval for botulinum toxin by the end of 2022, while Medytox plans to file to FDA in H12023.  
Medytox’s export revenue has still not recovered. However, Q1 sales jumped 25%, on the back of 89% increase in domestic revenue. Medytox shares has declined 20% YTD.


Medy Tox Inc (086900 KS): Legal Battle Continues; Muted Recovery in Export Revenue

United States

Amgen Inc. is an independent biotechnology medicines company that discovers, develops, manufactures and markets medicines for grievous illnesses. The Company focuses solely on human therapeutics and concentrates on innovating novel medicines based on advances in cellular and molecular biology.

Alnylam Pharmaceuticals Inc. is an early-stage therapeutics company. The Company is developing technology that can specifically and potently silence disease-causing genes.

CSL Limited develops, manufactures, and markets human pharmaceutical and diagnostic products derived from human plasma. The Company provides products include pediatric and adult vaccines, infection, pain medicine, skin disorder remedies, antivenoms, anticoagulants, and immunoglobulins.

Moderna, Inc. operates as a biotechnology company. The Company focuses on the discovery and development of messenger RNA therapeutics and vaccines. Moderna develops mRNA medicines for infectious, immuno-oncology, and cardiovascular diseases.

BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. develops and commercializes therapeutic enzyme products.  The Company has applied its proprietary enzyme technology to develop products for lysosomal storage diseases and for the treatment of serious burns. BioMarin's subsidiary provides analytical and diagnostic products and services in the area of carbohydrate biology.

Insmed, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing novel, targeted inhaled therapies for patients with high unmet need battling serious orphan lung diseases.

United Therapeutics Corporation develops pharmaceuticals to treat vascular diseases such as pulmonary hypertension and peripheral vascular disease.  The Company's lead products are stable synthetic forms of prostacyclin and are delivered orally or subcutaneously.

Natera, Inc. operates as a diagnostics company. The Company provides preconception and prenatal genetic testing services. Natera also offers pre-implantation genetic diagnosis, aneuploidy screening, translocation, and single gene testing services.

Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. is focused on the discovery and development of therapeutics for neuropsychiatric, neuroinflammatory, and neurodegenerative diseases and disorders.  The Company is developing therapeutic interventions for anxiety, depression, Alzheimer's disease, insomnia, stroke, malignant brain tumors, multiple sclerosis, obesity, and diabetes.

Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the discovery and development of unique RNA-based therapeutics for the treatment of both rare and infectious diseases. The Company offers its products to the medical industry in countries around the world.

Celltrion Inc. produces and sells biosimilar products and also provides consignm ent processing service for other companies.  The Company's main product is Abata cept which is for arthritis treatment

argenx SE operates as a biotechnology company. The Company develops antibody based therapies for the treatment of severe autoimmune diseases and cancer. argenx serves customers in the Netherlands and Belgium.

BioNTech SE provides biotechnological solutions. The Company develops various types of treatments for cancer patients' tumors. BioNTech serves customers worldwide.

Chongqing Zhifei Biological Products Company Ltd. researches, manufactures, and sells vaccines and biological products including prevention products, blood products, diagnostic reagents, and therapeutic agents.

Chongqing Zhifei Biological Products (300122 CH)

Alteogen Inc. is a pharmaceutical research company.  The Company researches and develops bio-medicines such as bio-better and bio-similar.

Genmab A/S operates as a biotechnology company. The Company creates and develops human antibody products for the treatment of life threatening and debilitating diseases. Genmab focuses on products to treat cancer, rheumatoid arthritis and other inflammatory conditions, and psoriasis. The Company develops new products through partnerships. Genmab operates in Europe and the United States.

Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (SOBI) operates as a bio-pharmaceutical and bio-technology company. The Company develops therapies and drugs for the treatment of haemophilia, inflammation, and genetic diseases. SOBI serves clients worldwide.

BeiGene, Ltd. operates as a commercial stage biopharmaceutical company. The Company focuses on discovery, development, and commercialization of molecularly targeted and immuno-oncology drugs for the treatment of cancer. BeiGene serves patients worldwide.

Genmab A/S operates as a biotechnology company. The Company specializes in development of antibody therapeutics for the treatment of cancer. Genmab serves customers worldwide.

Biocon Ltd., is an integrated biotechnology enterprise with a presence in biopharmaceuticals, enzymes, custom research and clinical research. The Company's pharmaceutical products include statins, immunosuppressants and anti-diabetic drugs. Biocon also manufactures specialty enzymes and new enzyme applications besides providing clinical and custom research services.

AbbVie Inc. researches and develops pharmaceutical products. The Company produces pharmaceutical drugs for specialty therapeutic areas such as immunology, chronic kidney disease, Hepatitis C, women's health, oncology, and neuroscience. AbbVie also offers treatments for diseases including Multiple Sclerosis, Parkinson's, and Alzheimer's disease.

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Abbvie Inc (ABBV US)

AbbVie Inc: Agreement With Cugene & Other Developments

AbbVie has witnessed a strong correction over the past few months and its results have also not been the best. The company’s revenues in the last...

Baptista Research

Pfizer Inc (PFE US): What’s Lie Ahead of Comirnaty? Potential Blockbuster Drugs in Pipeline

By leveraging on windfall gains from COVID portfolio, Pfizer is developing additional growth spots for future revenue growth. Its pipeline and...

Tina Banerjee

U.S. Indexes Form Bear Flag Patterns Within Downtrends; Opportunities Within Health Care

We continue to view the price action over the past month as a bear market bounce in the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM), as each...

Vermilion Research

Data Mining Technical Publications to Rank the Innovators in RNA Therapeutics

Specialists lead the RNA intellectual property ecosystem but may still need big pharma to bring new treatments to market making the space ripe for...

Pyari Menon

Medy Tox Inc (086900 KS): Legal Battle Continues; Muted Recovery in Export Revenue

The commencement of an U.S. investigation against Hugel based on Medytox’s complaints make the U.S. entry uncertain for both the companies. The...

Tina Banerjee

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