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Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.</li><li>Last week, Trump named RFK Jr. to lead the HHS, placing an overhang on XBI and vaccine makers PFE, GSK, MRNA, MRK, and SNY. BNTX and MRK made moves in the PD- 1/VEGF space.</li><li>ABBV’s costly neuro play failed, removing the main threat to BMY’s Cobenfy. AMGN was rattled by bone loss data for its obesity drug. </li></ul>

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.Last week, Trump named RFK Jr. to lead the HHS, placing an overhang on XBI and vaccine makers PFE, GSK, MRNA, MRK, and SNY. BNTX and MRK made moves in the PD- 1/VEGF space.ABBV’s costly neuro play failed, removing the main threat to BMY’s Cobenfy. AMGN was rattled by bone loss data for its obesity drug. 

Biopharma Week in Review - November 18, 2024

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hugel-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22860:1" rel="noopener">Hugel Inc (145020 KS)</a> achieved revenue and operating profit of KRW105B and KRW53B in 3Q24, up 24% and 55%, YoY, respectively. Both botulinum toxin and fillers performed strongly.</li>
<li>Botulinum toxin's overseas sales jumped 73% YoY during the quarter, thanks to the initial shipment to the U.S. in July and September and robust growth from the Asia-Pacific market.</li>
<li>After the favorable ruling of ITC, Hugel plans to officially launch Botulax later this year in the U.S. market via collaborations with its California-based partner Benev Company.</li>
</ul>



Hugel Inc (145020 KS) achieved revenue and operating profit of KRW105B and KRW53B in 3Q24, up 24% and 55%, YoY, respectively. Both botulinum toxin and fillers performed strongly.
Botulinum toxin's overseas sales jumped 73% YoY during the quarter, thanks to the initial shipment to the U.S. in July and September and robust growth from the Asia-Pacific market.
After the favorable ruling of ITC, Hugel plans to officially launch Botulax later this year in the U.S. market via collaborations with its California-based partner Benev Company.


Hugel Inc (145020 KS): Record High Quarterly Sales and Operating Profit in 3Q; US Launch to Start

<ul><li>We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.</li><li>Last week, NVO had all semaglutide dosages listed available on the FDA drug shortage list, pressuring compounded GLP-1 seller HIMS.</li><li>ABBV acquired a private Alzheimer’s biotech, boosting neuro developers PRTA, VIGL, and ALEC.</li></ul>

We review last week’s biopharma news for meaningful clinical data, regulatory updates, research innovation, and M&amp;A.Last week, NVO had all semaglutide dosages listed available on the FDA drug shortage list, pressuring compounded GLP-1 seller HIMS.ABBV acquired a private Alzheimer’s biotech, boosting neuro developers PRTA, VIGL, and ALEC.

Biopharma Week in Review - November 4, 2024

Sun Pharmaceutical Industries / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-pharmaceutical-industries-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:98:1" rel="noopener">Sun Pharmaceutical Industries (SUNP IN)</a> Q2FY25 net profit jumped 28% YoY to INR30B on 11% YoY growth in revenue. U.S. and India formulation businesses grew 22% and 11%, YoY, respectively.</li>
<li>Due to deferral of clinical trials of some specialty products, the company has cut R&amp;D investment guidance by 200bps to 7–8% of revenue for FY25 from earlier 8–10%.</li>
<li>With Leqselvi launch becoming uncertain and few others still in late-stage trials, there is no immediate driver to accelerate specialty business momentum.</li>
</ul>



Sun Pharmaceutical Industries (SUNP IN) Q2FY25 net profit jumped 28% YoY to INR30B on 11% YoY growth in revenue. U.S. and India formulation businesses grew 22% and 11%, YoY, respectively.
Due to deferral of clinical trials of some specialty products, the company has cut R&amp;D investment guidance by 200bps to 7–8% of revenue for FY25 from earlier 8–10%.
With Leqselvi launch becoming uncertain and few others still in late-stage trials, there is no immediate driver to accelerate specialty business momentum.


Sun Pharmaceutical (SUNP IN): Q2 Result Beats Estimate; Specialty Business to Face Growth Challenge

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Event-Driven

Beijing Tiantan Biological Products / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Tiantan plans to acquire 100% equity of Zhongyuan Ruide from CSL Behring ASIA PACIFIC LIMITED for US$185 million, so as to consolidate its leading position in blood products industry.</li>
<li>BeiGene is accused of trade secrets theft by AbbVie. Considering AbbVie is good at using legal means to profit for itself, this lawsuit may become full of uncertainty in US.</li>
<li>The House passed BIOSECURE Act to make drug companies stop doing business with Chinese CXO.The probability of this Bill passing is high. We recommend prepare for worst-case scenario in advance.</li>
</ul>


Tiantan plans to acquire 100% equity of Zhongyuan Ruide from CSL Behring ASIA PACIFIC LIMITED for US$185 million, so as to consolidate its leading position in blood products industry.
BeiGene is accused of trade secrets theft by AbbVie. Considering AbbVie is good at using legal means to profit for itself, this lawsuit may become full of uncertainty in US.
The House passed BIOSECURE Act to make drug companies stop doing business with Chinese CXO.The probability of this Bill passing is high. We recommend prepare for worst-case scenario in advance.


China Healthcare Weekly (Sep15)- Tiantan's New Deal, BeiGene-AbbVie Lawsuit, BIOSECURE Act Will Pass

United States

AbbVie Inc. researches and develops pharmaceutical products. The Company produces pharmaceutical drugs for specialty therapeutic areas such as immunology, chronic kidney disease, Hepatitis C, women's health, oncology, and neuroscience. AbbVie also offers treatments for diseases including Multiple Sclerosis, Parkinson's, and Alzheimer's disease.

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Abbvie Inc (ABBV US)

Biopharma Week in Review - November 18, 2024

ABBV’s costly neuro play failed, removing the main threat to BMY’s Cobenfy. AMGN was rattled by bone loss data for its obesity drug.

Water Tower Research

Hugel Inc (145020 KS): Record High Quarterly Sales and Operating Profit in 3Q; US Launch to Start

Hugel achieved revenue and operating profit of KRW105B and KRW53B in 3Q24, up 24% and 55%, YoY, respectively. The company plans to officially...

Tina Banerjee

Biopharma Week in Review - November 4, 2024

Last week, NVO had all semaglutide dosages listed available on the FDA drug shortage list, pressuring compounded GLP-1 seller HIMS.

Water Tower Research

Sun Pharmaceutical (SUNP IN): Q2 Result Beats Estimate; Specialty Business to Face Growth Challenge

Sun Pharma Q2FY25 net profit was up 28% YoY on 11% revenue growth. FY25 R&D investment guidance cut due to deferred clinical trials. Specialty...

Tina Banerjee

China Healthcare Weekly (Sep15)- Tiantan's New Deal, BeiGene-AbbVie Lawsuit, BIOSECURE Act Will Pass

Tiantan to acquire Zhongyuan Ruide for $185 million from CSL Behring. BeiGene is accused of trade secrets theft by AbbVie. The chances of...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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Market Cap (USDm)

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Biopharma Week in Review - November 18, 2024

ABBV’s costly neuro play failed, removing the main threat to BMY’s Cobenfy. AMGN was rattled by bone loss data for its obesity drug.

Water Tower Research

Hugel Inc (145020 KS): Record High Quarterly Sales and Operating Profit in 3Q; US Launch to Start

​Hugel achieved revenue and operating profit of KRW105B and KRW53B in 3Q24, up 24% and 55%, YoY, respectively. The company plans to officially...

Tina Banerjee

Biopharma Week in Review - November 4, 2024

Last week, NVO had all semaglutide dosages listed available on the FDA drug shortage list, pressuring compounded GLP-1 seller HIMS.

Water Tower Research

Sun Pharmaceutical (SUNP IN): Q2 Result Beats Estimate; Specialty Business to Face Growth Challenge

​Sun Pharma Q2FY25 net profit was up 28% YoY on 11% revenue growth. FY25 R&D investment guidance cut due to deferred clinical trials. Specialty...

Tina Banerjee

China Healthcare Weekly (Sep15)- Tiantan's New Deal, BeiGene-AbbVie Lawsuit, BIOSECURE Act Will Pass

​Tiantan to acquire Zhongyuan Ruide for $185 million from CSL Behring. BeiGene is accused of trade secrets theft by AbbVie. The chances of...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hugel achieved revenue and operating profit of KRW105B and KRW53B in 3Q24, up 24% and 55%, YoY, respectively. The company plans to officially...

Sun Pharma Q2FY25 net profit was up 28% YoY on 11% revenue growth. FY25 R&D investment guidance cut due to deferred clinical trials. Specialty...

Tiantan to acquire Zhongyuan Ruide for $185 million from CSL Behring. BeiGene is accused of trade secrets theft by AbbVie. The chances of...