Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

Tongcheng Travel Holdings  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-hstech-sep-23-flow-expectations-two-adds-dels-possible" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:104332" rel="noopener">Quiddity HSTECH Sep 23 Flow Expectations: Two ADDs/DELs Possible</a>, I discussed my initial flow expectations and potential index changes for the September 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>The suggested (previous insight) SHORT <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-healthcare-and-technol" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27008:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Healthcare and Technol (1833 HK)</a> is down 10.6% vs the hedge <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-health-international-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29677:1" rel="noopener">JD Health International (6618 HK)</a> in ~1.5 months. </li>
<li>In this insight, I have presented my updated flow expectations and some new trade ideas for the next few weeks.</li>
</ul>


In Quiddity HSTECH Sep 23 Flow Expectations: Two ADDs/DELs Possible, I discussed my initial flow expectations and potential index changes for the September 2023 Rebalance.
The suggested (previous insight) SHORT Ping An Healthcare and Technol (1833 HK) is down 10.6% vs the hedge JD Health International (6618 HK) in ~1.5 months. 
In this insight, I have presented my updated flow expectations and some new trade ideas for the next few weeks.


Quiddity HSTECH Sep 23 Flow Expectations Update: Last Trade Sucessful; Some New Trade Ideas

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

Apple Hospitality Reit / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Apple reported FY3Q23 (CY2Q23) results with EPS of US$1.26 (+5% YoY) and revenue of US$81.8bn (-1.4% YoY), which are 5% and 0.3% above consensus, mainly driven by record revenue from Service, offsetting sluggish iPhone/Mac /iPad sales.</li><li>Looking into FY4Q23E, mgmt. expects revenue to show similar YoY revenue decline (-1% YoY), while iPhone/services will accelerate YoY growth and iPad/Mac will post double-digit decline.</li><li>Given resilient outlook and iPhone’s share gain amid macro headwinds, we remain positive on Apple supply chain over Android camp in 2H23E with upcoming catalysts from iPhone 15 launch in Sep. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Apple reported FY3Q23 (CY2Q23) results with EPS of US$1.26 (+5% YoY) and revenue of US$81.8bn (-1.4% YoY), which are 5% and 0.3% above consensus, mainly driven by record revenue from Service, offsetting sluggish iPhone/Mac /iPad sales.Looking into FY4Q23E, mgmt. expects revenue to show similar YoY revenue decline (-1% YoY), while iPhone/services will accelerate YoY growth and iPad/Mac will post double-digit decline.Given resilient outlook and iPhone’s share gain amid macro headwinds, we remain positive on Apple supply chain over Android camp in 2H23E with upcoming catalysts from iPhone 15 launch in Sep. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Apple FY3Q23 In-Line on Record-High Service Offsetting Soft IPhone/Mac/IPad Sales

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>2Q23 global smartphone shipment posted 7.8% YoY decline, which narrowed from -14.6%/-18.3% YoY in 1Q23/4Q22, based on IDC.</li><li>Despite shipment weakness in 1H23, inventory level started to normalize in 2Q23, and we expect supply chain restocking will lead to positive YoY growth in 4Q23E.</li><li>In particular, China market outperformed in 2Q23 with -2.1% YoY (vs. -12.1%/-12.8% YoY in 1Q23/ 4Q22).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

2Q23 global smartphone shipment posted 7.8% YoY decline, which narrowed from -14.6%/-18.3% YoY in 1Q23/4Q22, based on IDC.Despite shipment weakness in 1H23, inventory level started to normalize in 2Q23, and we expect supply chain restocking will lead to positive YoY growth in 4Q23E.In particular, China market outperformed in 2Q23 with -2.1% YoY (vs. -12.1%/-12.8% YoY in 1Q23/ 4Q22).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – 2Q23 Global Smartphone Shipment Decline Narrowed

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/21-vianet-group-inc-adr' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>21Vianet Group</a></li><li><a href='/entities/sk-hynix-inc' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>SK Hynix</a></li><li><a href='/entities/yuexiu-property-co-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Yuexiu Property </a></li><li><a href='/entities/nameson-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Nameson Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/china-jinmao-holdings-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>China Jinmao Holdings</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:21Vianet GroupSK HynixYuexiu Property Nameson HoldingsChina Jinmao Holdingsand more...

The Asia HY Trade Book for July 2023 includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds across Asia (ex-Japan) HY and crossover credits.

  The Asia HY Trade Book for July 2023 includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds across Asia (ex-Japan) HY and crossover credits. 

Asia HY Trade Book - July 2023 - Lucror Analytics

China

AAC Technologies Holdings Inc designs, develops and manufactures a broad range of miniaturized components that include speakers, receivers and microphones in the acoustic segment and others such as haptics vibrators, RF and antennas, and optical lenses. AAC's products are found in mobile devices such as smartphones, tablets, wearables, ultrabooks, notebooks and electronic book-readers.

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AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK)

Quiddity HSTECH Sep 23 Flow Expectations Update: Last Trade Sucessful; Some New Trade Ideas

The HSTECH Sep 23 index changes could be announced after the close on Friday 18th August 2023. I expect two ADDs and two DELs during the Sep 23...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Apple FY3Q23 In-Line on Record-High Service Offsetting Soft IPhone/Mac/IPad Sales

Apple reported FY3Q23 (CY2Q23) results with EPS of US$1.26 (+5% YoY) and revenue of US$81.8bn (-1.4% YoY), which are 5% and 0.3% above consensus,...

CMB International

China Technology – 2Q23 Global Smartphone Shipment Decline Narrowed

2Q23 global smartphone shipment posted 7.8% YoY decline, which narrowed from -14.6%/-18.3% YoY in 1Q23/4Q22, based on IDC.

CMB International

Weekly Wrap - 28 Jul 2023

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Trade Book - July 2023 - Lucror Analytics

The Asia HY Trade Book for July 2023 includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features...

Lucror Analytics

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